I hope SSP moves this back to likely Dem

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by: Paleo @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 00:07:23 AM UTC

I'll look for one more poll...

And if it confirms this, then this race should be moved back to "Likely D". SUSA now has a history of producing outliers.

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 04:40:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

So...

does anyone know how Braun Research's track record is?  They don't even exist in Nate Silver's pollster ratings, as they just started in May 2010.

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by: BruinKid @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 00:12:23 AM UTC

They do a lot of Kentucky polling

They've had several polls this year on the KY senate race.

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by: Paleo @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 00:13:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Meh…

They are not the best in the world but not horrible at the same time. I have never been too fond of them however I promise you that this is closer than what SUSA has to say on the matter.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 02:11:39 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

SUSA just sucks...

And at this point, I think I'll take leaked GOP internal polls over them. Razzy certainly looks like a model of virtue compared to SUSA.

Yes, Virginia, there ARE progressives in Nevada!
24, gay male, Democrat, NV-03 (or 04?)

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by: atdleft @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 04:39:41 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Must be the Pro Kittens in Wood-chipper stance*

More politicians should adopt this position, it's proving to be quite popular.

Hint Hint Jack Conway

*Don't know what I'm talking about? See Colbert Report Better Know a District, KY-03.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

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by: trowaman @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 00:25:19 AM UTC

You

know I have tried my very best to avoid SUSA bashing but screw it I just have little to no confidence in them anymore. Granted I'm not a big Braun fan but I buy these numbers before SUSA's numbers.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 02:08:58 AM UTC

Welcome

Welcome to the SUSA Haterade Bandwagon!

I first jumped on it back in January when they found Baron Hill losing to Mike Sodrel by 8 points, thanks to Sodrel dominating the 18-to-34 demographic... who were originally 1% of the sample and then were "re-weighted" to 3% of the sample.... in a district with a giant, liberal university.... remember that? Good times....

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

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by: arealmlc @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 03:35:26 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Oh Yeah

I remember that poll, I thought they had Sodrel up nine actually. Even Sodrel's internal had him trailing or slightly ahead, I do not remember. I gave them some leeway on that though. FDL, who commissioned the poll, supposedly had them put message testing anti HCR things before the horse race Hill V. Sodrel question, obviously tainting the results. SUSA just did what they were told to do there, although it was probably still too close even with the anti HCR message testing.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 11:22:16 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Fine I give up.

I clicked on the link, it was not in the story. I clicked on the physical poll and it was in the table of contents but for some reason every time I scrolled down it skipped over many pages and would just not work for me. So brownie points to whoever can tell me the mayoral results.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 02:31:03 AM UTC

Come on people brownie points up for grabs. nm

nm

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 03:18:16 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Does the same

I think the memo just excluded a lot of pages. Won't be able to find the Mayoral election results until they post it.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Thu Sep 23, 2010 at 03:59:46 AM UTC

[ Parent ]