| Mason-Dixon (8/9-11, likely voters, 7/26-28 in parens)
Harry Reid (D-inc): 46 (43)
Sharron Angle (R): 44 (42)
Other: 2 (2)
None of these: 3 (7)
Undecided: 5 (6)
OK, I can't claim credit for the title (I stole it from mysterious but apparently hilarious pollster We Ask America, whom I just found out put out a poll of this race last week too: Reid led Angle 46-41). At any rate, in the most recent Mason-Dixon poll for the Las Vegas Review-Journal, it's a duel to see which candidate can be less unappealing to Nevadans. Harry Reid's favorables are 40/51, while Angle's are 37/45.
Also troublesome for Reid: the poll's finding that, by a 51 to 45 margin, Nevadans don't think that his seniority is too valuable to give up. Good for Reid, though: 41% say Angle's positions are too extreme for them (compare with 36% for Reid). Also good: Reid keeps inching closer and closer to the 50% mark as undecideds and NOTAs get off the fence; this is the closest he's come in a M-D poll, even the one where he was up by 7.
One more thing Angle is also going to have to explain away: she outed herself last Thursday as a big fan of SSP. No, not this SSP: social security privatization. But no, it's OK, she said, as Chile's already done it (the last remaining vestige of the Pinochet regime). By Friday, her helpers were already trying to unspin what she's spun, saying the federal government should manage a system where workers pick their own retirement plans.
Gubernatorial numbers (7/26-28 in parens)
Rory Reid (D): 36 (31)
Brian Sandoval (R): 52 (50)
Other: 1 (2)
None of these: 2 (3)
Undecided: 9 (14)
Things aren't looking up for Reid the Younger, at least not so much. Reid has gained some significant ground since the previous Mason-Dixon poll, as undecideds make their move, but Sandoval is already past the 50% mark. Reid, at 29/41 favorables (Reid's new campaign slogan: "My Dad went to the Senate and all I got was these lousy favorable ratings") will be hard-pressed to turn that around against Sandoval's 48/18.
NV-03 numbers (7/12-14 in parens):
Dina Titus (D-inc): 43 (42)
Joe Heck (R): 42 (40)
Other: 3 (5)
None of these: 4 (4)
Undecided: 8 (9)
Dina Titus's 2-point lead from last month is down to a 1-point lead, all float within the margin of error. I have a feeling the race in NV-03 is going to stay this close consistently for the next few months, all the way through Election Day. While it's good to see Titus holding her own, she's at 42/44 favorables while Heck has lots of room to grow 35/16, so she needs to start defining him ASAP.