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CO-04: Markey Leads Musgrave by 7 in New Poll

by: James L.

Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:37 PM EDT

SurveyUSA for Roll Call (8/22-24, likely voters):

Betsy Markey (D): 50
Marilyn Musgrave (R-in): 43
(MoE: ±4.0%)

Stunning numbers for Betsy Markey, and they confirm an internal poll from earlier this year that showed Musgrave trailing by the same margin: 43-36.

What's more, Musgrave's personal popularity, despite her recent efforts to present a more moderate image. A full 51% of voters view her unfavorably, while only 31% have a favorable opinion of her.

On the presidential level, it looks like the R+8.5 district is undergoing a sea change: McCain only leads Obama by 48-46 here, which is an extremely far cry from the 58-41 drubbing that Bush delivered to Kerry in the district in 2004.

Once again, SUSA takes the pulse of the energy debate, and asks voters if they would cast their ballots for a candidate advocating increased offshore drilling or one who promotes alternative sources of energy. Despite all the assumptions of drilling being the popular choice, once again, the candidate emphasizing alternative energy leads by a 58-34 margin.

SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican, but I think a rating change is due in short order.

James L. :: CO-04: Markey Leads Musgrave by 7 in New Poll

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CO-04: Markey Leads Musgrave by 7 in New Poll | 19 comments

Nice

Markey is one of my favorite candidates and I love the ads being put out by the Wildlife group, some of the best ones this cycle. They really know how to win races once they pick them.

If we take this seat, it will be one of the biggest victories in November, going from a very conservative repub to a progressive in what was a solid Republican district.

by: Progressive America @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:01:22 PM CDT

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Wow

McCain (R) 48%
Obama (D) 46%

That's crazy. Is that district really trending our way THAT fast?

by: ChadInFL @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:03:44 PM CDT

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Very good sign

If Obama can close the gap here and in the third, expand the narrow Democratic lead in the seventh, GOTV in the first and second, and not get killed in the fifth and sixth, then, much like the Coors commercial, the Rockies will turn blue!

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

by: TheUnknown285 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:36:08 PM CDT

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MusgrAve.

Please correct diary title to match.

by: Bluer Ohio @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:11:01 PM CDT

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Thanks -- my mistake.

I always get annoyed when people make that typo -- but of course here I am making the same mistake!

by: James L. @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:14:16 PM CDT

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but....but

isn't that how things are supposed to work? If it annoys you, your bound to do it atleast a million times.

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions

by: skywrnchsr509 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:40:32 PM CDT

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I can think of no more foul pig to be defeated in November than Marilyn.

Barney Frank must be swilling his Cosmo in delight this afternoon!

by: Tyler Oakley @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:45:21 PM CDT

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She's near the top

Inhofe, Chambliss, Cornyn, and Goode come to mind, too.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

by: TheUnknown285 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:47:48 PM CDT

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waiting in the wings to replace her:

Michelle Bachmann, MN-06

But at least Michelle Bachmann doesn't have much House seniority, yet.

It would be wonderful to see the last of Marilyn Musgrave.
I thought we had a great candidate last time and a good one the cycle before that. Sometimes you just have to keep trying.

by: Christopher Walker @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 12:53:34 PM CDT

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Awesome

Musgrave is the person who says that denying gay rights is the most important issue, correct? I wonder what people who are losing jobs and finding it hard to buy food think of that...
I'm so glad Musgraves going to be gone.

by: Hamtree @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 13:12:20 PM CDT

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I remember correctly

She hardly mentioned the issue when she had one week left to campaign during the 2006 midterms lol
So much for the "issue that was the most important to America"

I wonder what the Udall vs Schaffer numbers are in this district.

This is great news, the house and senate will have both authors of the marriage amendment out office at this rate (as Wayne Allard is retiring and now Musgrave loosing ground)

by: lordpet8 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 14:13:27 PM CDT

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Thank you TABOR

No seriously, TABOR killed the Republican party in Colorado for a good while...

by: skywaker9 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 14:51:39 PM CDT

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and TABOR would be .....?? eom

by: vicupstate @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 15:44:06 PM CDT

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The Taxpayer Bill of Rights

Which basically killed the ability of CO government to provide services and has since been partially suspended....

by: skywaker9 @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 15:56:04 PM CDT

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just Google TABOR

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T...

by: homerun @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 16:10:03 PM CDT

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I could cry.

This is such an amazing news. I honestly could tear up. Perhaps the GOP will learn that gay bashing, even as much as they all seem to enjoy it, will not keep winning you elections forever.

by: Venslor @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 19:39:26 PM CDT

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WOOOO!!!!

As someone who is gay, HELL YEAH! Omg, I bet Musgrave just shit her pants when she saw this. Independent SurveyUSA who everyone seems to really rely on, she really probably just shat her pants. Oh excellent.

by: Andrew @ Tue Aug 26, 2008 at 22:41:04 PM CDT

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alrite

HELL YEAH!

Colorado is looking awesome now.
Jared Polis will the be the first openly gay man to run for congress
and Musgrave will finally beat the dust after all these years of hateful legislation.

by: lordpet8 @ Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 16:39:55 PM CDT

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A 5-2 Dem delegation

Sounds good to me. Colorado was something like 5-1 republican delegation about 10 years ago.

by: ChadInFL @ Wed Aug 27, 2008 at 20:09:44 PM CDT

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