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Kansas, Michigan, and Missouri Results Thread #3

by: jeffmd

Tue Aug 03, 2010 at 11:03 PM EDT


12:56am: The AP's called KS-01 for Tim Huelskamp. With MI-01 and MI-02 not looking like they'll be resolved tonight, and MI-09 having a clear frontrunner in Raczkowski, SSP is going to call it a night!
12:50am: MI-09 (R) is looking good for Rocky Raczkowski, who's ahead 42-27 with 72% reporting.
12:48am: The KS-04 GOP primary is called for Mike Pompeo, who has 39%. Pro-choice Planned Parenthood-endorsed state Senator Jean Schodorf finishes second with 24%.
12:42am: The AP's also called MI-03 for Justin Amash, who becomes the favorite to succeed outgoing GOPer Vern Ehlers. KS-02 (D) is called for Cheryl Hudspeth, and not netroots fave Sean Tevis, who finishes in third.
12:39am: The AP's finally called MI-13 for Hansen Clarke. Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick is the 4th House incumbent and 6th member of Congress to get booted, joining the ranks of Reps. Parker Griffith, Alan Mollohan, and Bob Inglis and Sens. Arlen Specter and Bob Bennett.
12:33am: The AP's called Jerry Moran the winner in KS-Sen. Just like we've been saying.
12:28am: Back in Kansas, Moran continues to nurse his lead over Tiahrt. Still very little from the three largest counties in KS-01, which is 70% reporting and 69-27 Moran. KS-04 is 85% reporting, 67-27 Tiahrt. Moran winning the rest 48-45.
12:22am: Legal just got back to us about Michigan's automatic recounts, and the 2,000-vote margin provision applies only to statewide contests.
12:18am: Just two measly precincts left in MI-01, where the margin has shrunk to 39 votes. The ticker tape says a mere 10-vote margin for Benishek when this is over.
12:07am: Just five precincts left in MI-01. Two are in Allen-friendly Bay County, the rest in Benishek-friendly Iosco County. SSPLabs predicts an 86-vote edge for Benishek when this is done.
12:05am: Back in MI-02, most of the outstanding precincts are in Muskegon County, where Bill Cooper's getting almost half the vote. That won't push him back into contention, but Riemersma's 2nd-place performance there so far might help him overcome his 593-vote deficit to Huizenga.
12:01am: Here's one race we haven't mentioned too much tonight: MI-09. According to the Oakland County Clerk, Rocky Raczkowski has a 41-26 lead over Paul Welday with almost 50% in.
11:57pm: The recount provisions may be significant in MI-02 as well, where Bill Huizenga has a 600-vote lead over Jay Riemersma.
11:55pm: In MI-01, Benishek continues to hold his narrow lead over Allen. SSP Labs is telling us this will hold and that Benishek will prevail by about 120 votes. SSP Legal is looking to Michigan's recount provisions; the standard in general elections is 2,000 votes or less, no word on primaries.
11:36pm: The Missouri GOP House primaries are pretty much over (but with no calls from the AP yet). In MO-04, Vicki Hartzler is up 41-30 over Bill Stouffer and has a 9,000 vote edge; in MO-07, Billy Long is up 37-29 over Jack Goodman and has a 7,500 vote edge.
11:34pm: The KS-Sen race has been called! The Dem side, that is, for Lisa Johnston.
11:31pm: More precincts trickle in up in MI-01. The SSP Labs mainframe is still telling us 38.8 Benishek, 37.8 Allen. It's telling us also there are about 3,100 votes left to count.
11:26pm: KS-Sen keeps seesawing with us, but this recent tightening can be attributed to another 11% of KS-04 having rolled in. Tiahrt's still winning his base 68-27, Moran's winning his 69-28, and Moran splitting the DMZ (still) 48-45. KS-01 is still at 52% reporting.
11:24pm: State Rep. Kevin Yoder's been declared the winner on the GOP side in KS-03, he'll go on to face Stephene Moore in November.
11:18pm: Back on the GOP side, Jerry Moran is starting to pull away from Todd Tiahrt. 51% of Moran's KS-01 is reporting compared to 57% of Tiahrt's KS-04. More votes are being cast in KS-01 and Moran's also winning the neutral zone 48-45.
11:16pm: In the significantly less-exciting KS-Sen Dem primary, Lisa Johnston continues to nurse her 31-24 lead over Charles Schollenberger.
11:12pm: A mere 36 votes separates Benishek from Allen in MI-01, but SSP Labs is still telling us that Benishek will pull this out 38.9 to 37.7, thanks to his strong 53-26 in the UP while holding his losses to 46-29 under the bridge.
11:10pm: Michigan Radio has called MI-13 for Hansen Clarke, making Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick the 4th House incumbent booted this year.
11:06pm: The lead keeps changing hands in MI-02; Kuipers has fallen from first to third, while Riemersma has moved to second. 72% reporting there. Amash is still leading in MI-03; Clarke continues to hold the advantage over Cheeks Kilpatrick in MI-13.


It's a progressive party!

Results:

     Kansas: Associated Press | Politico

     Michigan: Associated Press | Politico | MI DoS

     Missouri: Associated Press | Politico | MO SoS

jeffmd :: Kansas, Michigan, and Missouri Results Thread #3
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Hey, Dude, tomorrow's already the tenth...
well next week...

Hopefully it's more exciting than tonight. I just can't wait for all the wrestling metaphors from my own CT and the nuts in Colorado.

25, Male, CT-01 (home), Perth-Wellington riding (sometimes)


KS SEN
i guess im not that surprised but moran and tihart each have twice as many votes as all of the dems combined.

21, Progressive Democrat, MN-08 (home), MN-05 (college)

why's tiarht leading
in all 3 kc area counties?

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)

Palin endorsement
Only thing I can think.

[ Parent ]
Go Benishek!
   He's a real far-right winger.  Benishek seems more beatable than a more moderate state senator in Jason Allen.

24, Male, GA-05

Here's a good sign for Carnahan
Prop C is winning with 71% yes.

How's that good
Sorry, I'm not following much on this Prop C coming out of Missouri, so you'd might have to give me a quick backgrounder. But as far as I know, if 70% of Missourians are voting to opt out of Obamacare, by your logic does Carnahan have a chance by running against Obamacare, agreeing with the majority of Prop C voters, and not giving Blunt anything to shoot at her on health care?

[ Parent ]
Internet sarcasm
Fails once again.  

[ Parent ]
And that...
Qualifies as the funniest exchange of the night

[ Parent ]
Not trying to start a debate about health care.. but
I doubt that opposition to the health care bill is truly at 71%. With the relatively competitive house primaries, GOP turnout should be much higher. Likewise, I wouldn't say that the Democratic PA-12 victory should be a sign of success for Democrats because the Senate primary turnout was much higher on the Dem side.

I imagine the majority of Missouri voters oppose the bill/the requirement to have health insurance, but I imagine Missouri is around national levels. Still bad though for Carnahan though.  


[ Parent ]
Meh, there wasn't a single Dem oriented primary
to drive out turn-out and I try not to take much stock in ballot initiative questions.  People will vote for anything if it's worded nicely, as exampled by pollsters being able to use many different sentence structures and certain words to get a result they want.

[ Parent ]
TELL me about it.
We had a very close call with that Prop 16 2 months ago.

My blog
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
it's funny because
90% of Republicans will try to tell you that Mark Critz won in PA-12 only because the Dems had a competitive race drawing turnout. but Prop C's victory is due to We the People hating socialism and big government, ah-yup.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
So I wonder what it means
when Republicans have higher turnout, yet two propositions Republicans are more likely to vote for (16 and 17) fail? LOL! (Maybe some Repubs would spin this as not enough turnout or the lib'rul turnout was too great. 16 and 17 would have failed by a bigger margin had Brown and Boxer had more competitive primaries or the props were up in November instead of June I think.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Republicans would've been right about PA-12 if it was close, but the 8-point margin...
...can't be explained by primary-driven turnout.  If Critz won 50-49, then I'd buy the argument about primary turnout.  But when they lose 53-45 in what was supposed to be a modest advantage for their side, they gotta reconsider their messaging strategy.  They certainly had enough TV ads on the air for ordinary voters to be aware of the special election, and Critz's margin was large enough that a better field strategy alone wouldn't have changed the outcome--and from what I read their field strategy wasn't bad in the first place.

On Prop C, I bet if this was on the ballot this November instead of now, it still would pass, but it would be close.  I think having Prop C on the primary ballot definitely skewed the results badly, but 71-29 is enough of a margin that it still would've been in the low 50s this November.  After all, it's an easy "yes" without conseqeuence, since it doesn't do anything proactive to hurt anyone--it's null and void anyway, and enough voters know that to not be afraid of it.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
yeah, I agree
with everything you wrote, both about PA-12 and Prop C. with a 2008-ish electorate I would see Prop C passing perhaps in single digits.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Kansas Downballot Races
I am interested in the downballot statewide races in Kansas.  The Democrats currently hold all of these offices except for Insurance Commissioner and the Democrats that hold these positions were not elected to them (Republicans were elected to two out of the three downballot statewide offices that are currently represented by Democrats).  With Brownback and Moran/Tiahrt sure to win, a coattail effect should be evident.  Also, it is a Republican year in a Republican state.  However, Kansas seems to be a quirky state politically.  It elected Sebelius to two terms as Governor but both times her running mates were former Republicans.

We've got a shot downballot
Moran won't have coattails, everyone knows he'll win. Brownback might get conservatives to turn out, though. And Kansas actually has a much more Democratic electorate in off years, and one that's trending Democratic overall. The secretary of state's office says there were 744,975 Republicans, 460,318 Democrats and 490,395 unaffiliated voters in Kansas heading into the primary of 2010.

In 2006, when Sebelius romped to a 57% victory, there were 438,327 Democrats (+22k), 440,372 unaffiliated (+50k), and 760,745 Republicans (-16k).

KS-AG: Nominee Steve Six is the current AG. A former judge, Six has been AG for about three years, since the previous DA resigned due to a sex scandal. This will mark his first run for elective office, but so far, so good, with boffo fundraising and good PR.
Source: http://www.fox4kc.com/news/sns...

KS-Treas: Nominee Dennis McKinney is a former state Rep. from Greensburg (the town that blew away in a tornado and that Leonardo DiCaprio is rebuilding green) appointed by Sebelius when then-Treas. Lynn Jenkins defeated Nancy Boyda in 2008 and departed for Washington. He's also gotten good PR and far outraised his opponent.
Source: http://www.kansascity.com/2010...

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
So...
Tevis's American Nations idea never caught on?

It was never
Never officially rolled out. He got no local press for it...at all. The local press he got was basically "Sean Tevis is MIA ... and not from around here." Very few stories related his relative experience in the campaign arena, let alone this giant obscure project that wasn't really rolled out.

Frankly, he should've gotten his stuff together before committing to the race. And I say that with much love for Sean Tevis.

Plus, in a low-information congressional race where hometowns are on the ballot--place matters. For example, Tevis won Miami County and did quite well in Franklin County, which are adjacent to his hometown on the ballot (Olathe in Johnson County).  

Koch blew the others away in Leavenworth (83%) and did well in the nearby northeast (63% in Doniphan, 65% in Atchison, 58% in Jefferson). Meanwhile, Hudspeth dominated her home county of Crawford, and did well in all of the rural counties which form most of the district south of Topeka.  

The population centers that are equally removed from all three places--Shawnee (Topeka) & Douglas (Lawrence) Counties split pretty evenly.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
See, press like this....
Argh. This post-race story from the Leavenworth Times is typical:  http://www.leavenworthtimes.co...

The upcoming campaign is bound to be a challenge, Hudspeth said - Republican voters turned out at a rate of 3-to-1 compared to their Democratic counterparts.

But she said she plans to conduct her campaign much as she had before the primary and in a similar way to her opponent, Koch, who she said she would have supported had he won.

"We've all kind of gone after this campaign in a similar way," she said. "Just getting out there and talking to people about the issues."

Sean Tevis and Dennis Pyle could not be reached for comment.

It's like, dude, you can't just have an awesome website and an interesting idea. Showing up at events and getting a press person, for starters, would be good. Fortunately, at least Hudspeth is the better candidate than Koch, despite both of them being poor as hell.  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


[ Parent ]
woah
Tevis is kinda cute, shame he got VicRawl'd. (at least Goyle hung on in style. come on Jean Schodorf, you know you want to endorse him.)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Dillon may not endorse Bernero
http://twitter.com/amyrchapman...
With Snyder winning the GOP nom, I could actually see him endorsing Snyder or not endorsing at all. Snyder is probably closer to Dillon ideologically than Bernero.  

Yet another reason...
why it's good Dillon didn't win.  The less power people like him have, the better.

[ Parent ]
Agree, if you can't endorse the primary winner, you shouldn't BE the primary winner. (nm)
nm

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10

[ Parent ]
Jackson County, MO
Am I counting correctly that more Republicans voted in the primary than Dems in Jackson Co?  If so, does anyone know the last time that happened?

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7

Thoughts
I am glad the Kilpatrick lost, I think I am anyway. I researched Clark and he seems like a nice enough guy. I think we have discussed this before, but what ethnicity is he?

Good for Bernero, he has one hell of a job ahead of him, but that's nothing if he actually gets elected. Why anyone would want to govern Michigan right now is beyond me. If Dillon ever wants a career in politics then he needs to endorse him. Possible LG's? What about Michael Moore, JK or hell stranger things have happened. Smith would probably be a good pick or maybe pick Dillon to help heal wounds from the primary.

I am glad Snyder won tonight. Believe it or not I love seeing moderate Republicans win as I think it is good for the country. I am especially glad Hoekstra lost, since the Republicans are likely going to take back Governor this year I do not want a nut like him in office. Possible LG's? I really do not know, Cox or Hoekstra or maybe the SoS.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


The Kilpatrick semi-dynasty
Certainly crashed and burned in a short amount of time.

Insanely, her defeat is already on wikipedia.  I guess someone couldn't wait for her to lose LOL.


[ Parent ]
Clarke is half-Bangladeshi, half-black
Really unusual, and I admit I'd be interested in learning more about his family background. From what I googled, his father was a Bengali Muslim from the Sylhet District of what was then British India. He apparently immigrated to the U.S. in the 1920s and married an African-American woman in Detroit in the 1950s.

I'm really curious, mainly because by the 1920s, immigration of Asians was sharply restricted, and even before then you had very little immigration from the Indian subcontinent to the U.S. (aside from some Punjabi farmers in California). So what brought his father to the U.S. and how did he get in?


[ Parent ]
Maryland House Majority Leader Kumar Barve's grandfather immigrated in the 1920s...
...to Schenectady, New York.  His daughter was Kumar's mom.  Kumar is an old friend and I met his mother once, and it takes you aback to hear an elderly Indian woman speak English in an American accent.  All the Indian women of that generation, my mom included, are immigrants, but Kumar's mom was born-and-bred in Schenectady.

In Kumar's grandfather's case, he was an engineer in India who an American engineer met while travelng there, and the American friend found a way to bring the guy over for professional reasons.

Regarding Hansen Clarke, I met him once a few years ago, and he's a really great, down-to-earth guy.  Hansen's father died when he was a child, so he was raised by a single mom.

I'm very excited a South Asian (even if only halfsies!) Democrat will be in Congress, for the first time since Dalip Singh Saund in the 1950s.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
Big news in New York!
The Legislature finally passed a budget tonight, but they also passed a measure that says prisoners must be counted as residents of the cities they lived in before they were arrested as of the 2010 Census. This is huge news for the state.

New York has almost 60,000 state prisoners, and most of these are held in prisons upstate. 60,000 is half an Assembly district and one-fifth of State Senate district. With stagnant or falling growth upstate, and with the city alone probably gaining 500,000 people since 2000, this could throw the State Senate upside down in giving the City perhaps two new seats at the expense of upstate. At the least, urban areas around the state will benefit at the expense of rural areas, and in particular Downstate interests will benefit greatly (please fully fund the MTA!), unless a lot of prisoners somehow happened to be from Buffalo.

25, Male, CT-01 (home), Perth-Wellington riding (sometimes)


Alleluia
Alleluia. Highly important, and very good news. Thank you.

überliberal Democrat, male, OH-12 (college), NJ-09 ("home"), Mets, Jets

[ Parent ]
Excellent

I hope they redistrict to Assembly and Senate districts of very close to equal population, as well.  That'll probably cost a few Democratic Assembly seats and a Republican Senate seat or two.

The 10% population deviation rule was roundly abused in the 2002 partisan gerrymanders.  


[ Parent ]
The disbursement is pretty random though
Its hard to see how this will really effect anything if they truly re-design the districts.  

I grew up in a prison town in upstate NY (See Fort Ann, NY or Great meadow Correctional facility) and there were actually 3 prisons.  Our town population was considered about 24% black according to the last census out of 6,400 people, I can assure my hometown has no more than 10 black families at most.

There are actually a lot of remote outposts like this upstate, but they aren't all in one area.  Dannemore is further upstate closer to Canada, Coxsackie is closer to Albany, etc.  It'd be different if a certain district had a huge proportion oft he 60,000, but I doubt that's really the case.

So I think while it might shift more of the power downstate, with the overall population trend already impacting, the prisoner residency change will have almost no effect.


[ Parent ]
MI-01
Is probably going to be one of the closest recent primaries for a congressional race. I'm thinking around a 5-10 vote Allen win tonight, and Allen winning by around 50 after the recount.  

Looks like Benishek.
   63 votes are added to his count giving him a 102-vote lead with all precincts reporting.  Strange.  
  I think McDowell is favored to hold the seat for Democrats.  It would have been fun to watch a Saltonstall/Benishek general, but alas, Democrats aren't that stupid.

24, Male, GA-05

[ Parent ]
An important and helpful hold if McDowell can win it. I'm glad they had a primary and we didn't. I have family there...
...in the 1st, in Houghton in the western U.P.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10

[ Parent ]
AP calls it for Moran


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

AP calls MI-13 for Clarke


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

In your face, Palin
Tiahrt does not belong in the senate. Now he can become a lobbyist for Koch Industries.

A 20-point margin
was cut to what appears to be a 4-point defeat.

How was Tiahrt going to win just based on an endorsement?


[ Parent ]
Who the hell said he was?
I don't care if Moran won by 1 vote. A win is a win.  

[ Parent ]
thanks much, jeff! n/t


Dr. Dan FTW!
  It looks we have a new Dr. Dan in town!  Benishek leads by 102 votes!  

24, Male, GA-05

Fuck yeah!
Finally! Glad to see him win.  

[ Parent ]
All the polls missed all races pretty badly
Cue the chorus: "primaries are hard to poll"

But checking now it seems nobody even accidentally got either Mi-Gov or GOP KS-Sen close to right.


Singularis in KS-Sen got it right
Closest to the pin in terms of margin

http://davidwissing.com/?p=12776

Moran 44
Tiahrt 37

SurveyUSA will likely just say that they got Moran's percentage right and that the undecideds all broke towards Tiahrt.


[ Parent ]
okay good catch
They weren't on the list I looked at.  Loooks like they just snuck in under the margin of error.

[ Parent ]
MI-Gov
Last poll predicted Snyder win, and, IIRC, Hoekstra in 2nd, Cox in 3rd.  

[ Parent ]
But was terribly off on the margins
Poll - 26/24/23

Voters - 36/27/23

They were the only poll with Snyder winning, but had a squeaker instead of an easy victory.


[ Parent ]
If the KS-Sen race wasn't until next week
Tiahrt would have likely won.  The trends from SurveyUSA were completely ominous for Moran but he held on as time ran out on Tiahrt.

It went from a 23 point lead to a 20-point lead to a 14-point lead to a 10-point lead.  Congrats to Moran though.    


Or maybe not, maybe instead Tiahrt's surge would've started a week later. What happens is...
...voters start paying attention late, and that's when a surge happens IF one happens.  You push back the primary, you might be pushing back the start of the surge, rather than changing the outcome.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10

[ Parent ]
MI-SoS, AP both have Benishek leading
The SoS by 1 vote, AP by 12. IDK why it changed to 12 from 102, when all 100% were in earlier.  

Downballot: KS-SoS
Dems nominated their strongest candidate in current (appointed) SoS Chris Biggs (well done, Team Blue) while Republicans have nominated radical anti-immigration lawyer Kris Kobach, the dude who mostly wrote Arizona's controversial SB 1070.

The formerly-mustachioed Biggs ran as a competent, apolitical technocrat, while Kobach ran as a vociferous Know Nothing right-winger who pledged to wipe out voter fraud (aka-disenfranchise anyone darker than taupe). Kobach is a fracking evil nutjob and the SoS office is rather powerful--meaning that this has instantly become the marquee downballot race in the state.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


Allen, Benishek declare victory
http://www.uppermichiganssourc...
I have no doubt the SEIU will "Win" this for Allen. And yes, I know that is not a popular statement here.  

huh?
you mean, use their resources to pay for good lawyers?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
no
Sorry, but I think unions are corrupt and are doing more than paying for good lawyers.  

[ Parent ]
ok, sure.
not going to get into this for obvious reasons, but I will say that I think Benishek will hold out, which is apparently good for us.

Also, props to MI-07 Republicans for giving me my daily recommended servings of cat fud. :)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
This isn't cool
You know that trying to start a pie fight isn't cool.

So don't do it. Resist the urge in the future.


[ Parent ]
This is Redstate shit


[ Parent ]
Rasmussen predictions
I'm guessing Thursday morning Ras will have a new MI-Gov poll out. What are yall predicting he'll show? I'm gonna go with a huge primary bounce for Snyder, 65-35.  

Snyder-Bernero-Other 70-29-1
also, as a bonus question, he will show that Michigan voters believe that English should be the official language of every country in the world by a 55-42 spread.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Wrong, "other" always scores in the mid-to-high single digits in Rasmussen......
That's one of many problems with Rasmussen, their use of "other" for both a 3rd alternative on the ballot test and as a 3rd alternative, after "white" and "black," for the poll respondent's race.

And on the ballot test, "other" always polls very high even when only major party candidates are on the ballot.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
America as the Last Best Hope on Earth
will get 68%, even though I am curious as to how the more liberal states score on the question.


[ Parent ]
It's a wierd question
If someone asked me that in a poll, I'd probably say, "Did you seriously just ask me that?  That sounds like a the premise of a poorly translated Japanese video game."

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
The Babylon Project was our last, best hope for peace.


[ Parent ]
Heh
That's why it sounded so familiar...

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
Making it worse, it's a robopoll, so you can't even say that. (nm)
nm

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10

[ Parent ]
i'll probably be wrong about this but...
snyder will be winning by infinity points.  plus 1.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
MI-08
the AWOL Dem candidate got 26,341 votes. No clue how many votes Lance Enderle (the write-in candidate) got but I sincerely doubt it was enough to win.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


MI-08 Write-in vs AWOL
The newspapers I have seen treated it as uncontested, and therefore not worth reporting.  This includes the Lansing State Journal, which did do a story on him.  

Over half the Democratic vote came from Ingham County though.  (Since he lives here, and it is the State capital, it is probably also his best county.)  According to

http://www.ingham.org/CL/Elect...

the write-in total was under 9%, and those may not even all have been for Lance Enderle.  (There was at least one Republican also mounting a write-in campaign.)


[ Parent ]
Prop 8
The decision on Perry v. Schwarzenegger (the lawsuit challenging Prop 8) is expected to come Wednesday (today) between 1 and 4 PM Pacific time. Signs point to a ruling against Prop 8 but either way it will likely be appealed. I'm wondering if this will get enough press to bring social issues back to the forefront of politics, at least for a little bit.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


Sorry
1 to 3 PM Pacific.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I "liked" the Testimony: Equality on Trial (from Courage Campaign, which is against H8) on Facebook.
Can't wait to hear the ruling!

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
This is truly unbelievable
In MI-01 (R), the Michigan Secretary of State's office (which seems to have the freshest results) shows Dan Benishek leading by exactly 1 (one) vote.

Benishek - 27,091

Allen - 27,090



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