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MS-01: Special Election Results Open Thread

by: James L.

Tue Apr 22, 2008 at 6:50 PM EDT


462 of 462 Precincts Reporting
CandidatePartyVotesPercent
Travis Childers(D) 33,13849%
Greg Davis(R)31,06646%
Steve Holland(D)7821%
Glenn McCullough(R)9571%
Wally Pang(I)7241%
John Wages(G)3971%

RESULTS: Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal | Columbus Dispatch | WCBI | Clarion-Ledger

11:09PM: Ladies and gentlemen -- give it up for SSP's Trent Thompson!  With all the votes in, Childers is sitting at 49.39% and short 409 votes of an outright victory tonight -- awfully close to his projection at 10:45.
10:54PM (Trent): With a little more help, Childers could have put this race away tonight. Let's help make sure we don't have the same regrets on runoff night.
10:45PM: SSP's Trent Thompson: "If the other Prentiss boxes come in at the county's percentages, Childers gets 49.367 and would have needed 400 more votes to top 50."
10:42PM: Wow, we came SO CLOSE to winning a seat in Mississippi tonight, but the AP just called this as going to a runoff on May 13th.  So close, yet so far.
10:31PM: NOTE -- The Dispatch has 100% of the Clay County numbers in, and they split 65-29 (1,609-722) for Childers.  These are NOT reflected in the numbers above.
10:25PM: NOTE -- The Clarion/AP numbers don't count Clay county yet, but the Columbus Dispatch shows Childers carrying the county with 63%.
10:23PM: Childers has pulled ahead by 300 votes!
10:14PM: It's close -- 47% Childers, 48% Davis.  There's probably not enough votes out there to put Childers above the top, but the good news is that the votes likely aren't there for Davis, either.
9:59PM: 47% Childers, 49% Davis.  This is gonna be tight.
9:42PM: Check the Clarion-Ledger for the best results.  DeSoto is ALL in, so there's a chance that Childers will force a runoff here.
9:31PM: Damn!  Davis has pulled ahead.  Are we seeing DeSoto come in?
9:06PM: A word of caution -- I don't know if Davis' homebase, GOP-heavy DeSoto county, has started to report yet.  I suspect that it has not.  Brace yourselves for it, though.
9:03PM Eastern: In Lowndes County, Childers only trails Davis by 4.  This is a pretty Republican county, so I take that as good news for Childers.

Polls close at 7PM Central/8PM Eastern in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District.  We'll be tracking the returns above as they come in.

Feel free to use the grace period to post your predictions in the comments.

For what it's worth, here were the vote totals from the April 1st primary runoff:

CandidateVotes
Travis Childers20,729
Steve Holland15,439
Greg Davis16,830
Glenn McCullough16,305
James L. :: MS-01: Special Election Results Open Thread
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MS-01: Special Election Results Open Thread | 156 comments
Go Childers!


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
This is sad
It's doubtful that either candidate will reach 50% and we are stuck with the runoff.  Which is what day again?  5/3? 5/6?
5/13

[ Parent ]
Three weeks away.
Bah.  Two long.  
[ Parent ]
You can chew on LA-06 in the meantime.
That's on 5/3.
[ Parent ]
Childers
GO Childers!!!!

How do you change your profile name?

I was once a Edwards supporter then a STRONG HILLARY supporter, and when Obama gave his Race speech I switched to him. GO OBAMA!!! GO CHILDERS!!!

DeSoto County
Some reliable sources are telling me that voter turnout was low in Davis's home county of DeSoto.  That can only be good news for Childers.
That is good, if true.
Looks like it might be pretty low everywhere, though.
[ Parent ]
My random prediction:
Childers 46.5, Davis 44.5, McCullough 7, others 2.

Goes to runoff, national GOP leans on McCullough, he in turn does more to consolidate his support under Davis, Davis wins a very very expensive runoff, by several points.  McCullough gets some kind of swanky payback in the dim future.  NRCC is damaged even though it holds the seat.  Davis wins reelection in Nov 08.

I arrived at this prediction using the Stoller rule: the most irritating outcome is the likely one.


1 Precinct reporting
Childers 62%
Davis 32%
Keep it up, Childers!
As a more practical question, where are results coming in from?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Linked in the diary
[ Parent ]
7% reporting
Childers 57
Davis 38
[ Parent ]
12%
Childers 56
Davis 39
[ Parent ]
7% in
Holding up at 57%!
12%
Still leading over the 50% marker: 56-39

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
DCCC didn't even spend much on this one right?
The fact that Childers is at least going to be close, if not win this, is quite amazing to me.
Childers is still
at 56.

Man. If he goes to Washington tomorow. That would be huge.

No kidding
I'm watching this as much as the presidential race now.  
[ Parent ]
Me too
and I have been a obama activist since draft obama.
[ Parent ]
I'm not even watching
the presidential race right now.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Closer now
Childers at 51% with 13% reporting.
51-44. Both numbers matter

[ Parent ]
That 13th percent was a bitch.

[ Parent ]
Alabama!?
The fact that our guys is leading, still by over 50%, in a special election in ALABAMA is simply stunning.

Yeah, we can worry about runoffs and all such, but come one. A Dem winning a special election in ALABAMA?!?

God bless the Democratic Party in MS-01 and everyone who gave energy, time and money on this one.

(Oh, and go Judy Feder!)

...MS Stands for Mississippi...

[ Parent ]
Yeah, that's what I meant
Call me a ginormous idiot. I blame Pennsylvania. :)
[ Parent ]
Go Childers!
Congressman Gene Taylor (Ms-04) gave $2,000 to Travis Childers to help out with this campaign.
I'm really liking the Democratic unity we have right now, I hope we can take this one!
Increase for Childers
16% reporting: 53-43

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
Good so far
I hope the remaining precincts have very few voters and are located in childer's base.
46% in
Davis - 48%
Childers - 46%
Dammit


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
I'm getting 40%
Childers 53%
Davis 43%
[ Parent ]
50-46
Now 50-46% Davis.  Hopefully it's DeSoto all coming in.
[ Parent ]
Who
Who is Steve Holland (D)?
If his 2% (currently) of the votes costs Childers the win that would REALLY suck ...
The second D and R were the losers of
the primary race for the general a few weeks ago.  They tried to get off the ballot, but the officials said no.
[ Parent ]
He couldn't get off the ballot
Run off rules got a little screwy.  
[ Parent ]
Davis takes the lead
46% in: 46-50

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
Now 50 percent in
same split.

Grr.

[ Parent ]
Don't Panic
All of Desoto County is in; Davis got 81% there.  Childers still has all of Prentiss County (his home county) and Lafayette (Oxford - a liberal stronghold).  No precincts have come in there yet This thing is not over yet.
[ Parent ]
61 in
52-44

Grr. Can't we at least get a runoff?

See For Yourself
Here's a link to all the vote totals.  All the results from DeSoto County are in.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/f...

Is DeSoto all in?
If it is, then it might be better from this point on.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Hope so
51Davis - 44Childers
[ Parent ]
hope that link helps
Keep refreshing the Clarion Ledger's website.  They're updating it quickly.
[ Parent ]
It was fun watching the first 40% come in!
I guess now the best hope is to keep Davis under 50% so there is a run-off where there is somehow a chance for the Democrats to come back.

KELL
61% in, down 44-52


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
counties yet to report
Now that DeSoto County has fully reported, let's look at the counties that have and have not reported.

Childers did very well in Lee County, home of Senator Wicker.

Travis Childer's home county of Prentiss has not reported yet.  He should do very well there.

Clay County is historically very Democratic so that should be good.

Lafayette County will be about half and half.  It's a college town, so a lot of educated liberals will get out and vote - I used to vote there.

Grenada County will be about half and half with a Democratic edge.

Benton and Calhoun Counties will have a Democratic edge.

Grenada
is 50% African American population, still remains.
Looking tough
Lafayette County went for Davis narrowly.  Childers needs 3000 votes.  Can he find them in the rural counties left?  If he loses, there's still hope for November, when black turnout will likely be higher if Obama is on the ticket.
[ Parent ]
Still has home base
of Prentiss county too.
[ Parent ]
Prentiss is still out
Childers' home county.  He's been chancery clerk there for years, and is quite well known.  He should win big there.  Hold on Hope!
[ Parent ]
2,000
He only needs about 2,000.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
71% Reporting
51% Davis
45% Childers

We still have three areas that should come out big for Childers  

82% Reporting
50% Davis
46% Childers
[ Parent ]
83% reporting
47% Childers
49% Davis
[ Parent ]
Prentiss County is giving Childers the margins
he needs to overcome Davis, don't know if either will break 50% though.  
[ Parent ]
88% Reporting
Childers 46%
Davis 49%

Prentiss is still 2/3rds out, and will give Childers a strong edge.  

[ Parent ]
387/462 46-49


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
below 50%
Davis is below 50%.  Let's keep him there!
Prentiss starting to report
Coming back strong, still 10 more precincts there.
Prentiss is starting to come in
Hold on to your hat, it's now 49-47 Davis.  Prentiss is 85% for Childers with 67% of county precincts yet to report.
yup, runoff-bound
DeSoto's the only thing that even put davis over - he ran up 81% there. if the DCCC had spent evenly childers might even have won it.

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams
Clay County
Clay County has still not reported.  If history is any indication, Clay County will deliver for the Democrats.  It was one of the few counties in northern Mississippi to vote for Kerry.
ok - plus prentiss
with 5/15 in, childers is up by 1,000 votes

logic would stand that with full 15 in, he'd gain 2000 more, which would put his totals over davis's

how populous is clay? enough to put him over 50%?

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams

[ Parent ]
Calhoun County
I'm reluctant to call Calhoun County.  It's got a lot of old-school Democrat, but they often vote Republican nationally.  This one might go for Davis, but not by much if it does.
[ Parent ]
worth noting
That turnout looks to be almost the same as the april 1st primary runoff... Its looks like Mississippians are more interested than one would expect for a congressional runoff seat.  
Still a chance
All of the remaining precincts are in pro-Childers counties.  Many of them are small, but there might yet be the votes to take the lead (if not 50%)
427/462 47-28931 48-29390


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
500 votes!
And still six prentiss precincts to go!  We're going to win this!
anybody else
following this thread extra-attentively because they're jonesing for some good news to offset PA results?

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams
haha
I muted CNN a long time ago! lol  
[ Parent ]
LOL
Me too!  
[ Parent ]
~2000 votes
That's all Childers needs to take it without a runoff.
Less than 500 votes down...
Here we go....
Two counties left
Clay and Calhoun have no precincts reporting.  What do we know about those?
look up
Read my posts about Clay and Calhoun a few lines up.
[ Parent ]
6 counties in Prentiss should deliver
over 1000 votes more for us than Davis.  
[ Parent ]
Down by 352 votes
With 31 precincts left, including 6 in Prentiss County
Clay County
Was 56% black in 2000.  Looks good for Childers....
Calhoun County
I have family down in Calhoun County.  They're hard to read sometimes.  They have Democrats representing them in the state legislature, but they still vote Republican in national elections.  We'll see how Travis's good-ole-boy politics played down there.  For now, I'd say it's good that we have Davis under 50%.
[ Parent ]
Supposedly Grenada was 50% black
and they voted for Davis.  Not a good indicator.  
[ Parent ]
434/462 48-29997 48-29659


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
Childers in the lead!
By 338 votes.  Three Prentiss precincts left.  Can he reach 50%
He needs to net about 1200 votes
Prentiss eats through 2/3 of that, assuming the remainder is representative.  Narrow wins in the other counties ought to carry him the rest of the way.  And if what everyone has been saying about Clay and Calhoun is true, that looks likely.
[ Parent ]
MAN!
This is why I love politics... Sports are not my game, baby... But this is just as good... And it takes a lot less work, but sometimes more money (ie donations to candidates).... This is so close, its awesome. Even if Republicans eventually do win this seat, this is an unbelievable showing for a Democrat in what is considered the very solid Republican South! Way to go Childers!
Sports can be more expensive if you have
a betting problem.  
[ Parent ]
very good point.

[ Parent ]
what it takes to win
he's gotta get up to 50, which means davis would probably go down to 46....

4% in an election of what, 60 thousand votes total? so he's gotta get a lead of slightly more than 2,000?

well, if calhoun doesn't go davis, and Clay is as big for him as it could be... plus what's left of prentiss... he'll have it.

i'm still wondering how populous clay is

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams

also
Winston County is my new favorite county... It went 100% for Childers... lol all 4 of them. What do we think? is this all one family? How long did it take them to count their votes? lol As someone that lives in Los Angeles County, this is unbelieveable to me! lol
Winston
Is a split county.  Most of it is in another district I think.
All of the Remaining precincts
Are Democratic.  Childress will win, but can he reach 50%?
doubt it
I don't think Childers can get 50% as it stands, but he could come very close.  Y'all, I'm freaking the f out right now.  This has been the most excitement I've seen in my homestate's politics in a while.  I bet good money that Chris Van Hollen is going to cut a check tomorrow morning.
[ Parent ]
Tomorrow?
I think he's writing the check as we speak. Forcing a run-off in a +10R district is big. Winning that run-off would be HUGE. Easily worth spending $100,000 to $200,000 more.  
[ Parent ]
According to 2000 census
Clay county had 22,000 people; 15,000 in Calhoun county.  Plenty of votes left!
Turnout is so low though
I wouldn't expect more than 2000 total votes from both of them.  
[ Parent ]
so homepage says
columbus dispatch has clay as 63% childers

still wondering how many goddamn people are there -- as long as it ain't wilson country maybe it'll put him up to 50

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams

he nets almost 1000
from clay

(not yet reflected in totals)

damn, if i didn't steal my wireless from the unsuspecting soul food joint across the street, i could keep up with this a lot better...

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams

[ Parent ]
Calhoun County
As I figured, Calhoun went very slightly for Davis.  
[ Parent ]
oops... flip that... my bad

[ Parent ]
Childers needs to net ~1500 in Clay and Calhoun.
That may be a tall order.
Calhoun is in...
He only net about 190 votes there.
[ Parent ]
Looks like the DCCC needed to
put in a little more $$ here.  Still, there's time to bankrupt the NRCC.
Calhoun is in
Childers wins it by 191 votes.  All that's left is the black majority Clay County and three Prentiss precincts.
48%-47%
only need Prentiss... They'd have to deliver about 2000 votes for Childers, 0 for Davis to get us over 50% in the remaining three precincts.  It isn't going to happen.  
NVM my numbers were off. I must have missed 1 precinct
that wasn't counted from a county that was almost entirely done.  
[ Parent ]
Clay County in?
According to the Columbus newspaper, Childers won Clay by 887 votes.
3 To Go
3 boxes left... all in Prentiss County.  Let's pray we can get to 50%.  Not likely, but we can hope.
How many votes do we need?


party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
He needs a little over a net of 1000 votes with 3 counties left
It isn't likely...
[ Parent ]
The Clarion Ledger has declared it'll go to a runoff
so I'm not hopeful.
[ Parent ]
looks like he'll just miss 50
the remaining prentiss should net him 500... clay netted him slightly less than 1000 according to up top... calhoun wasn't big enough to make much of a nick... looks like he'll win by slightly less than 2000

It is difficult to get the news from poems, but men die miserably every day for lack of what is found there. --William Carlos Williams
AP calls runoff
Childers 49; Davis - 47.  Three Prentiss precincts remaining. How many votes does he need?
Over 1000 votes net gain from 3 counties
in Prentiss.  
[ Parent ]
DCCC
should have spent more money, could have gotten more of an African-American vote. We should have won Grenada.
Oh What A Night
Ladies and Gentlemen -

This has been an amazing election.  I'm so proud of Childers.  If you can spare some cash, I know he could use some dough in the coffers.  Let's make sure the soon-to-be Congressman elect has what he needs!

Other race
Anyone else notice these results for the Aberdeen Ward 2 (on the Daily Journal website, just below the MS-01 race)?

Ward 2

Precincts Reporting: 100%

Candidate Votes Percentage

CLOYD GARTH 264 50.1%
WILCHIE CLAY 263 49.9%

That's quite a race!

Needs to net around 750 in the remaining 3 precincts
...
Man
The DCCC must be wishing they had dropped another 100,000k in it.

400 votes and we would have had a HUGE win.

500 votes.

Damnit.

We have a real chance of winning the runoff though.

So Holland's votes
would've put him over the top?

DAMMIT!

Well, we can still win this thing on 5/13...let's run with it!  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

What about absentee and provisional ballots?
Have they been counted yet?  Is there a chance they will help Childers get the 50% outright and avoid a run-off?
Dang runoff
Little doubt Childress would have won 1 on 1.  He'll have a better than 2,000 vote margin when all is said and done.  Hope he can carry it through on the 13th, but if the two losing Dem & Rep candidates had been taken off the ballot, as they both requested, it probably would have been just enough to get Childress over 50%.

Exciting anyway, but a bit disappointing to come SO close!

NRCC will burn more money to protect this
Is that what the DCCC wanted?  Very possible.  They better ****in' win this one though.  Just showed we could.  
This is the best possible outcome
The cash-poor NRCC spent double what the flush DCCC spent and still couldn't manage even to get Davis more votes than Childers.  This way, the DCCC gets to bleed them a little more for the next few weeks (or force them to abandon the race) while Davis is forced to go hard(er)-negative to counter the bad press from losing tonight's race to Childers.
[ Parent ]
I agree
Davis had his county (DeSoto) show up huge for him and he still flubbed it.  +8000 votes and he still lost the plurality.  
[ Parent ]
Red to Blue
I think it's save to say we have a candidate for addition to Red to Blue.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
FOUR SIXTY ONE OUT OF FOUR SIXTY TWO
32974 49%
31036 46%

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
Childers at 49.3%...
with 1 precinct left.  Argg... so close it's maddening!
So close...
  He'd have to channel Landslide Lyndon Johnson to win this one.

23, Male, PA-07
[ Parent ]
Someone help me
My math shows that if the 3 remaining Prentiss precincts still to come, deliver in the 85% rate and population is in line with other precincts. There should be a net of app. 825. Childers needs a net of 750 to reach 50%.

Unless the AP already has these totals this is still attainable!!!!!!!!!1

Based on my primitive math
and assuming each Prentiss box is equal (very unlikely); he should net 691 votes.  This might put him over the top.  Keep hope alive!
We're looking at 1 more prentiss precinct though.

[ Parent ]
So, so close.
This is maddeningly close. Maybe we can get the Republicans to sink another $400,000 or so in a run-off. I can't imagine they are looking forward to another leg of this campaign.  
What are the recount rules in these types of situations?
Can he ask for one?

DemConWatch
Vote breakdown with 1 precinct left to report...
Democrats (Childers, Holland) - 50.5%
Republicans (Davis, McCullough) - 47.8%
Others (Green and Indy candidates) - 1.7%

Don't wanna be overly optimistic, but the runoff looks good for us.  Holland voters are probably more likely to turnout for Childers than McCullough are for Davis given Holland's enthusiastic support of Childers.  Plus the green voters aren't likely to go repub

couldn't agree more
The McCullough folks are still very pissed at the Davis folks for such a nasty primary.  I highly doubt that McCullough will be on the phone getting his folks out to the ballot boxes in three weeks.

Steve Holland, the ever-energetic man that he is, will be all over Lee County getting folks to the boxes for Travis.  I'd argue that Holland helped out tremendously with the turnout in Lee County tonight.

Let's keep in mind that the runoff is three weeks away, and if there's anything we all know is that a day is a lifetime in politics.  

All things considered, this has been a great night.

[ Parent ]
One precinct left
It looks like Childers will fall a few hundred votes short.  Damn.  Get ready for the run-off
462/462
He fell about 1000 votes short, or pretty close to.  
[ Parent ]
Childers fell 409 votes short
33,547 was the magic number.  So very close.  My early prediction is 52-48% Childers for the runoff.  It's gonna be interesting.  The Republicans are gonna be in full panic mode.
All votes are in
It's a runoff.  Childers fell 400 votes short of winning it outright.  The runoff should be interesting.  I assume there will be no party designations (as there weren't in today's election).  I hope the DCCC pumps some money into the district.
They already have
I don't see why they wouldn't.  
[ Parent ]
The DCCC should have spent more and put this one away...
If they had done so, the Repubs would have uped the ante too, but probably still would not have won.  

Now we take a chance of something going wrong in the ensuing three weeks.  

Childers has as good a chance as Davis at least, but three weeks is a long time in politics. This gives the GOP the chance to re-group

Hopefully, the GOP will spend large sums and still lose it.    

I agree
We could have put this one away tonight with some money invested on field ops.  Hopefully we still have a good chance on 5/13.
[ Parent ]
Avoiding runoff
It would have been very difficult to avoid a runoff no matter how much was spent given the six candidate field.  To their credits, Holland & McCullough both requested their names be removed.  If this had happened, and the voters went party line, Childers would have been at 51.9%.  Had the Holland & McCullough voters just stayed home, he would have had 50.7%.

To their credit, voters in the 1st turned out quite well.  There were just over 67 thousand votes compared to 69 thousand in the primary runoff, not bad at all for their third election in just a few weeks time.  Hard to believe more GOTV would have made much difference.  What was really needed was a one-on-one confrontation.

Davis's advantage is that he only has to turn out one county on the 13th.  On the other hand, Childers crushed him in the rest of the district (31 thousand to 21 thousand) so there might be a lot of Childers enthusiasm. Take out both home counties and Childers still has a 6,500 vote margin everywhere else. Maybe voters in the rest of the district will be energized to keep one county from dominating their voices.

Sure hope so!

[ Parent ]
I can't agree...
Childers was outspent 2-1.  A majority black county (Grenada)went GOP, by a lot too.  Where was the GOTV effort there?  

The DCCC did not take this seriously enough.  To make amends, they need to spend whatever it takes to  get Childers to 52-53% in the 5/13 runoff.  Whatever they spend, the GOP will match, which in itself would be a victory.

An outright win would have given Musgrove and especially Childers lots of momentum for November.

Even though the Dems won 31 seats in 2006, there were quite a few seats 'left on the table'.  With the monetary advantage now in place, that is not accepatble this time.  You have to strike when the iron is hot, and it is red hot now. 2010 could be an entirely different ballgame, get the pickups NOW.    

[ Parent ]
As I said...
...he needs to be added to Red to Blue without delay.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.
[ Parent ]
I'll ask again
Can he ask for a recount?

DemConWatch
Maybe he could
But politically it would be an unwise move, most likely.  Candidates who ask for recounts generally take a bruising in the court of public opinion, and it makes it seem like Childers has something to lose by taking it to another vote.  No, the best option for Childers is to fight on.
[ Parent ]
How about a mandated one
In a normal election, if you come within a certain %, a recount is mandated by law. But looking at the numbers, he's at 49.4%, so probably not.

DemConWatch
[ Parent ]
Well, there's no saying what that % is
for example, in WY-AL last year, it was auto-recount if the results were within less than 1000 votes.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Speaking of recounts
take a look at the results of the second race on the page (directly under the Childers-Dave contect) at  
http://www.djournal.com/pages/...

Aberdeen Ward 2    Precincts Reporting: 100%
Candidate      Votes
CLOYD GARTH  264
WILCHIE CLAY 263

ONE VOTE!. Yikes, there's one they'll be recounting
[ Parent ]
Yeah,
that one was freaking awesome to look at.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01
[ Parent ]
Could be mandated, but still no panecea..
You lose votes and gain votes in a recount.  .6% is a lot to make up.  It wouldn't be finished for a week at least. Better to let that dog lie.    
bummed, but there's a very expensive silver lining
Damn!  We almost won the seaty while spending only half as much cash.  The silver lining:  they've already spend 400K and now it's in earnest.  the NRCC could end up spending (cue dr. evil) ONE MILLION DOLLARS! on an R10 seat.
How much money?
I wonder how much money the Democrats will spend? I say they should match the Republicans dollar for dollar, with a 15% tip on top.  
[ Parent ]
It's not a very expensive media market
Besides, the NRCC outspent the DCCC 2-1, and look where it got them.
[ Parent ]
MS-01: Special Election Results Open Thread | 156 comments

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