One more race down in the House, with NC-02 coming to a conclusion. The recount requested by Bobby Etheridge didn't seem to change the numbers much, if at all:
Democratic Rep. Bobby Etheridge will concede to Republican Renee Ellmers, a Democratic source confirms.
With local election officials completing their recount of votes cast in North Carolina's 2nd District race, Ellmers led Etheridge by 1,489 votes.
With Ellmers pretty clearly on the outs with the NRCC, the real question here for her survival in 2012 is how much the North Carolina legislature, under GOP control for the redistricting process, will reconfigure the Raleigh area lines in order to protect Ellmers. (You might remember that a similarly-configured 2nd also had a Republican Rep. for 2 years following the previous GOP wave in 1994, the long-forgotten David Funderburk, beaten in 1996 by Etheridge.) The current configuration of the district (which includes part of Raleigh proper) is swingy enough (R+2) that she could have a rough time in her first re-election... unless her district gets pushed further out into the exurbs and rural counties, and Brad Miller's NC-13 becomes more Raleigh-centric.
Of all the list of outstanding races, this was the one that seemed least likely to get reversed, given that the disparity was always in the four digits and the AP never un-called the race. That leaves only four House races left to resolve, including CA-11 and CA-20, where Dem victories seem very likely, meaning that NY-01 and NY-25 are the real question marks. (UPDATE: Make that five, as a recount is still pending in the likely loss in TX-27.)
