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NH-Sen: Shaheen Leads by 8

by: James L.

Mon Oct 06, 2008 at 1:11 PM EDT


SurveyUSA (10/4-5, likely voters, 10/26-29/2007 in parens):

Jeanne Shaheen (D): 48 (53)
John Sununu (R-inc): 40 (42)
Ken Blevens (L): 7 (-)
(MoE: ± 3.9%)

Keep in mind those trend lines are from nearly a year ago, which just underscores how thoroughly strong Shaheen has been in this race. In fact, of all the many, many polls of this race since Shaheen's entry, we've only seen two that have showed Sununu ahead -- and those polls were by the sometimes-wobbly Rasmussen, and the often-funky ARG.

Bonus finding: Obama leads McCain by 53-40 in the same poll.

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Democratic.

James L. :: NH-Sen: Shaheen Leads by 8
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Is it just me
Or does it seem really strange that 50-64 year olds are voting so heavily for Shaheen and Obama?

Your go-to source for great sarcasm

SUSA cross-tabs are odd
I only pay attention to their topline numbers.

[ Parent ]
The best part about this poll
Shaheen leads 48-40 /w only 5% undecided... although I doubt Ken will pull 7%.  

This poll is EXCELLENT news!!! for Sununu!!!
No but seriously yesterday I plastered my campus with Jeanne Shaheen stickers. I just wish they weren't McCain green. I mean, I know she's a proud Mick and all (as am I) but really... bright green for your campaign color?

The only thing I hate about it
is how much is doesn't match the rest of my campaign sticker collection!  Seriously, when canvassing in NH, I hated wearing 4 red/white/blue stickers, and Jeanne's green one.
I disagreed with the idea at first, but the more I saw it, the more it gave me the impression of Shaheen as a non-partisan outsider who brings a figurative new color to politics.  Can a color really define a candidate as a reformer, outsider, environmentalist, and candidate of change?  Alone, of course not... but maybe it can help bolster those concepts if she's doing a good enough job of communicating her message elsewhere in the first place.

[ Parent ]
Well
If Shaheen is leading, and Obama is winning NH by a wide margin, I wonder what this is all going to do for Carol Shea-Porter over in the 1st District. Gosh, I hope Carol can still pull it off with some Obama coattails. I don't want Jeb Bradley down in DC again.


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