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House '08: Help find a challenger!

by: Myles

Thu Feb 15, 2007 at 7:28 PM EST


Recent news that Linda Stender, Eric Massa, Dan Maffei and Larry Kissell, to name a few, are all considering rematches inspired me to create  a diary to help find challengers to vulnerable Republicans. Who better to suggest candidates than people who live in or no these districts on an intimate level.

Finding the next Harry Mitchell could turn a Safe GOP seat into a pickup.

Here's my list of the top fifty GOP house seats that could be in danger in 2008.

Myles :: House '08: Help find a challenger!
Rogers, Mike, Alabama, 3rd
Renzi, Rick, Arizona, 1st
Bilbray, Brian P., California, 50th
Doolittle, John, California, 4th
Musgrave, Marilyn, Colorado, 4th
Shays, Christopher, Connecticut, 4th
Castle, Michael N*., Delaware, At Large
Keller, Ric, Florida 8th
Young, C.W. Bill*, Florida, 10th
Buchanan, Vern, Florida, 13th
Latham, Tom *, Iowa, 4th
Roskam, Peter J., Illinois, 6th
Kirk, Mark., Illinois, 10th
Souder, Mark E., Indiana, 3rd
Walberg, Timothy, Michigan, 7th
Rogers, Mike, Michigan, 8th
Knollenberg, Joseph, Michigan, 9th
McCotter, Thaddeus, Michigan, 11th
Bachmann, Michele, Minnesota, 6th
Ramstad, Jim *, Minnesota, 3rd
Rehberg, Dennis, Montana, At Large
Fortenberry, Jeff, Nebraska, 1st
Terry, Lee, Nebraska, 2nd
Ferguson, Michael, New Jersey, 7th
Garrett, Scott, New Jersey, 5th
LoBiondo, Frank, New Jersey, 2nd
Heller, Dean, Nevada, 2nd
Porter, Jon, Nevada, 3rd
Kuhl Jr., John R. "Randy", New York, 29th
Wilson, Heather, New Mexico, 1st
King, Pete, New York, 3rd
Fossella, Vito, New York, 13th
Reynolds, Thomas M., New York, 26th
Walsh, Jim, New York, 25th
Hayes, Robin, North Carolina, 8th
Chabot, Steve, Ohio, 1st
Schmidt, Jean, Ohio, 2nd
Tiberi, Pat, Ohio, 12th
Pryce, Deborah, Ohio, 15th
Regula, Ralph *, Ohio, 16th
English, Phil, Pennsylvania, 3rd
Gerlach, Jim, Pennsylvania, 6th
Dent, Charles W., Pennsylvania, 15th
Murphy, Tim, Pennsylvania, 18th
Paul, Ron, Texas, 14th
Drake, Thelma D., Virginia, 2nd
Wolf, Frank, Virginia, 10th
Davis, Tom, Virginia, 11th
Reichert, David G., Washington, 8th
Ryan, Paul*, Wisconsin, 1st
Capito, Shelley Moore, West Virginia, 2nd
Cubin, Barbara, Wyoming, At Large

* This race is only competitive if the incumbent retires or runs for another office.

2006 left us with few "low hanging fruit" targets.

Seats like PA-06, NV-03, OH-15, NY-25, NC-08 WA-08 and NM-01  need top challenges, as do lower tier races like IL-10 and PA-15. Let's find the next batch of Democratic Congresspeople.

Here's some names to start with: Steve Udall in AZ-01, Andy Dinniman in PA-06 and Joe Turnham in AL-2

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NE-2
Jim Esch will likely seek a rematch for that seat.

That's good news
I was impressed by his 45% showing.

Do you know what happened to Maxine Moul? She seems to have underperformed  expectations.


[ Parent ]
Moul
Unfortunately, Moul ran a typical campaign for a Democrat in Nebraska. She raised a large amount of money and spent it all in the last few weeks on television ads. This is the same strategy that failed for Nancy Thompson in 2004 against Lee Terry.

Kleeb in NE-3 and Esch in NE-2 ran strong grassroots campaigns. I think what's needed in NE-1 this time around is a political outsider, someone young who can energize folks in Lincoln and the rest of the district to get out and mobilize voters.


[ Parent ]
Good picks in AZ-01, PA-06, and AL-03
I think we should go for rematches in NV-03, NY-25, NY-29, IL-10, NC-08, and WA-08.  All of these challengers came much closer than ever expected and with more attention from the national party these guys could win.

Steve Udall is a good choice for AZ-01. 

Dan Wofford should try again in PA-06 as he came so close in 2002. 

2004 nominee David Ashe should run in VA-02. 

Joe Turnham is a good choice for AL-03, but maybe former Congressman Glen Browder could be brought out of retirement.  He is only 64 and I think he could win. 


Thanks
Do you think Stender should come back?  Ferguson's aggressive "Stender the Spender" campaign actually raised her name ID. The problems with this district include the incumbent friendly district lines and the extraordinary cost to advertise  on NeW York TV.

I really think Kellam was an underrated candidate who deserves a second chance. If he doesn't run , Ashe would be a great choice.

How about Mary Jo Kilroy's chances? I think she could win in 2008 if the Iraq War stays the paramount issue.

Do you really think Burner can win in 2008? The inexperience issue is the albatross that's tightly fastened around her neck.


[ Parent ]
Forgot about them
Stender should definately run again, as should Esch. 

Im not sure about Kilroy.  Everybody thought that she would win, but she did not. 

Burner should definately try again.  She came very close to beating him and with the higher Democratic turnout in a Presidential year, I think she could win.

Kellam was badly hurt by the report of his charges of assault.  Im almost certain that he would have won if it hadn't been for that.


[ Parent ]
try here
http://www.barrywels...

And here

http://www.2008racet...

To keep up to speed with candidates and contribute contribute contribute.

2010 Race Tracker Wiki


Small Business Tax Relief Act and more,,.
All 218 voting Democrats voted in favor of the Small Business Tax Relief Act of 2007. 45 Republicans voted against this popular legislation.

Michelle Bachmann, Vito Fossella, Scott Garrett, Thad McCotter and Marilyn Musgrave are five potentially vulnerable Republicans who voted against tax cuts for the companies that created the majority of the new jobs in America.

Jim Gerlach, Dave Reichert, Robin Hayes, Heather Wilson, Deborah Pryce, Vern Buchanan and Charlie Dent all voted against the non-binding troop resolution.

These votes can be used to hold these congresscritters accountable in 2008.


The tax cut
Other potentially vulnerable Republicans that voted against the tax cut are Feeney(FL-24), Weldon(FL-15), Pearce(NM-02), Wamp(TN-03), Poe(TX-02), and possibly Akin(MO-02, a Democrat won here in 1990 because of a similar vote of the Republican incumbant).

[ Parent ]

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