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CO-Sen: Udall Leads Schaffer by Nine

by: James L.

Tue Jun 24, 2008 at 12:57 PM EDT


Garin Hart Yang for the DSCC (6/15-17, likely voters):

Mark Udall (D): 46
Bob Schaffer (R): 37
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±3.5%)

Nice numbers for M'Udall. Even better, 54% of Schaffer voters describe their support for the ex-congressman as "not that strong", while only 40% of Udall voters feel the same way about their candidate. As Udall, the DSCC, and outside groups continue to hammer Schaffer on his ties to Abramoff and other matters, we could shake a few of those voters loose. And on the generic ballot, Dems hold a 42-36 lead -- a nice sign of Colorado's Democratic trend.

James L. :: CO-Sen: Udall Leads Schaffer by Nine
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I got it via a DSCC email
But I assume that they'll put it up on their site soon.

[ Parent ]
9 points - same margin as Rasmussen had
Sounds reasonable to me.

Yeah
And the quicker it grows the quicker the DSCC can start concentrating elsewhere.

[ Parent ]
And the quicker...
And the quicker the Republicans will decide to move the firewall back a state or two.  

[ Parent ]
That's the thing I'm worried about in Colorado and New Hampshire
Will the DSCC have to spend anything there or not?  Because if we can go through four wins and hold our ~15-18 Million COH advantage (Assuming NRSC doesn't spend in these four either) that would be what we need, to reach 60.  

[ Parent ]
Not sure about NH
Sununu has a big CoH advantage over Shaheen.  It seems like a bit of a risk to let her be significantly outspent and hope that it doesn't move the numbers.  For CO, Udall should outspend Schaffer or at least be roughly equal, without any help from the DSCC.

[ Parent ]
Udall in CO doesn't need any DSCC money
He's destroying Schaffer in fundraising.  However, the DNSC will probably have to spend a little for Shaheen in NH.  Her fundraising isn't anywhere close to on par with Sununu.  

[ Parent ]
Kleeb is a good candidate
And his approval in the poll is a solid 50/33, but he's just out of his league with Johanns.  We were never going to win this race anyway.  Even Bob Kerrey probably would have lost to Johanns.

[ Parent ]
I agree
The best we can hope for is that Kleeb makes it closer than expected which should set him up for a future run.

[ Parent ]
state senator in 2010
Governor in 2014, that's what I'm hoping. He's like the right fit for governor. He's very young though, what will he be, 44 in 2014. What'll probably happen is the Democratic mayor of Omaha, I forget his name, will run for governor and have Kleeb as his LG.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Fahey
The guy is awesome. Kleeb I mean. Such a shame but fingers crossed he still has a big future.

[ Parent ]
best ticket,
might even win with a ticket like that.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]

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