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Chicago Mayor: Who's In, Who's Out, and Who's Endorsing Who

by: jeffmd

Thu Nov 11, 2010 at 10:15 AM EST


It's been less than a week since Bill Brady conceded defeat to Governor Quinn, but nomination petitions for Mayor (and Aldermen) can be filed starting next Monday, November 15th, and due a week after that, November 22nd.

Last time we discussed this race, it seemed like everyone and their mother was considering running. But since then, the 800-pound-fuckin' gorilla Rahm Emanuel has jumped in, and is taking up most of the oxygen in the room.

Many people have declared that they're not running now, but notably:

So who's actually in?

  • RAAAAHM.
  • IL-07 Rep. Danny Davis
  • City Clerk Miguel Del Valle
  • State Senator James Meeks
  • Daley appointee-turned-critic Gery Chico
  • Cook County Board of Review member Larry Rogers
  • Former US Senator Carol Moseley-Braun, and possibly:
  • Soon-to-be former US Senator Roland Burris

As the Trib suggests, this compressed timeframe might make it hard for any of the candidates to build a true ward-by-ward organization - and candidates may be relying on the aldermanic machines to turn out some votes. Plenty of endorsements have flown around...and can probably be shown visually (we'll keep this updated as more endorsements roll out). Green for Emanuel, yellow for Chico, red for Del Valle, blue for Davis.

jeffmd :: Chicago Mayor: Who's In, Who's Out, and Who's Endorsing Who
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Whoa, some of these districts look insane
Gerrymandering is one of the most baffling aspects of US democracy, for an outsider - and one of the most blatantly wrong ones.

38, Male, SP, NL / LMP, HU

Thats to be expected
They are drawn along ethnic lines for the most part.

23, dude, gay, IL-13

[ Parent ]
For comparison
Ethnic/racial lines in Chicago

It's an interesting comparison between the two maps.


[ Parent ]
That's a VERY common misunderstanding.
It can be derived from Tobler's Law and from the fact that Democrats are concentrated in cities that so-called 'fair' gerrymanders that go by a measure of compactness or roundness or something like that create a natural gerrymander for Republicans.

18- Hamburg, Germany (non-US-citizen)

[ Parent ]
Who else
David Hoffman has ruled out a run.
Alexi seems very unlikely.
Sandi Jackson is unlikely too now that there is a consensus candidate in the black community.

Ron Huberman is an outside possibility, since he is stepping down from CPS soon.


23, dude, gay, IL-13


Lisa Madigan?
Has she ruled it out?  

[ Parent ]
She is probably
going to go for statewide office, though who knows after her surprise decision this year to run for re-election. She is probably the most ambitious Democrat in the state.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Lisa Madigan
She doesn't seem to think there is a rush for anything yet. I think she wants the Governor's office, but will only do so once her Dad retires from being Speaker of the House.

23, dude, gay, IL-13

[ Parent ]
thought that Rogers withdrew when Davis came in
also, awesome map.. here's the Presidential primary result map if that gives you any indication of ward loyalties

Also, Topinka beat Miller in the 23rd, 36th, 38th, 41st, 42nd, 43rd, and 45th. Mark Kirk only beat Alexi in the 41st.


2004 Senate Primary
Obama in blue, Hynes in red, Chico in green



[ Parent ]
Obama is blue and Clinton red, right?


[ Parent ]
or, just
A block by block ethnic map:

A taxonomy of transitions


chicago
Is the mayor going to be endorsing any of the candidates? And how much of a boost would that give the candidate he endorses in getting an organization together?

Also, looks like Rahm has a bit of a head start but aren't the green areas part of his former district in Congress?


Looks like it is going to be
another tough guy which you need to run Chicago or Rahm Isreal FTMFW

41 African-American Female DC
Taxation but no representation...


Emanuel's residency issue.
I'm assuming this is just anti-Rahm campaigns blowing it out of proportion?

If not, maybe he should try to get a pre-election ruling, like Bysiewicz attempting to run for CT AG did.
Or alternatively wait until afterward (if elected). A judge might be hesitant to create a crisis by declaring the winner ineligible and the office vacant.  


it'll be when his petitions are submitted.
One of his opponents will challenge his ballot eligibility.

[ Parent ]
Giannoulias to meet with group of anti-Emanuel aldermen
19th Warders?
One story talked about how Rahm was almost surely going to win, and the talk of others was a dying convulsion of various groups -- including 19th-warders.  What is special about the 19th ward?


Ward 19
I believe Ward 19 consists of Beverley and Morgan Park, two long time Irish stronghold neighborhoods. This is the Daley machine's base.

23, dude, gay, IL-13

[ Parent ]
gerrymander boundaries
(1)  Do people living in Chicago actually know which ward they're in?  Or do wards at least match up reasonably well with known neighborhood designations?

(2)  Does anyone have the story on the enclaves, like the missing rectangle in ward 19, or the (city?) surrounded by wards 36, 38, 41, and 45?


Exclaves
They are Merrionette Park on the South Side, and Norridge and Harwood Heights on the North Side. For whatever reason, they were never annexed by The City of Chicago.

I know in the case of Harwood Heights, the city rejected their application for annexation back in the 1940s, and it has chosen to remain completely independent since then.

23, dude, gay, IL-13


[ Parent ]
I feel like
I once got a piece of mail from my alder...um...critter, something about a liquor law or something. But I couldn't tell you without looking at a map what ward I live in. Then again, I've only lived there for 2 years. Certainly people who regularly vote in Chicago might have an idea of what ward they're in.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]

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