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KY-Sen: Fischer Trending Upward, But is it Enough?

by: James L.

Tue May 06, 2008 at 12:35 PM EDT


SurveyUSA (5/3-5, likely voters, 4/26-28 in parens):

Bruce Lunsford (D): 41 (43)
Greg Fischer (D): 22 (18)
Others: 32 (32)
Undecided: 4 (6)
(MoE: ±4.1%)

Fischer continues to tick upward, but he's got 20 points to make up in a two week time span.

Lunsford clearly has a ceiling, but is Fischer running a strong enough campaign to exploit it?  I have my doubts.

Primary: 5/20.

James L. :: KY-Sen: Fischer Trending Upward, But is it Enough?
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question?
the governor's race had a %40 threshold to avoid run-off last year; does the %40 threshold apply here? my feeling would be that IF lundsford is held BELOW the %40 threshold that he would lose in the subsequent run-off

Nope
a) the 40% law didn't apply to anything but the Governor's race, making it utterly pointless.

b) the 40% law was repealed this year.


[ Parent ]
thanks for the info
so the primary is winner-take-all?

[ Parent ]
yeah
whoever gets the plurality wins it all.

[ Parent ]
Note to SurveyUSA
do you really need to attach an option for "Others" when your question includes every candidate on the ballot?

the SUSA poll, I find this interesting
QUOTE
Filtering: 1,600 state of KY adults were interviewed 05/03/08 through 05/05/08. Of them, 1,454 were registered to vote. Of them, 595 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/08 Primary. Kentucky's primary is closed; only Democrats may vote.
how many of those register to vote are actually republicans?
I wonder how the 595 likely voters would have polled?
I've never been called on these survey, and I always vote.


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