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NY-25: Maffei Leads by 18

by: James L.

Thu Oct 09, 2008 at 1:30 PM EDT


Kiley & Company for Dan Maffei (10/2-3, likely voters, mid-August in parens):

Dan Maffei (D): 49 (38)
Dale Sweetland (R): 31 (26)
Howie Hawkins (G): 6
(MoE: ±4%)

Maffei takes solid leads among Democrats (74-10), Independents (51-21), and even takes 28% of the Republican vote. I don't see how Sweetland can claw his way up in this D+3.4 open seat race -- especially not with the kind of money that he's been raising.

SSP currently rates this race as Likely Democratic.

James L. :: NY-25: Maffei Leads by 18
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