Mark Dayton (DFL): 40
Margaret Anderson Kelliher (DFL): 30
Matt Entenza (DFL): 17
Undecided: 12
(MoE: ±7.8%)
Mark Dayton (DFL): 40
Tom Emmer (R): 30
Tom Horner (I): 13
Undecided: 17
Margaret Anderson Kelliher (DFL): 38
Tom Emmer (R): 29
Tom Horner (I): 13
Undecided: 18
Matt Entenza (DFL): 36
Tom Emmer (R): 31
Tom Horner (I): 15
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±4.5%)
Things haven't been going so well for Tom Emmer lately, who at one point immediately after the GOP convention had a unity-bounce lead in the polls (or at least in the Rasmussen/SurveyUSA likely voter universe). In the last few weeks, he's released a weak fundraising report, been the target of big advertising blitzes from both Matt Entenza and a Dem 527, and won't be able to ever eat in a restaurant in Minnesota again, as his waitstaff is likely to be serving him loogie sandwiches for the foreseeable future. On top of all that comes the new Star-Tribune poll, which may be the most bullish on DFL chances of any poll yet: it gives all three DFL candidates, even Entenza, a decent lead over Emmer.
They also look at the DFL primary, although the 7.8% MoE is pretty absurd. At any rate, the results mirror what other polls of the primary have found: Mark Dayton with a lead of 10 or so over Margaret Anderson Kelliher. The DFL-endorsed Kelliher also got the Star-Tribune's endorsement over the weekend. Whether those endorsements help her to overcome Dayton and Entenza's money, well, we'll have to wait until Aug. 10 to find out.