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MO-09: Baker Leads by 2 in New Poll

by: James L.

Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 1:29 PM EDT


Momentum Analysis for Judy Baker (8/12-14, likely voters):

Judy Baker (D): 41
Blaine Luetkemeyer (R): 39
Tamara Millay (L): 3
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±4.9%)

Nice numbers for Baker, whose strength among women voters (45-36) and stronger base support (78-12 among Dems, compared to Luetkemeyer's 66-14 among Republicans) are propelling her to an early lead.

Luetkemeyer also appears to be a bit dinged up after his Club For Growth-tainted primary, as his favorability (33-16) is more mixed than Baker's (30-8).

It's a very solid start for Baker, but getting to 50% is the real challenge. SSP currently rates this race as Lean Republican.

(Big hat-tip to Wayne in Missouri for the catch.)

PS: Check out the Luetkemeyer campaign's psychotic reaction to the poll:

"Judy Baker's poll is like a NASCAR driver bragging about being ahead after the first lap of this weekend's Sharpie 500, which in case Judy didn't know is a car race enjoyed by 'those people' often derided by liberal Democrats like herself," said Luetkemeyer spokesman Paul Sloca in a statement.

"Those people"?? Talk about grasping at straws and then some.

James L. :: MO-09: Baker Leads by 2 in New Poll
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Hey!
Pipe down and take it like a man "Bluetkemeyer".

Waffle House celebrated its 50th anniversary and my steak celebrated its 25th-Larry the Cable Guy

Thanks James!
This was a Bush +19 district and Hulshof won this district 61% to 36% in 2006 so it won't be easy, but this is a great first poll out of the gates.

Add to this that Luetkemeyer cannot continue to self-fund and that he burned through hundreds of thousands of dollars self-funding in the primaries and this is definitely a winnable race.

I'm matching donations to Judy Baker on my ActBlue page (up to $400)

http://www.actblue.com/page/wa...

Folks can also donate to her via ActBlue from her website:

http://judybakerforcongress.com/


Hey Paul Sloca!
Thanks for introducing me to NASCAR!  I've definitely never heard of NASCAR in my twenty-some years of living in a liberal, socialist, communist, drug-induced fantasy world filled with baby killers and devil-worshippers!

...

More like, thanks for insulting my intelligence.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


Hey,
I never knew that you did drugs and worshipped the devil.

Waffle House celebrated its 50th anniversary and my steak celebrated its 25th-Larry the Cable Guy

[ Parent ]
Heh, not me
In order to worship the devil one has to believe he exists, which I do not.  

[ Parent ]
Uh,
I was talking to Mr. Harvey, not you.

Waffle House celebrated its 50th anniversary and my steak celebrated its 25th-Larry the Cable Guy

[ Parent ]
I know
Just felt like butting in :P  I've had bible thumpers call me a devil worshipper before when I told them I was atheist.  Most of them don't actually know what an atheist is.

[ Parent ]
Of course you've heard of it
You just deride it for, I don't know, some arbitrary reason.

Maybe it doesn't kill enough babies?


[ Parent ]
This display's the political novice of Luetkemeyer and his campaign.
Instead of releasing their own poll with Luetkemeyer leading or keeping a lid over this, they are conceding the lead to Baker and drawing more attention to her lead.  I mean, talk about a momentum shot in the arm!  Come on.  


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