Premium Sponsor


Featured Sponsor


Our Sponsors


Ad Networks

Advertise Liberally

Buy an ad on all of the top liberal blogs with just one click.

Site Stats

AK-AL: New Poll Shows Serious Trouble for Young

by: James L.

Mon May 12, 2008 at 6:33 PM EDT


Hays Research (5/6-7, Republican voters):

Don Young (R-inc): 45
Sean Parnell (R): 42
Gabrielle LeDoux (R): 2
(MoE: ±4.9%)

I'm not sold that this is a solid sample of likely GOP primary voters, but the results are still ominous for Young.

Young's favorables?  A staggering 59% of all respondents (not just Republicans) have an unfavorable opinion of Young, with 30% feeling "very unfavorable" about the crumb-bum congressman.

Meanwhile, Ted Stevens is viewed favorably by 53% of respondents, and unfavorably by 43%.  That's an improvement over the 49%/46% rating that Stevens held back in March.

Primary: 8/26.

James L. :: AK-AL: New Poll Shows Serious Trouble for Young
Tags: , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Shoot
We do NOT need someone else to win. I'm not sure we would beat anyone other than Young.

Think of it as a trade-off.
The more odious Young is, the more easy it is for us to beat him, but the less likely it is for him to survive his primary.

Textbook problem: Find the optimum odiousness.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


[ Parent ]
He'll survive
The rightwing activists aren't doing anything on a national level comparable to what we did for Donna Edwards against Wynn. I think Young is still somewhat embraced because they always tend to lean for the establishment.

That many Republicans willing to vote against Young really bodes well for the GE. I'm more concerned with Beigich beating Ted Stevens, hopefully Young stays on the ticket :)


[ Parent ]
Of course, normally
one would always prefer to run against a non-incumbent candidate rather than the incumbent.

But here I suspect that IF Young loses to Parnell, most Alaskans would consider that they've done the job of cleaning house and would go ahead and vote Parnell in the general
(whereas they might still vote against Young in Nov.)

But still... you'd have to waterboard me before I'd ever root for Young for anything


That's what happened in the AK-Gov election
when the Republicans kicked out Murkowski in his primary against Palin.  Palin won in November, and is now very popular.

Let's not have a repeat of that please.  

John McCain: Healthcare for kids?  Not for a Bush-McCain America.


[ Parent ]
perhaps
We should start and ActBlue page for Congressman Young. Looks like he could use all the help he could get ;)

[ Parent ]
Young needs to go
Yes this certainly would be one of those execptions to the "incumbents are usually stronger" rule. The GOP has caught a few of those breaks this cycle actually, Doolittle, Cubin, Renzi (maybe), etc. Without these a bad upcoming election would be even worse. Anyhow, Alaska deserves a non-corrupt Congressman, hopefully it will be in the form of a Republican though. I wish Parnell would have run earlier, I would have sent him money like I did a few other guys.

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

[ Parent ]
Alaska corruption
A couple of days ago a former Alaska state legislator was convicted and sentencd to three years for getting $4,700 in bribes and a $3,000 summer job for his nephew.  Three years for chump change.  The high paid VECO execs lined up to testify against them and are still at large with huge fortunes.  The only big names they can testify against are RepubLican: Ted Stevens, Don Young, Frank Murkowski and iperhaps Sarah Pallin.    

Bad news
But also Parnell only raised 50k last Q so he isn't going to be able to put much effort into the challenge. Despite Young's legal fee's he has money to spend.

Go Young in the primary! If he wins the primary I think this seat is ours.


But
You have to remember that Parnell announced only a few days before the end of the 1st quarter.

[ Parent ]
Oh
I didn't know that. His fundraising numbers will be interesting then!

[ Parent ]
Is it a closed GOP primary in Alaska?
Can only registered Republicans vote in the GOP primaries for Congress and Senator?  If not, and the Dems can vote n the GOP primary that day, then Dems ought to vote for both Young and Stevens.  We can beat them in the general but may not be able to beat other Republicans not named Young and Stevens.

Only
Republicans, Non-Partisans and Undeclared can vote in the Republican primary, not voters registered for other parties. And Democrats have a primary on their own, so they might be willing to choose their own candidate against Young (or whomever).  

[ Parent ]
Dem vote
Besides that most average voters wouldn't be thinking "If I vote for X in the other party's primary, it will help my guy in the general". Thats just us political junkies. I would guess Parnell would be helped if Dems were allowed to vote.

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

[ Parent ]
this is deeply worrying
i wonder if young has started spending money on direct mail or radio yet.  it will be interesting to see what he does with his financial advantage.  he could run the way ernie fletcher did in the kentucky primary - accenting that he is the true conservative and suggesting that the "scandals" are part of a partisan democratic witchhunt.  and he needs to define parnell.

let me have this damned campaign, i can get young through to his eventual doom.



Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

Talk to your supporters, not tech support. Campaign Engine is the powerful, affordable Progressive Campaign Software.

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

SSP Race Ratings

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox