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IL-11: Halvorson Leads Ozinga in New Poll

by: James L.

Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 5:52 PM EDT

Anzalone-Liszt Research for Debbie Halvorson (5/18-22, likely voters):

Debbie Halvorson (D): 43
Martin Ozinga (R): 32
Jason Wallace (G): 6
Undecided: 18
(MoE: ±4.4%)

Despite this being an R+1.1 district, Democrats hold a 44%-33% generic ballot advantage over Republicans, and a 41%-35% advantage in partisan self-identification.

Certainly not a bad place to start for Halvorson. Full memo below the fold.

SSP currently rates this race as Leans Democratic.

James L. :: IL-11: Halvorson Leads Ozinga in New Poll

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IL-11: Halvorson Leads Ozinga in New Poll | 11 comments

Could it be........

Could it be that the IL GOP is really run by Democrats pretending to be Republicans? First nominating Keyes to fill Jack Ryan's Senate slot, and now nominating Martin Ozinga, with all his ethical issues? PLEASE! Its almost like they are trying to lose, and doing a great job at it!

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

by: Kyle98632 @ Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 22:50:57 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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GOP party in Illinois is dead

by: sulthernao @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 00:02:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

don't forget oberweiss

i doubt anyone smart wanted him to run (if they wanted him to win that is)

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

by: doug_tuttle @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 03:10:25 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

this seat should be a lock for us in IL

now we need to focus on pushing Dan Seals over the finish line...

and why can we never get a strong challenger to Judy Biggert?!?

by: CarnahanDemocrat @ Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 23:02:17 PM UTC

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also IL-18

My friend who lives in IL-15 tells me that Aaron Schock really needs to be kept away from that seat.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 23:18:23 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Judy Biggert

Don't count out Scott Harper. He may have started with little name recongnition in the district but he has run a solid campaign ans has had some good fundraising numbers. With Obama really driving turnout in Illinois, Biggert could be in a lot of trouble. Roskam, Schock, and Manzullo too.

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions

by: skywrnchsr509 @ Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 23:27:25 PM UTC

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Actually closer than I figured

Halvorson should still win this one in a landslide. This is probably our easiest pickup of the cycle with NY-13, NY-25, AZ-01, VA-11 and OH-16 close behind.

by: ChadInFL @ Mon Jun 02, 2008 at 23:31:53 PM UTC

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That's good...

so this shouldn't be a problem for Halvorson then, should it?

by: BruinKid @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 00:02:14 AM UTC

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I'd say no

Halvorsen was removed from the position so she could focus on campaigning. Thats all there is too it. This way, Ozinga can't try to nail every failure to pass something on her feet.

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions

by: skywrnchsr509 @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 00:15:44 AM UTC

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Why are they so weak?

Can someone explain the GOP implosion in Illinois? I am a Democratic optimist and I thought for sure that Blago would lose to Judy Baar Topinka, who made all the right moves to be seen as a moderate (pro-choice, pro-gay, etc), yet he crushed her. Other than her, they've only run ridiculous candidates such as Alan Keyes and Jack "Sex Clubs" Ryan.

by: WestCoastMC @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 05:43:53 AM UTC

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I think republican Governor Ryan hastened their fall

He's still in jail for a 6 1/2 year sentence for widespread corruption during his reign. His administration was corrupt top to bottom.

The only good thing I can say about Ryan was that he placed a moratorium on the death penalty in IL and commuted all death penalty inmates to life imprisonment.

by: ChadInFL @ Tue Jun 03, 2008 at 15:54:32 PM UTC

[ Parent ]