Bob Roggio (D): 30
Jim Gerlach (R-inc): 56
POS isn't one of my favorite firms, but the numbers corroborate the conventional wisdom that Gerlach's in much better shape this year than he was in the past two cycles, when Democrat Lois Murphy gave him stiff but unsuccessful challenges.
One thing that's definitely worth noting are the favorability numbers for Gerlach and Roggio. Gerlach sits at a solid 58-20, while Roggio is at an almost comically low 4-1. Yes, those numbers suggest that Roggio has a mere 5% name recognition in this district.
Still, PA-06 is a Dem-trending D+2 district, and if Obama is crushing in November, an upset isn't out of the question. However, it appears that Gerlach may get lucky this year if these numbers are accurate.