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Florida, Oklahoma, and Vermont Primary Results Thread

by: James L.

Tue Aug 24, 2010 at 7:21 PM EDT


9:06pm: Move along, now, y'all. Over here.
9:04pm: "Out East" or so they say, with 18% reporting in Vermont, Markowitz has a 121-vote lead over Shumlin, who has a 6-vote lead over Racine. For those of you that prefer percentages, that's 26-25-25, with 19 for Dunne.
9:01pm: 39% reporting in OK-05 now, Jim Lankford continues to lead Kevin Calvey, now 61-39. First of several outsider upsets tonight?
8:57pm: All of Broward's reporting in FL-17, Wilson continues to hold her 33-16 lead. Broward is 26% of the district.
8:55pm: The AP's also called FL-08 for Daniel Webster, who's holding his 40-23 lead over Todd Long.
8:53pm: The AP's called the OK-02 runoff for Charles Thompson, who...has a $13k warchest. While that's better than Edmonds' $1300, it'll likely be no match for Dan Boren.
8:49pm: Bill McCollum is lagging Rick Scott just a little more in FL-Gov (R), with Scott now up 46-43. While McCollum's stronghold of Miami-Dade is only 0.1% reporting, let's not forget that  around 40% of votes are cast early in Florida, and those have indeed reported.
8:47pm: Some early results coming through in Vermont. With 12% reporting, SoS Deb Markowitz has a narrow 28-25 lead over Lt. Gov Doug Racine; Shumlin and Dunne are close behind at 21 apiece.
8:44pm: Further down the peninsula, Daniel Webster leads Todd Long 40-23 in FL-08; Sandy Adams leads Karen Diebel 32-30 in FL-24, and "Road Rage" Rivera has 65 in FL-25. For the "Get to Congress Free" card in FL-17, Frederica Wilson has 33% to Rudy Moise's 16%. (The GOP isn't contesting this district in November.)
8:39pm: Another 200 precincts have rolled in down in Florida; Rick Scott continues to hold his 46-44 advantage for the GOP Gov nod. 57% reporting in FL-02, with Boyd seeing a little more daylight at 52-48 now. Alarmingly for him, only early votes have reported in Gadsden County, which is heavily-Democratic and majority-black.
8:38pm: In Oklahoma, Charles Thompson leads Daniel Edmonds 66-34 in OK-02 with about 10% reporting; Jim Lankford looks on track to upset establishment pick Kevin Calvey in OK-05, leading 58-42 with 9% reporting.
8:24pm: Wow. Allen Boyd only leads Al Lawson by 2% with 42% reporting.
8:21pm: Summerwind sails into the sunset. The AP has called the Dem Senate primary for Kendrick Meek.
8:18pm: Over in FL-24, Sandy Adams leads Karen "Snakes in a Pool" Diebel by 31-30 with 29% reporting.
8:11pm: We're up to 30% reporting in Florida, and Scott is still holding steady at 46-44 over McCollum. Meek leads Greene by 55-32. Oh, and hey: The AP has called FL-Sen (R) for Marco Rubio and FL-Gov (D) for Alex Sink.
8:05pm: Some early results in from Vermont -- Deb Markowitz, Matt Dunne, and Doug Racine are separated by a mere handful of votes.
7:57pm: Rick Scott's margin has tightened to 46-44, in part thanks to McCollum's strong performance in Miami-Dade, where the pocket protector-wielding dork is boasting 66% of the vote.
7:48pm: In the AP's hot early precinct action in FL-25, scumbucket David Rivera has 57% to Paul Crespo's 33% and Mariana Cancio's 10%.
7:42pm: We're up to 5.5% reporting in the Gov race, and Rick Scott's lead over Bill McCollum is now at 48-42. In the Senate race, Meek now leads Greene by 51-36.
7:36pm: Some early House primary results: Boyd leads Lawson 59-41 in FL-02. Richard Nugent's got a 60-40 lead over Pat Sager in FL-05. Dan Webster's at 40%, with a big lead over Todd Long in FL-08. In FL-24, Sandy Adams, Karen Diebel and Craig Miller are essentially locked in a three-way tie.
7:31pm: So much for the Florida DoE's futile plan to hold the results until 8pm... The Associated Press has already got some early precinct action: Meek is up 48%-38% on Greene, and Rick Scott leads Bill McCollum by 50-40!
7:24pm: And we're off! Only, Florida is holding their results until 8pm...


RESULTS:

James L. :: Florida, Oklahoma, and Vermont Primary Results Thread
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Politico
has some results for FL-Sen (R). aka, not one of the races we care about.

Little surprise that hippie-esque Vermont would be taking a ganja break.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


They're just waiting for the Vermont Panhandle to close


[ Parent ]
Vermont
 Always reports late.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


[ Parent ]
Something
to know about Vermont (I an an actual native in exile in Florida).

The cities come in before the rural areas.  I would think Racine would hope for good numbers out of Shelburne and Chittenden County.  


[ Parent ]
Are you sure about that?
What's trickled in so far has been a bunch of towns across the state. Barre, Brattleboro, Burlington, Essex, and Rutland (the only five places with more than one precinct) have yet to report.

[ Parent ]
When the cities
report, they will report between 9 and 10.  The rural towns will report around 11.

I have been involved in more than one election in Vermont.  In the general the Democrat takes the lead and tries to hang on when the votes from the Northeast Kingdom and the less liberal areas come in.

Perhaps in the primary it is different, but general elections in Vermont always follow the same pattern.  Burlington for example uses voting machines: the towns are all on paper ballots.  


[ Parent ]
Thank you for the ap link!
the Burlington free press was link awful

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

Another Legacy of 2000
The election that will haunt us forever.

Hah.
   Rick Scott is so awful he has Democrats rooting for Bill frickin' McCollum.  

24, Male, GA-05

[ Parent ]
Rick Scott is so awful
That I'm rooting for Rick Scott!

[ Parent ]
Be careful what you wish for...
  Scott might win this primary and get smashed by Sink, when the general electorate realizes what a dickface he is.  

24, Male, GA-05

[ Parent ]
And wouldn't that be a good thing?


[ Parent ]
Him winning would make my election cycle thus far
Im now firmly convinced Sink is automatically on the ticket in 2016 if she pulls this and 2014 out.

Go Scott!!!!  


[ Parent ]
Your playing with fire nm


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Oh we can risk it
McCollum wouldnt be any worse policy wise so either go with douche bag 1 or douche bag 2.

I just went to Scott's wikipedia page, his picture is like having Lord Voldemort peer into your soul.  ::shivers::  What a creepy looking mofo.


[ Parent ]
Scott is the thougher general election
candidate, even if he is a scumbag.

Sad about Doug Tudor in Fl-12.  


[ Parent ]
so much for Florida waiting to report
now they're also showing FL-Sen (D) results with Lake County all of a sudden going up to 60%. bam. and some votes in Volusia too.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


FL-02 (D)
Very Early

Boyd 60%
Lawson 40%

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan


You mean "hot early precinct action"
Know your readership.

Duly noted.
And thank you, kindly.

[ Parent ]
McCollum fail.
  He's generously breaking even on his home turf of Tampa and northern suburbs.  Sad.  

24, Male, GA-05

not unlike NH '08
beware those late breaking anomalies

[ Parent ]
Is that A Good Thing?


[ Parent ]
For there rep it is
If it holds.

[ Parent ]
Right now
what is out might lean McCollum.  Only 1 precinct from Palm Beach, more than half of Broward is still out.  Duval is still out.  The rural areas have come in first.

If I had to guess McCollum is going to win.


[ Parent ]
Vermont
Racine starts with two point lead; Leahy up 90-10 over the other Dem.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

FYI
If anyone calls Kendrick Meek "Kendrick Meeks" tonight I will be pissed.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

I gotcha
And I promise not to confuse Kendrick Meeks for Gregory Meek :P

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
at least Mel Watt (D-NC) no longer gets
  confused with J.C. Watts (R-OK).

   I don't know about the FL Senate race but aren't the Meek supposed to inherit the earth?

52, male, disgruntled Democrat, CA-28


[ Parent ]
the FIRST caller
On CSpan at 8:31 (coverage started at 8:30) called him Meeks.  And she voted for him!!

[ Parent ]
I
beg on my hands and knees if you have not seen this site yet check it out. Please, it is so funny.

http://www.senatebill.us/  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


Holy cow
Yeah, why wouldn't Marco Rubio debate this obviously-not-crazy person?

Turn down your speakers before going there, btw.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
Only a Marxist Czar
would laugh at a brave man with the stones to speak truth to power and call out uber-liberal Marco Rubio.

[ Parent ]
I hadn't realized how loud the volume was on my computer
And that was a scary way to find out!

[ Parent ]
Miami Dade
coming in big for McCollum

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

all Ev/absentee
not no precincts yet.

but McAllister lfirting with double digits as pure protest vote bad news for Billy Mac. establishment did not come home.


[ Parent ]
Man a Rivera win would be pretty sweet
Who do we have there?

Wingnuts for Scott!
   McCollum seems to be winning the Cubans in the southeast and the "moderates" from Orlando and Miami.  Scott is doing well in the ultra-right wing counties in the southwest and the panhandle.

24, Male, GA-05

Boyd might be starting to sweat in FL-02
He's up 57-43 so far, but nothing from Tallahassee, which is presumably where Lawson would do best.

Anyone else worried about turnout?
Numbers should tighten as more of the SE Fla counties report but right now Republicans are crushing in total voters.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

Same old story
In state after state.

[ Parent ]
notably
FL-24.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
I am worried
I think more people were probably paying attention to the R Governor's Race as opposed to our big draw the U.S. Senate Race.  We also didn't contest a number of GOP seats like the other Balart brother.  

Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

23, Democrat, IA-2


[ Parent ]
Not really
Uncompetitive Dem primary plus fewer precincts reporting. Senate races are something else.

[ Parent ]
So far
Democrats are exceeding in turnout in FL-02

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Competitive primary


[ Parent ]
Yeah.
The Republicans have one as well.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Plus the panhandle still has a lot of Dixiecrats.


[ Parent ]
They are 30%
higher than the Dems.

I am very worried about the turnout disparity.


[ Parent ]
go through the numbers from 2008
and report back to us if primary turn-out had anything to do with GE turn-out.

[ Parent ]
Completely different cycle
In the 2006 primary GOP turnout was about 881K and Democratic turnout was around 785K.  Democrats were beaten pretty soundly in every race not involving Kathleen Harris.

Right now GOP turnout is over 1 million in the Governors race versus 600K in the Democratic race.

There is a massive turnout disparity not seen in previous off year elections.


[ Parent ]
Apparently there was a monsoon earlier today.
Turnout is going to be bad with that weather.

[ Parent ]
AP calls it for Meek


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

Kendrick Meek wins according to the AP.


CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

Happy
that Greene didn't get pass the primary but now we are going to have a lot of Democrats voting for Meek, when he can't win.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Boyd lead down to 2%


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

Kottkamp
is losing in the race for Attorney General. I think he's the current LG.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

Yeah
hard to tell whether it's because he was linked to Crist (though he distanced himself and endorsed Rubio) or because he's an empty suit.

[ Parent ]
Charlie Crist is happy
....about that. Kottkamp ran with Crist and was a dick about it when Crist went indie.  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

[ Parent ]
Someone here
From FL a few weeks ago Pam Bondi would crush because of her charisma. I agreed after I checked her out. She seems to have run a great campaign. If she wins, she could be a top choice for Sen in 2012.  

[ Parent ]
Absolutely agree
She's incredibly telegenic, I've seen her on FOX News a few times. She's seems to be very competent.

To have Bondi and Rubio together in the senate would be a dream for the GOP.


[ Parent ]
Tonight's winner did not even really have a race
Rubio is the biggest winner tonight with Meek's smashing of Greene.  

23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7

agree completely
Needed Greene to have pretext to make Crist de facto Dem.

[ Parent ]
FL-02
If Lawson wins, is this a certain Republican win, or does is this still a fight, just one a little easier for Republicans?  

slam dunk for the GOP either way


[ Parent ]
Because liberals
And African Americans won't turn out for Boyd? Stupid, stupid, stupid.

[ Parent ]
Closer to the former


[ Parent ]
Lawson
has $11,476 on hand.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Southerland
has 84,000 dollars on hand, and has raised $400,000 this campaign compared to Lawson's $200,000.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
I don't see how anyone other than Allen Boyd could hold this district
especially an open seat in this environment.

[ Parent ]
If
Lawson wins this is likely R. This district will be very hard to defend with Boyd so at least if Lawson wins we do not have to waste resources on it.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
That would be a Republican win if Lawson is the nominee
Boyd would be safe, he faced a credible GOP challenger in 2004 and survived.

24, male, African-American, CA-24, Democrat. Chair of the SSP Black Caucus.

[ Parent ]
According to the AP
Boyd leads by 4. Hopefully that'll stay.

16, Male, Democrat, CA-42/sometimes CA-32.

So once again...
which Republican do we want to win the FL-Gov primary?  I have seen conflicting polls which alternately show Scott and then McCollum performing better against Sink.  What is the general consensus here, if there is one?

Sink wants Scott
If I was Sink, I would want to face Scott.  McCollum seems to have a strong Cuban following and with Rubio on the ticket, it is likely this would be magnified.

23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7

[ Parent ]
Not
to mention Scott belongs in jail. Even GOPVOTER said he would probably vote for Chiles if Scott was the nominee.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
I can see that
McCollum is doing well in areas that a Republican needs to do well in to win in Florida.  Scott...is cleaning up pretty much everywhere else.  It does look like he is the wingnuts' choice here, and their choice is rarely the most electable one.  I'm just having trouble reconciling this with my previous understanding of McCollum being a wingnut's wingnut.  What happened, he isn't conservative enough for them?

[ Parent ]
He is
But he's establishment. All I can say at this point is: McCollum: DON't FUCK IT UP! WIN! I don't care if he CHEATS. I hate Scott that much. Still, even now, when he is about to win the primary, I STILL can not stand him.  

[ Parent ]
Bay County.
   Home of Panama City is putting the beatdown on McCollum!

24, Male, GA-05

Webster (R)
predicted in FL-08

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

We only have
3 more primary days. LA and WV Saturday, DE, MD, MA, NH, NY, RI, and WI the 14th, and HI the 18th. There is also likely, but not certain, to be run-off's in LA on Oct. 2, as well as primaries for state races. LA-02 and LA-03 may head to run-offs, with LA-03 being extremely likely.  

A runoff
1 month from election day?! Crazy....Jindal should kick some ass and get the legislature to kick back the primary a month or two.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
Yep
Thats why the national Dems have been so loud in their support for Richmond. A run-off one both before gives them little time to raise money and unify.  

[ Parent ]
McCollum
Most people on SSP predicted McCollum would win.  Does everyone still feel that way now?

I feel like we should
Always listen to PPP.

[ Parent ]
IDK
I think McCollum could still squeak it out.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
I hope so
Only because of Miami Dade County am I not on a profanity laced rant right now.  

[ Parent ]

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