Public Policy Polling (9/30-10/2, likely voters, 1/4-5 in parentheses, gubernatorial numbers here):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 53 (60)
Linda McMahon (R): 41 (28)
Undecided: 7 (12)
Dan Malloy (D): 50 (37)
Tom Foley (R): 40 (27)
Undecided: 10 (36)
(MoE: ±3.4%)
There's probably some wrestling term for having seven knockout blows (if you count today's Rasmussen and yesterday's "Fox") landed on you in one flurry, but rather than look it up, I'm just going to quote Nate Silver's most recent tweet instead of having a long, thoughtful writeup:
Can. We. Please. Stop. Pretending. That. Connecticut. Is. A. Toss. Up.
Opinion Research for CNN/Time (10/1-5, likely voters, no trendlines):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 54
Linda McMahon (R): 41
Undecided: 2
Dan Malloy (D): 50
Tom Foley (R): 42
Undecided: 2
(MoE: ±3.5%)
CNN/Time offers registered voter numbers too, and Dems are even more dominant there: Blumenthal leads 56-37, and Malloy leads 52-39. LVs approve of Obama 46-49 (compared with RVs approving 52-42).
Merriman River Group for CT Politics Report (10/3, likely voters, no trendlines, gubernatorial numbers here):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 52
Linda McMahon (R): 45
Undecided: 3
Dan Malloy (D): 48
Tom Foley (R): 45
Undecided: 8
(MoE: ±2.4%)
This poll from Merriman is the weakest link among the public polls, but even it's not too weak. As if all that weren't enough, we have two different internal polls of the Senate race out, from both the Blumenthal campaign and from the DSCC (who just poured $1.5 million more into this race to make sure it's a done deal... though that might be overkill, given these numbers).
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Richard Blumenthal (10/3-4, likely voters, no trendlines):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 53
Linda McMahon (R): 38
Undecided: 9
(MoE: ±4%)
Hamilton Campaigns for DSCC (9/30-10/3, likely voters, no trendlines):
Richard Blumenthal (D): 52
Linda McMahon (R): 41
Undecided: 7
(MoE: ±3.5%) |
