My Guess Is That Oklahoma....

....will be McCain's best state this year.  Better than Idaho.  Better than Wyoming.  Better than Utah.  It likely means that nearly half of McCain voters would need to cross over to Rice for him to win.  That even makes Brad Carson's 2004 mountain seem small in comparison.  In all honesty, Rice's best hope is likely to put up a respectable showing that could help him against Dr. No in 2010.  One would think Coburn would be vulnerable given his reputation and extremism, but who the hell knows in Oklahoma.

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by: Mark @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 00:49:55 AM CDT

Henry or Boren

to run against Coburn in 2010. They'd be stronger.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 09:57:19 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Agree

Henry would be very competitive.  Boren too, although I think not quite as strong as Henry.

What's Carson doing these days?  I'd like to see him back in politics.

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by: sicembears @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 15:07:07 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

I'd like to see him back in congress

not only is Boren frustratingly and obtusively conservative and outspoken against Democrats, but he looks like a superhero movie villain and its creepy.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 16:33:39 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Boren sucks.

I bet he has a bust of Al From in his office.

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by: James L. @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 16:40:44 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

Carson and Boren

Carson worked as an aide for Boren's father and was able to come out of nowhere to win the Democratic primary because the Boren family supported him.  No way he'd ever challenge Boren.  But, if Boren ran for Senate, perhaps Carson would run for Rep again.

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by: sicembears @ Fri Sep 12, 2008 at 10:34:46 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Boren Would Be Lieberman 2.0....

I'd rather see Coburn stick around than give more power to Boren.  At least Coburn does some good work with pork barrel spending restraint.  Boren would vote the same as Coburn on every key issue but force us to pay for far more earmarks in Oklahoma.

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by: Mark @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 17:21:45 PM CDT

[ Parent ]

This is a very, very hard race.

Oklahoma is right up there with Utah in the difficulty of electing Democrats to federal office outside of their once Democratic district. Rice is a good candidate and Inhofe is insane but I don't think that will be enough.

I think Nebraska where their is a Democratic senator and a history of Democratic senators, the polls are about the same and where we've got someone close in the money race is a much better bet for a pickup. Georgia is probably the most likely of the longshots though.

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by: Populista @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 00:58:27 AM CDT

Oy. I really wanted to believe in this one.

Rice is one of the only Senate candidates I've donated to this cycle.  DraftUdall, DraftDeFazio, Noriega (early), Merkley (after the primary), Rice, and I think that's it for Senate.  I damn near donated to him again yesterday.  What a bummer of a poll.

Inhofe should lose.  And, he'd be one of the highest-payoff victories of the cycle, because it would be assumed to be a single-issue campaign (global warming), and those are the most powerful kind for impacting larger policy dynamics (Lieberman/Lamont, anyone?).  It'd be like Pombo or Musgrave, but statewide, and Senate.  And global warming is my biggest single issue anyway, so I wanted this one.  Arg.

I hate voters.

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by: texas dem @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 01:42:11 AM CDT

Don't worry, I haven't lost hope yet

Still a while to go, and races have developed later than this.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 03:35:09 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

Also, let it be known on the record that

Inhofe (R-NOT OK) is worse than McConnell.

Proving that that is indeed possible (sadly).

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 03:35:57 AM CDT

[ Parent ]

This poll looks off

It has Republicans with a 3% voter ID advantage. In comparison, the latest figures are D - 50%, R - 39%. Many of them don't actually vote Democrat, but they're still registered as such.

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by: MichiganLiberal @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 07:08:19 AM CDT

Wes Clark should campaign for him

He won Oklahoma in 2004, didn't he? And Al Gore both campaign and fundraise for him... Considering that Inhofe is a lunatic on global warming.

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by: Ectoras @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 11:10:46 AM CDT

PAGING WESLEY CLARK

Get in there!

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Tue Sep 09, 2008 at 14:39:59 PM CDT

[ Parent ]