Well, there goes that diary

On the bright side, you saved me a lot of time tonight!

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

---

by: MassGOP @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:38:10 AM UTC

AZ and HI?

Don't Arizona and Hawaii close an hour later this year due to Daylight Savings Time still being in effect for the rest of us?

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)

---

by: Goobergunch @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:43:28 AM UTC

Thanks for the catch

We're updating.

---

by: DavidNYC @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:24:51 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks

This is now fixed.

---

by: James L. @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:54:01 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Awesome ^^

Thanks for providing what has to be the best poll closing map on the 'Net.

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)

---

by: Goobergunch @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:57:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

If so then

the reservations in AZ should close an hour before the rest of the state no? (since they observe DST)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:22:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I think so, but it doesn't matter

Either way, nothing will be reported until 8pm (Daylight Savings Time-free) Arizona local time. During the primaries, nothing came out from the Navajo Nation (which is actually the only part of the state on Daylight Savings Time) until 8pm.

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.

---

by: Nico @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:26:32 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Could it mean

slightly faster AZ-01 results, since presumably in that gap hour they could start counting votes?

(not like we won't have plenty of other races to occupy our attention then...)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:38:02 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Maybe a little faster

Might speed things up somewhat in Apache County and slightly in Navajo and Coconino Counties, which combined are going to account for about 40% of the AZ-01 vote.

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.

---

by: Nico @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:51:50 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Gonna be a late night

Grab some coffee to see the Alaska and Hawaii returns.

Any guesses on how many races won't be called tomorrow night? I am guessing at least 10 total races won't be known until Wednesday or later.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."

---

by: OGGoldy @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:45:33 AM UTC

Defintely not AK-Sen

That one is guaranteed not to be done tom. WA-Sen is unlikely to be called.

---

by: GOPVOTER @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:21:57 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Hawaii voting

ends at 5 pm local??? That seems awfully early!

---

by: itskevin @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:48:31 AM UTC

6 PM, same as Indiana

it is pretty damn early though!

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:23:25 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Bloody hell!

Ky and Indiana polls closing at six means I have to be good and drunk before the sun is even down.  

6pm - to keep the working stiffs from voting.  Dems have GOTV, GOP has RDV = Repress Dem Vote.  

It's gonna be a bloodbath.  

---

by: Roscoe @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:49:23 AM UTC

They won't report votes

Until the entire state has closed the polls. So you don't ACTUALLY have to be drunk until 7 EST if you want to soften the blow of the results.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."

---

by: OGGoldy @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:55:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Actually

 As I remember in 2008, the eastern parts of Indiana and Kentucky started reporting before the western parts finished voting.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....

17, CA-06,  

---

by: Alibguy @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:03:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

This is correct

but statewide races cannot be called while polls in some of the state are still open. However I believe Idaho is an exception and won't report results until all of the state finishes voting, so we may have to wait an extra hour to learn what's up with Walt Minnick.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:28:03 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I have to be drunk at 7 AM...

maybe I should just get shitfaced tonight and then hope that I'm still drunk when I wake up.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:24:05 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

A+++ Map

Would steal again.

---

by: sspiker @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 03:57:00 AM UTC

Best early benchmark

I'm going to go with IN-9 as a good early indicator for how the night is going to go as far as some of the tossups. Since I assume IN-2 leans Donnelly and KY-6 leans Chandler, Baron Hill's seat seems like it could provide a good baseline for later tossup outcomes. On the other hand, if Donnelly and Chandler are losing... we're probably screwed.

---

by: Scsouthern @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:01:03 AM UTC

Exactly

If Donnelly and/or Chandler look like they're going down, just start drinking.  If John Yarmuth looks like he's going down, just start drinking heavily!!!!!

On the other hand, if Baron Hill looks like he's doing well, that could be good news.

---

by: IndianaProgressive @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:05:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Especially

with the ground game in the 9th.  

19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

---

by: ndrwmls10 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:57:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Well, if Bloomington doesn't turn out for Hill, he loses

---

by: IndianaProgressive @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:06:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

There is a lot of

activity on the ground for Hill. Plus we have a referendum on the ballot to cover the shortfall in the MCCSC's budget. This community values education. I think that will help turn out voters.

19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

---

by: ndrwmls10 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:15:00 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

But that would be an excuse to drink also! :P

n/t

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:01:49 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Very true ....

....  and I'm going to continue to drink bourbon, even if Kentucky does send Rand Paul to the Senate!

---

by: IndianaProgressive @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:07:32 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Ugh, I'm probably going to have some booze but not much

I have to work the day after and I really don't want to go in hung-over (especially given that I just started two weeks ago!)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:59:15 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

MI-15

I still don't get why MI-15 is on any of these list across the country.  MI-03 is more likely to flip or at least coming closer to flip than MI-15, and NEITHER of them is likely to flip.

---

by: MIvotee @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:08:43 AM UTC

Drinking game?

Can anyone suggest a good drinking game for tomorrow? Every GOP Senate pickup is a shot? Every Dem House pickup is a shot?

What say you?

NY-14, DC-AL (college) Distraught Mets fan

---

by: nycyoungin @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:09:54 AM UTC

Depends upon how drunk you want to get!!!!!!

---

by: IndianaProgressive @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:11:06 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Take a drink every time a pundit says "tea party"

You'll be hammered before the first poll closing!

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:20:13 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Hmm

I like you're Every Dem House Pickup

I thinking perhaps every 5 Rep Seat(House and Senate) Gain take a shot

Male 21 Dem Ca's 1st  

---

by: lordpet8 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:18:52 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

How about

Every GOP pickup take a drink, every Senate pickup take a shot?

---

by: sspiker @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:22:13 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

If I were a drinking man

I'd be taking a shot every time a TV pundit mentioned 1994. And I'd be in the hospital by 6:30pm.

Thankfully for me, I don't drink.

---

by: Fitzy @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:22:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Well

Carl Paladino got shitfaced on Halloween. Can't blame him since his loony express is about to be driven off the cliff tomorrow.

http://wnymedia.net/smith/2010...

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

---

by: ehstronghold @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:26:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

This is very useful

Thanks guys.  

---

by: andgarden @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:15:41 AM UTC

So

Who do you think will be the first called Senate victor?

A. Pat Leahy
B. Rand Paul
C. Dan Coats
D. Jim Demint
E. Johnny Isakson
F. Kelly Ayotte
G. Someone else?

43 - Male - GOP/Libertarian - FL 22

---

by: Zornorph @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:16:31 AM UTC

Leahy

Vermont closes at the same time as Kentucky, plus I still think Kentucky is going to be a single digit (though probably high single digit) affair (though depending on where the votes are coming from...)

Worst case, Kentucky and Vermont get called at the same time.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:18:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

demint then leahy

len britton is at least sane and respectable, unlike greene.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

---

by: doug_tuttle @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:21:14 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

that sounded snarkier than i meant it

sorry.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

---

by: doug_tuttle @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:21:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Hey man, Alvin Greene is primed for victory!

...Ok, I can't even keep a straight face saying that, so it'll be a tie between Leahy and DeMint and possibly Paul and Coats...

And once again... fuck you Evan Bayh!

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:27:51 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Greene

Ah, but wouldn't it be fun if just a little bit of Bizarro World leaked into reality and he did win?  Can you imagine Jim Demint's face?  As well at the other senators knowing they'd have to deal with him for the next six years?

43 - Male - GOP/Libertarian - FL 22

---

by: Zornorph @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:31:08 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Id almost be relieved

Get him out of the Senate 6 yrs early.  

---

by: GOPVOTER @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:32:27 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Wait...

Does this mean you don't like Demint????

---

by: benjso @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:48:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I don't think any of the Republicans on here like DeMint

He is no more reliable a vote than say, John Thune, but he runs around the country promoting his own very-right version of conservatism and undermines the GOP in primaries by supporting unelectable ideologues. I'd be happy to see him replaced by a Generic South Carolina R.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

---

by: MassGOP @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:31:20 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

DeMint's a lunatic

I personally hope Senate Republicans are stupid enough to elect him as their Senate Leader :P

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:34:32 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

DeMint vs. McConnell

Ideally for DeMint he gets: DeMint, Chambliss, Isakson, Burr, Sessions, Vitter, Rubio, Coburn, Inhofe, Angle, Buck, Lee, Paul, Toomey, Johnson, Rossi, Miller.

McConnell gets: McConnell, Alexander, Corker, Kyl, Hutchison, Cochran, Roberts, Hatch, Coats, Portman, Brown, Ayotte, Collins, Snowe, Hoeven, Boozman, Enzi, Grassley, Blunt, McCain, Lugar

Swing votes: Shelby, Graham, Wicker, Cornyn, Moran, Johannes, Risch, Crapo, Thune, Barrasso, Raese

This 49-member caucus is under ideal conditions for DeMint: Angle, Rossi, Miller, Raese and Buck win, Kirk and Fiorina do not. DeMint would need 8 of the 11 swing Senators to win, and I don't think that would happen, since I put most of those in the McConnell column originally.

Scary we can even have this discussion though.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

---

by: MassGOP @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:00:15 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

As much as I'd fear a Senator Alvin Greene...

I'd love to see DeMint's jaw all the way on the floor.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:33:02 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Greene

Honestly, what would one have to fear about Greene that they don't already have to fear about Demint's extreme conservatism?  I'd take incompetence over extreme ideology any day of the week, particularly if it comes from the far right. lol

---

by: MIvotee @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:13:35 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

But

He might show a laptop with porn on it to Olympia Snowe.

43 - Male - GOP/Libertarian - FL 22

---

by: Zornorph @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:18:45 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Ha

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

---

by: Bob Bobson @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:23:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Not Snowe

   He would probably try to show it to Senator Cantwell or Gillibrand.

   Besides the upset victor in that race will be Clements, the Green (no final "e") candidate. Alvin might even come in third place...

52, male, disgruntled Democrat, CA-28

---

by: Zack from the SFV @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 08:19:37 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Coats

They'll look at Marion and Monroe, see that Ellsworth isn't getting it done, and call it at 6:45.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

---

by: MassGOP @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:22:55 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

That race drives me crazy

Coats is a pathetic candidate and Ellsworth is pretty good.  Just the wrong year for it.

---

by: thurst44 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:47:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Leahy, Coats, DeMint, and Isakson are automatic calls

There's a good chance Ayotte will be too (wouldn't surprise me if exit polls find her winning women). Even if Paul's up ten, I suspect they'll keep it "too early to call" for a little bit.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

---

by: andyroo312 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:24:14 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I think

I think you are right that they'll wait a bit to call Paul just for dramatic effect, but I'm suspecting his will be the first victory speech that we'll see, though they wont stay there long as he's such a boring speaker.

43 - Male - GOP/Libertarian - FL 22

---

by: Zornorph @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:29:28 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Oh

well CSPAN is boring anyway. So his senate floor speeches won't drive whatever few loyal viewers they have already away.  

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

---

by: ehstronghold @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:31:03 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I think they call Coats first for the same reason

Why call a boring hold in SC or VT when you can talk about the first pickup of the night? They'll make the IN-Sen race seem a lot more dramatic and important than it is.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

---

by: MassGOP @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:35:11 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Agreed if they can't call it on the spot though

might mean good news for Donnely/Hill well from my perspective :).

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

---

by: D in FL @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:37:55 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Leahy's calls would surprise me

but he does want Shumlin to win.

Even in Idaho I've gotten about two dozen robocalls in the last three days, about a third of them from Dems.

---

by: ID Panhandle Dem @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:38:18 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I'll be getting home tomorrow at 7PM MDT (9PM for you weirdos back east :P)

You guys (Democratic Party) better not suck too badly, if I turn my TV on at 7:30 just to see Mark's predictions come true, there's gonna be hell to pay! ;)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:17:03 AM UTC

Allright heres my semi-shocking democrat pickup/upset.

prediction of tomorrow: NE-02. More a gut feeling then anything but I feel like its one of those races that could fly under the radar.  

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

---

by: D in FL @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:33:29 AM UTC

Democratic* ugh bad omen hahaha. n/t

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

---

by: D in FL @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:35:09 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks, Rush! :)

NY-14, DC-AL (college) Distraught Mets fan

---

by: nycyoungin @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:45:46 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Speaking of omens ...

Does Pelosi's baseball team beating Bush's baseball team count?  :-)

---

by: LanceS @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 13:38:28 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I hope

at least in California.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)

---

by: californianintexas @ Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 01:50:18 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I anticipate being at Aria around 7:30 PM...

(Pacific) getting ready to celebrate some wins. After all this hard work, I'm ready to celebrate.

And if I'm disappointed by what happens back east, hopefully I'll at least be buoyed by good Nevada results. And I can't wait to prove some of you wrong... ;-)

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

---

by: atdleft @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:40:43 AM UTC

I hope your right.

As ineffective and annoying as I find Reid as a majority leader I could'nt possibly imagine having to deal with Sharron Angle as a senator for 6 years good luck. Hoping to have a good FLA night as well if Sink wins and we break even in the house races in the state i'll declare victory hahaha. Added bonus if the redistricting amendment passes though I doubt it since we seem to reject the idea frequently unfortantely.

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

---

by: D in FL @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:45:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Well, one way or another, the booze will be flowing!

n/t

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:46:05 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I'll be staying up with some coffee

for the California results. If we do badly in the east and Midwest, at least I'll have some awesome California results to make my night!

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)

---

by: californianintexas @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:47:38 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

California better have some good results (maybe a Republican incumbent or two taken down?)

I'm probably going to get home from work when the carnage is in full swing in the Midwest and East coast, and I need some form of good news to go to sleep on!

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

---

by: DGM @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:54:10 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Lungren

is probably safe, but only because of the cycle. If Bera had ran in 2006 or 2008 Lungren would of been DOA. I'm worried about McNerney though, he's maybe 50-50 in surviving. Its all dependent upon how fired up the GOP base is in San Joaquin county.  

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

---

by: ehstronghold @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:01:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Grassley

Either my eyes are failing me or I'm nitpicking a great presentation, but Charles Grassley is no Democrat.  

Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

23, Democrat, IA-2

---

by: ModerateIADem @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:43:20 AM UTC

Nice to see some CA-44 love in this post

I can only hope Hedrick can pull it out

But I recommend you add CA-48 to that list of California races.  Beth Krom is a really popular mayor for Irvine, I would NOT be surprised if she squeaked this one out from nowhere.

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

---

by: daman09 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 04:56:57 AM UTC

That's a race I've heard nothing about...

There will always be surprises. I'm not expecting any in California, but I'll keep my eye on CA-03, CA-44, and CA-48, your little pet sleeper races.

20, center-left independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native

---

by: SaoMagnifico @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:19:13 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

My main thing about CA-48

Is that Campbell never really has had the voters in the 48th enjoy him too much, I mean he won with 44% his first time around.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C...

And that steve young guy was just a warm body in a +6 Republican district, of course Campbell will win 60% in 2006 and 55% in 2008.  Now he has a real race, and I really haven't seen him campaign too much.  I am hoping this is Calvert syndrome Circa 2008, but this time Krom sneaks up and win actually wins.  I mean, she has gotten some money and Volunteer hours from the DFA, so I would hope that had some sort of impact.

I know at least two of my friends from that district are voting for Krom, one of them was actually driven home from a hospital by her after he visited his friend who was injured.  He didn't have a ride, Beth Krom who was also visiting this person, offered to drive my friend home.

She is a real straight shooter, and much better than John Campbell, who is birther apologist.

I bet Campbell wins in the end, but California elections, especially elections in Orange County surprise me sometimes.

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

---

by: daman09 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:05:15 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Is this one of the areas

in SoCal that is turning blue quickly?

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

---

by: b.j. @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:08:05 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Irvine is a place you could say is

"On the GROW!"  It contains UCI and has a pretty quickly growning community around the school, and with this, is starting to become a fairly blue area, that along with Solid blue Laguna Beach (known for its gay and art communities), light red to purple costa mesa, Laguna woods, Aliso Viejo, and Tustin gives this district the potential to become REALLY blue in the next 10 to 20 years.  I'll tell you right now, if this district did not contain Newport Beach, I would say Krom has good chance of winning this district outright (Newport was +12 R in 2008, whereas the whole district is +6 R)

Of course, we have no idea what this district will look like in 2012.

Here is a map of Orange County by PVI from a fellow SSPer I found a while ago

For reference what is contained in CA-48

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

---

by: daman09 @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:27:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

AZ won't report anything until at least 11:00 PM EDT

They're required to stay silent for the first hour for some obnoxious reason. But we should get early/mail-in voting results at 8pm local time, and then precincts will start reporting.

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.

---

by: Nico @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:03:49 AM UTC

Christ

18 months of poll watching, predictions, hopes, fears all comes down to tommorow.

It was fun you guys.

---

by: Ireland @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:14:49 AM UTC

So I'm 13 hours ahead of the East Coast

I'll be waking up at 6:30 tomorrow for a half hour of emotional preparation before the first polls close. It's early, yeah, but it'll be amazing if I even get any sleep tonight. I wish I weren't so emotionally invested, but at this point, what can you do?

I voted by mail around a month ago (though I doubt it will get counted unless a race is in recall territory, but whatever). With the obvious exceptions of non-citizens, under-18s, etc. I hope everyone here has voted or will vote. We've all got to do our civic duty.

And so the countdown begins...only a little more than 16 hours.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:37:38 AM UTC

Slightly more then me - only 8)))

---

by: smoltchanov @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:50:50 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Are you going to get up at 2 AM?!?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:53:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Well, may be

If i will have absolutely no sleep - yes.. If not - slightly later, otherwise i will fall asleep during count somewhere in West...)))

---

by: smoltchanov @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:56:55 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Yikes. Remind me to never go to Russia during election season.

or Europe in general for that matter I guess.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:05:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Exactly,

but i must. I have very elderly mother in Moscow, and i am the only son. So, i am on "long-term assignment" there (as long as she lives)...

---

by: smoltchanov @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:50:04 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Well, if that's your reason

then I hope you stay in Moscow. ;)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:58:54 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I will, no doubt)))

Both because it's my desire for mother to live as long as possible, and all surrounding circumstances....

---

by: smoltchanov @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 07:07:29 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I feel you

During the 2008 election I was in the People's Republic of China, 12 hours ahead of the first polls that closed in Kentucky in 2008. I ended up skipping classes that day because I knew there was no way I'd be able to focus because I was too invested in too many races.

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.

---

by: Nico @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 06:38:54 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Yeah, before I knew about the holiday

here I was afraid that I would have to go to class and be unable to sit still. I was actually in China over the summer but I have vague memories of having afternoon classes instead of morning classes on days when there was a primary (there may have been some exceptions, can't remember--and for the 9/14 primaries and Hawaii primary this year, I didn't find out the results until afterwards). Either I have really good luck or people in Asia subconsciously realize that I want to watch election results.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

---

by: sapelcovits @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 07:01:26 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks!

A LOT of VERY useful information for this day and noght!!!)))

---

by: smoltchanov @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 05:48:20 AM UTC

This is depressing

Using this map, I finally sat down and made my predictions on how the House seats will fall. As I'm looking at it now, I think the GOP will win 50 Democratic seats, but the Dems will capture 5 GOP seats, giving the GOP a 6 seat majority in the House, barring any party switches which seems less likely considering I predict folks like Gene Taylor, Lincoln Davis and Allen Boyd to lose.

In the Senate, I think we'll lose 5 (PA, IN, AR, ND, WI) and barely eke out wins  in 3 races (CO, NV, IL). Of course, this means the potential for 8 seats to flip. WA and WV will not be as close as people think.

In the gubernatorial contests, we'll lose a net of 6 seats to the GOP while picking up CA, CT, MN, VT, HI and God willing FL.

---

by: NCDem @ Tue Nov 02, 2010 at 07:57:25 AM UTC