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A Democratic Nebraska

by: Alizarin

Tue Mar 08, 2011 at 12:27 AM EST


Since Obama managed to win Nebraska's second congressional district 3 years ago I've been wondering just how Democratic a district it is possible to make in Nebraska. With the new census data becoming available, now seemed as good a time as any to find out! As Dave's Redistricting App doesn't include partisan data for Nebraska I tabulated each precinct by hand.


CD1 Blue
57% Obama 43% McCain, 71/11/12 W/B/H

The Democratic district stretches predictably enough from Omaha to Lincoln and on into Saline county. While it certainly isn't the most Democratic congressional district going around it is pretty darn blue for Nebraska and the right kind of Democrat could do very well here.  

CD2 Green
39% Obama 61% McCain, 90/2/5 W/B/H

The non-CD1 parts of south-east Nebraska.

CD3 Dark magenta
30% Obama 70% McCain, 85/1/11 W/B/H

The rest of Nebraska.

Alizarin :: A Democratic Nebraska
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good work
doing precinct counts by hand is not fun at all.

I like the map!

18, Dem, PA-7


Good map. Kind of makes me wonder if it's possible to draw
2 Obama districts. Another question- Are the precincts roughly aligned with the Census tracts in Nebraska? If so, we could get onto making data available for the App.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)

Completely off topic, but
What do you the of the SPD mopping up your election in Hamburg?  Solely local issues or a sign of things to come?  

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
Mainly local issues, though if the election HAD been
dominated by national issues, it would have turned out the same- the national CDU is just as unpopular as the local one- especially with the most popular politician in the coalition having resigned.

But Hamburg was about two issues- the butched school reform (http://www.dw-world.de/dw/article/0,,5814250,00.html) that was absolutely hated by everyone, and the ruling coalition's fuckups in supervising the construction of the Elbphilharmonie (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elbe_Philharmonic_Hall)- a concert hall- the building time and building costs seem to become more expensive every day.

Lastly, the optics of the break-up of the coalition were terrible, with the Greens unexpectedly leaving the coalition and both parties blaming each other for the mistakes of the last year.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)


[ Parent ]
I don't know why the links aren't links, haha.
[ Parent ]
Thanks!
I guess Baden-Württemberg will be the key test in a couple weeks, if the CDU loses there too the writing will be on the wall for Merkel, though once again it could be attributed to Stuttgart 21 and not the national climate.

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
Yes, and Baden-Württemberg is a dead heat.
The last two polls have the CDU-FDP at 45-46% (CDU roughly 38%, FDP roughly 7%), and the SPD-Greens at... 45-46% (SPD at about 26%, Greens at about 20%). The Left is at 4%- narrowly missing the 5%-cutoff for getting seats.

The last election 2006 got the CDU-FDP a combined 55.9% to 36.9% for SPD-Green.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)


[ Parent ]
I agree, I like )

It is very interesting.

[ Parent ]

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