| In my honest opinion, Louisiana is the state least alike the other 47 states that make up the continental United States.
Administrative subdivisions are called parishes, not counties. It is a civil law state, as opposed to the other 49 common law states.
Politics in the state are no different.
Party labels are very fluid. In state government, there are conservative Democrats - although less so now - and some fairly moderate Republicans, especially for standards of the Deep South.
In the past few months, Democrats have taken a hit, and in Louisiana, it has been no different.
For the first time since Reconstruction, Republicans control the state house. There is a Republican governor, and after Attorney General Buddy Caldwell's party switch last week, the only statewide elected Democrat is Sen. Mary Landrieu.
That leaves the state senate, which currently is split right down the middle, 19 Democrats and 19 Republicans.
This gridlock is a result of party switchers, notably state Sen. John Alario, and a single vacancy.
Redistricting in the state is done by the legislature and the governor and it seems the last chance for Democrats to be at the table, outside the Holder DOJ, is the state senate.
Let's look at that vacancy.
The 26th district is vacant after Sen. Nick Gautreaux resigned to become Bobby Jindal's commissioner of the Office of Motor Vehicles.
(Just an aside, this appointment and that of a former independent state senator as the Commissioner of the Office of Alcohol and Tobacco Control was smart politically by the governor and is VERY reminiscent of President Obama's appointments of Jon Huntsman and John Mchugh)
The 26th district includes all of Vermillion parish and parts of Acadia, Lafayette and St. Landry parishes.
The district takes in areas of Cajun country west of Lafayette and stretches down south to include Vermillion parish, ending at the Gulf. To better understand the region, the 2000 census reported about a quarter of people in Vermillion speak French or Cajun French at home.
This area is historically Democratic. In the jungle primary in the 2003 gubernatorial election, 3 of the 4 parishes in district 26 were won by Kathleen Babineaux Blanco, who would win only 7 parishes and grab only 18% of the vote but squeak into the general election against Bobby Jindal.
This small chunk of Acadiana will decide which party will control the state senate.
After Gautreaux's announcement that he would resign, Republican state Rep. Jonathan Perry, who represents much of the sparsely populated coastal parts of Vermillion and Cameron parishes, entered the race.
Soon thereafter, Democrat Nathan Granger, a member of the Vermillion Parish Police Jury and owner of an oilfield services company, entered the race.
At this stage in the race, both camps have released dueling internals showing each with about a 10 point lead.
Anecdotally, I have heard from a friend from Crowley that the area is swamped with advertisements from Granger and after reviewing campaign finance reports, it appears that is the case.
As of Jan. 31, campaign finance reports show Granger raised about 280k, of which 220k was self-funded, with 100k COH.
Perry has raised 90k and has 30k COH.
Take all this with a grain of salt, but it appears that this Blue Dog might just dispatch a Tea Partier in a very important race for Louisiana politics.
In part 2, the map I unveil will show why Democrats need to have a seat at the redistricting table as I attempt to create a VRA district based in New Orleans that DOES NOT stretch all the way to Baton Rouge. |
