Michael Montagano (D): 28
Mark Souder (R-inc): 55
You might remember Indiana's 3rd CD as one of those freak races from 2006. An R+16.3 district, Democrat Tom Hayhurst waged a decently-financed campaign that hit hard against Washington corruption and the status quo. In the end, he held incumbent Rep. Mark Souder to a surprisingly close 54-46 result, which is none too shabby in a district that gave Bush 68% in 2004.
This time, the numbers clearly show an uphill fight for Democrat Michael Montagano. But while he may be unknown right now, Montagano has raised a decent amount of money, currently sitting at #14 on SSP's Cash-on-Hand Competitiveness rankings.
Other findings from the poll offer glimmers of hope: Souder's job approval is at a mediocre 46% positive/46% negative. And while it is pushy, 46% agree and 44% disagree with the following statement: "We can't change the culture of Congress unless we change our Reps; it's time for Souder to come home and for someone else to represent us."
This race is one of the longer long shots, but it's still worth watching.