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NC-Sen: Hagan Leads Dole by 8

by: James L.

Mon Sep 29, 2008 at 3:59 PM EDT


Public Policy Polling (9/27-28, likely voters, 9/17-19 in parens):

Kay Hagan (D): 46 (46)
Elizabeth Dole (R-inc): 38 (41)
Christopher Cole (L): 6 (6)
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±3%)

Dole under 40%? Whoa -- those are some pug-ugly numbers for any incumbent. PPP's Tom Jensen has the key finding:

Particularly [troubling] for Dole is how well Hagan is connecting with white voters. She trails Dole just 47-38 with that group. Usually for a Republican to win statewide here they need at least a 20 point advantage with whites to offset overwhelming African American support for Democratic candidates.

And Crisitunity offers his take:

And while a lot of this movement must have to do with the turmoil in the banking and finance industries (which is a major employer in Charlotte), bear in mind that this was taken before today's announcement of Citi's acquisition of NC-based Wachovia, which seems likely to drive current trends even further.

You want some gravy with that? Obama has pulled ahead of McCain in North Carolina by 47-45. It really is the economy, stupid. PPP, I believe, will now be doing weekly polls of North Carolina, so there won't be any shortage of data from this race.

James L. :: NC-Sen: Hagan Leads Dole by 8
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Well, you beat me
by about one minute, but there's only one major point from my defunct diary that needs to be imported over here: this poll was taken before today's acquisition by Citi of the NC-based Wachovia, pretty much the centerpiece of North Carolina's economy. If this is truly becoming about the stupid economy, then today's events ought to speed these trends along even faster.

Feel free
To edit my post with your thoughts.

[ Parent ]
That Wachovia thing is freaking out my roommate
who is to start in a law firm's NC office, where Wachovia is the leading client.


[ Parent ]
Lovingly to Liddy Dole and John McCain

HAW HAW



Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


Here comes the mother load...
2006 was good, but 2008 will be a wipe out!

I hope this also ends McCrory's chances
in the governors race.  

Let's hope so
The governor's race is gonna be tight.

The Senate poll is downright stunning.  Whatever happened to unassailable, unbeatable Liddy Dole?


[ Parent ]
Pay no attention to the chick behind the curtain...
Dole has always been riding on her name.  Her opponent the first time was weak too.

Her support was a mile wide and an inch deep, always has been.  


[ Parent ]
Definition of a paper tiger.
She hadn't lived there in 30 years, never really moved back there, and seldom visited or campaigned there.  You can't represent a state that large from that far away when your connections to it were so thin to begin with.

The only analogous senator I can think of would be Hillary Clinton, if she hadn't, you know, worked her ass off for the last nine years.  If Hillary had been just coasting along, doing nothing in the Senate, never even visiting New York, and the national mood had turned sharply against her party, she'd be vulnerable too.

28, gay guy, Democrat, CA-08


[ Parent ]
hey now
Leave pugs out of this! lol I want no connection between my dog and Elizabeth Dole. They deserve better. lol

Oops
Now I just know that the Concerned Pug Owners of America PAC is gonna go up on the airwaves attacking SSP over this one.

[ Parent ]
I LOLed at "pug-ugly".
Never heard that one before.  I plan to shamelessly steal and use it though.  

28, gay guy, Democrat, CA-08

[ Parent ]
I can just almost taste it: Lean D ?



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