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GA-Sen: Runoff Results Thread

by: James L.

Tue Aug 05, 2008 at 7:19 PM EDT


Polls have closed in Georgia as of about 20 minutes ago. We'll be using this thread to follow the results as they come in.

RESULTS: Associated Press (7/15 county baselines) | GA SoS

10:03PM: Here's DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer's statement on Jim Martin's victory:

"Georgians chose an impressive candidate today who has the experience and vision to change the direction of our nation.  As a public servant under both a Democratic and a Republican Governor, Jim has a proven record of working across party lines, and he will be an effective and independent voice for Georgia families.  This is a winnable race."

9:10PM: With 78% of precincts reporting, Martin leads by 59-41. Like many of you in the comments section, the Swing State Project is calling this race for Jim Martin! Hooray!
8:54PM: With 66% of precincts in (according to the SoS), Martin is leading by 61-39. Looks like he's on pace to deliver a major league spanking to the Bush-voting train wreck that is Vernon Jones.
8:45PM (David): According to the SoS, Jones is getting crushed in his home county, DeKalb, by better than a 2-to-1 margin.
8:34PM: Martin is also crushing in Fulton County (Atlanta proper), by roughly 5200 to 1600 votes with under 27% of the county's precincts reporting. Jones won the county by 38-37 in July.
8:21PM: Martin crushes Jones by almost 70-30 in Gwinnett, a big improvement for Martin, who lost the county by 36-30 to Jones in July. (H/T: TheUnknown285)
8:09PM: Reading from the AP's tally, Martin is up by 62-38 with 663 of 3148 precincts reporting.
8:02PM: As you may have noticed, there's some disparity between the SoS' numbers and the AP's, with the AP consistently showing Jones missing around 2000 votes compared to the SoS' tally. I'm not sure what the issue is, but in this topsy-turvy world, I just don't know who to trust.
7:59PM: 337 precincts in, and Martin is up by 56-44. He'll need to bank as many votes as possible before the metro Atlanta area reports in full.
7:45PM: With 76 precincts counted (of 3148, mind you), Martin is up by 59-41, including a very early lead in Gwinnett County, a populous area that went to Jones by a 36-30 plurality in July.
7:31PM ET: Martin has the early 54-46 lead so far, but with only a scant 18 precincts reporting, we aren't seeing any numbers from the state's major population centers (DeKalb, Fulton, Cobb, and Gwinnett counties) yet.

James L. :: GA-Sen: Runoff Results Thread
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First results trickling in: Early Martin lead
Jones got slaughtered in that Towns County precinct.  One vote out of 57!

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Getting slaughtered in Cherokee County, too


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
And Union
Jones is winning several counties, but not the wholesale ass-kickings Martin is delivering in places.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Martin leading in Gwinnett County
Good sign, Jones won there in July and it's a big county.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Martin's kicking ass in Lowndes County (Valdosta)
2303-1473 with 25 precincts left and has an early lead in Richmond County 91-59 (Augusta) with 72 precincts left.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Jones leading in Muscogee (Columbus)
1212-481.  That's not good.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Still nothing from DeKalb
That's the county I'm worried about.  Somehow that bushbot clown is popular there.

[ Parent ]
Only 43% for Jones in DeKalb
He couldn't even get a majority there.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Actually less Atlanta than Savannah
That's where Jones won biggest last time...

Martin's base
Anyone know where Martin's base of support is?  I know Jones's is in DeKalb, but no idea on Martin.

Martin leading in Clarke (Athens)
772-262.  

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Crap
Jones has taken the lead in Richmond and is leading in Bibb County (Macon)

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

SOS vrs. AP
Comparing the two sites is amazing.  They are very different.  At this moment, each shows just over 20% counted.  BUT

SOS site shows
    Martin   24,876
    Jones    19,802

AP site shows
    Martin   28,253
    Jones    17,104

So Martin has far more votes on the SOS site and Jones has far more on the AP site.  Is there a mistake, or are they from different places?  


From a quick glance at the county-by-county numbers...
...the SoS is reporting some counties that the AP isn't (eg. Baldwin), and perhaps vice versa...

[ Parent ]
Martin wins big in Gwinnett
http://www.gwinnettcounty.com/...

Almost a forty point victory.

Martin also leading in Fulton (http://www.fultoncountyga.gov/county/elections/results/).

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


Big Martin Lead in Cobb, too.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Seems to be going well for Martin (eom)


BIG Jump for Martin
I've been waiting for one of the big three counties to report something and Cobb just did.  

In July, it went for Martin 35% to 32%.  It just reported
Martin 6,887 to Jones 2,155.  This is a massive change for Martin.  With 40% of the vote in, he seems to be pulling away.  


Correction
35% of the vote in.  

Lead of more than 13,000.  My fingers are crossed.  


[ Parent ]
Agreed
However, Clayton (majority black county in the Atlanta area), DeKalb, and Fulton still aren't in at all.  And Chatham (Savannah), Bibb (Macon), Richmond (Augusta), and Muscogee (Columbus) still have a ways to go.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Martin leading in Clayton!


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Hilarious
He is even blowing him out in DeKalb!

LOL, yeah
Although those may be in North DeKalb, which is more anti-Jones.  

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
GA-Sen: Runoff Results Thread
Martin continues to win big in DeKalb.  But so far nothing from Fulton.  Keeping my fingers crossed.

GA-Sen: Runoff Results Thread
Martin now crushing Jones in Fulton County?! What's going on?  Martin wins Dawson County (small, rural, to the north of Atlanta) 148-2!!

Those who know Jones...
...like him least!

[ Parent ]
I'm calling it for Martin.
If Jones were to spontaneously improve 27% in the remaining results, he'd still lose to Jim Martin by 9 votes, based on a linear projection of each county.

Plus, with all the improvement we've had in individual counties over 7/15, Martin should have this thing in the bag.

Our challenge to Saxby lives another day...


Agree--Martin Wins
With 67% of the vote in, 160,000 are counted and Martin leads by 34,000.  If 80,000 more are to be counted, Jones would need to get over 70%.  No Way.  

[ Parent ]
67% in, Martin leads 60%-40%
Unless something drastic happens, this one is over.


I'm calling it
I've been on the verge for a while, but considering Martin's 13,500 vote lead in DEKALB, I think it's safe to call it.  Martin wins.  Obama's chances in Georgia and our chances are taking on Shameless live on!

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Wow, even DeKalb in a landslide
That county is about 55% black.  Guess even the black voters have realized what a tool Jones is.

Couldn't have hurt that
Obama slapped Jones down when he tried to pretend that he had been endorsed by him...

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
The Atlanta area was not kind to Jones
Like has been said, the more people know him, the less than like him.  Jones did well in the Columbus and Augusta areas.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Check out Townes County in NE GA
With 5 of 6 precints in, the tally is:

Martin 219
Jones 9 (NINE)

5 precints, 228 votes counted, single digits. That's just sad.

:)


Earlier it was 0 votes with two precincts in


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Ya, that's crazy
That is the kind of margin you typically only see in black communities where dems win by around a 10-1 margin.  

True story, a few years back I was looking at the Mayoral results by precinct in my hometown (Daytona Beach) and there was one entirely black precinct that went something like 186-2 for the black candidate.  The black female candidate did win.  The really interesting part of this sidestory is that the white candidate who lost turned out to be Mike Shallow.  Yes... the same guy busted by Daytona Beach Police in a male sex restroom sting at my local mall.  Basically the same way Larry Craig was caught.


[ Parent ]
GA-Sen: Runoff Results Thread
Jones loses Union County (Tenn. border)827-37! Flip him over, he's done.

DSCC, the ball's in your court
Martin was down 10 points in the last Rasmussen poll to Chambliss.  You may want to take a long hard look at Georgia.

Agreed
We really must put this seat in play

Male 21 Dem Ca's 1st  

[ Parent ]
Money money money money. MONEY.
Martin needs to get the fundraising going immediately.  

My site: Political Realm

[ Parent ]
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution is reporting that Jones concedes
http://www.ajc.com/

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Terrific victory !
I would put this race right after NC and Kentucky for pickup opportunities.  

Hooray!
Go Jim Martin. Time to take down Shameless Saxy!

i must toot my own horn
with my july 9th prediction:

bold prediction based only on patterns
Jones wins plurality of primary with 38% then loses runoff with about 38% of the vote.  Jim Martin looks like the best candidate by a fair margin.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

by: st paul sage @ Wed Jul 09, 2008 at 2:23 PM EDT
[ Reply ]



Thank goodness.
Check out what Jones used to attack Martin.

Jones has accused Martin of going out of his way to avoid voting for Barack Obama during the February presidential primary. Martin voted for John Edwards, who had withdrawn from the race by that time, but whose name still appeared on the ballot.

"You say you support Barack Obama, but you voted against him," Jones said in a recent debate.

Seriously???  A LOT of Edwards supporters still voted for him after he dropped out on February 5th.  We hadn't been sold yet on either Hillary or Obama.  To attack him for not immediately going for Obama just DAYS after his preferred candidate dropped out of the race is a pretty douchy thing to do.  Just another reason to be glad Jones lost bigtime tonight.



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