Ten More Polls from The Hill

More new polls out from The Hill:

Penn Schoen Berland for The Hill, (likely voters):

AZ-05: (10-12/14)

Harry Mitchell (D-inc): 42

David Schweikert (R): 45

(MoE: ±4.9%)

IL-14: (10-9/12)

Bill Foster (D-inc): 42

Randy Hultgren (R): 43

(MoE: ±4.9%)

IL-17: (10-12/14)

Phil Hare (D-inc): 38

Bobby Schilling (R): 45

(MoE: ±4.8%)

MS-01: (10-9/17)

Travis Childers (D-inc): 39

Alan Nunnelee (R): 44

(MoE: ±4%)

NH-01: (10-9/12)

Carol Shea-Porter(D-inc): 42

Frank Guinta (R): 47

(MoE: ±4.9%)

NY-19: (10-12/14)

John Hall (D-inc): 43

Nan Hayworth (R): 43

(MoE: ±4.8%)

NY-24: (10-12/14)

Mike Arcuri (D-inc): 47

Richard Hanna (R): 37

(MoE: ±4.9%)

PA-08: (10-9/12)

Patrick Murphy (D-inc): 46

Mike Fitzpatrick (R): 43

(MoE: ±4.9%)

PA-10: (10-12/14)

Chris Carney (D-inc): 41

Tom Marino (R): 41

(MoE: ±4.9%)

WI-08: (10-12/14)

Steve Kagen (D-inc): 44

Reid Ribble (R): 45

(MoE: ±4.8%)

53 thoughts on “Ten More Polls from The Hill”

  1. at Arcuri’s impressive poll numbers. Hanna must be running a pretty bad campaign. Everything else looks pretty consistent with what we have been seeing. A bit better for Dems in the cases of Hall, Murphy and Kagen, a bit better for GOP in Marino’s case.  

  2. That 1-point margin looks a lot more plausible than Ribble’s internal showing him up 18.

    Surprising that Hare appears to be doing worse in Lane Evans’ old district than Foster is in Dennis Hastert’s.

  3. Indeed I already ranked all except Hare and Arcuri as tossups. I think we all read to much into his close call two years ago. They were clear at the time that the campaign assumed he was safe and sent volunteers to help other candidates.

  4. This is great.

    WASHINGTON-According to recent media reports, Democrats stand to lose as many as 8,000 congressional seats and more than 917 gubernatorial races in November’s midterm elections. “Republicans are poised to pick up 1,500 seats in Ohio alone, and could wind up with a 23,576-to-12 majority in the Senate,” Beltway observer Isaac Hundt said Wednesday, noting the GOP’s advantage is likely to increase by Election Day given that its candidates are outspending their opponents by some $900 trillion. “With Democratic disapproval ratings in the quadruple digits, it’s a foregone conclusion that Republicans will not only retake Congress, but hold it for the next 20,000 to 25,000 years.” Experts also predicted the one-sided election results would cause Barack Obama to die on the spot, at which point the nation’s leading conservative talk-radio host would be sworn in as president of the United States forever.

    Link: http://www.theonion.com/articl…

  5. Kagen needs to open up the wallet, he’s still in this.

    I don’t know how to read PA-10, numbers are all over on this one. I think IL-17 is gone, I haven’t seen a poll yet giving Hare the lead.

    The rest, pretty decent. I’m amazed AZ-5 keeps hanging in there. Also, NY-24: this is why none of us are paid to be pundits.

  7. Shea-Porter will pull it off in NH-01, but barely. Guinta’s carrying quite a bit of baggage. She’s surprised her district and pundits time and time again – so I believe she’ll surprise us once more.

  11. I don’t trust ANY of these polls.

    They’re from the firm of Mark “I have no idea how Democratic presidential primaries work yet I’m supposed to be smart and running Hillary’s campaign” Penn. Seriously, Mark Penn is the worst strategist on the face of the planet and the Democratic Party would be better off if that disgusting slimeball was ignored and considered persona non grata.

    At least Karl Rove is a smart strategist. I don’t trust anything that might’ve been touched by either of them and I don’t think anyone else should, either. And shame on The Hill for hiring this incorrigible douchebag.

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