From a new SurveyUSA poll obtained by Roll Call (likely special election voters, 4/27-29):
Don Cazayoux (D): 50
Woody Jenkins (R): 41
Those are some very encouraging numbers, considering that voters are heading to the polls to decide this race on Saturday. But here's the really amazing thing:
Despite enduring two weeks of constant attacks on the air from Republicans and independent conservative groups, Cazayoux had a net favorability rating of plus-15 (43 percent favorable, 28 percent unfavorable and 28 percent neutral or unfamiliar), according to the poll.
Jenkins, who came into the race with much higher name identification but who was known as a controversial figure, had a minus-13 favorability rating (36 percent favorable, 49 percent unfavorable and 14 percent neutral or unfamiliar).
So let's get this straight: despite $436K spent by the NRCC, $100K by the Club For Growth, $500K by Freedom's Watch, and another $150K or so by Leonard Grisby on an effort to re-brand Cazayoux as a serial tax raiser and lover of Barack Obama, Cazayoux still has higher favorability ratings than Woody Jenkins. Remarkable.