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Alabama, Mississippi & New Mexico Predictions Thread

by: James L.

Tue Jun 01, 2010 at 5:36 PM EDT


Polls close in Alabama and Mississippi at 8pm Eastern, and in New Mexico at 9pm. SSP will be liveblogging these races once the first returns start rolling in, but let's get the pre-game party started with a predictions thread. And in case you missed it, here is our preview of the key races to watch tonight.
James L. :: Alabama, Mississippi & New Mexico Predictions Thread
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Davis wins unconvincingly
And Griffith third. Not really much interest in much else.

Griffith in 3rd place?
2nd maybe, 3rd no chance

[ Parent ]
Hope rather than expectation


[ Parent ]
I don't think Griffith will break 40%


For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
Me neither
And that is a prediction.

[ Parent ]
I just posted this in the preview diary but
here are my predictions:

AL-Gov (D) - Davis 51, Sparks 49 (ugh!)
AL-Gov (R) - Byrne 33, Moore 29, James 24
AL-A&I (R) - Dorman v. McMillan runoff (please don't shoot me Dale!)
AL-AG (R) - Strange wins majority
AL-02 (R) - Roby v. Barber runoff
AL-05 (D) - Raby v. Tazewell runoff
AL-05 (R) - Griffith v. Brooks runoff
AL-06 (R) - Bachus wins majority
AL-07 (D) - Smoot v. Sewell runoff
MS-01 (R) - Nunnellee v. Ross runoff
MS-04 (R) - Palazzo wins majority

NM-Gov (R) - Martinez 45, Weh 36


34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


hmm boring day really
Griffith surprises people and wins his primary; only Democrats toss out turncoats, the Republican party in the south is built of them.

Run-off between Tim James and Roy Moore, let the insanity begin.

Sparks upsets Davis. Shelia Smoot wins with the support of the progressive community. And that's about it.


AL - A & I
Dale Peterson: 102%
Thug: -12%
Criminal: -56%

Palin rooting for Angela McGlowan
They are welcome to each other


[ Parent ]
So funny
Wish I could say I was surprised, but still so funny.  

[ Parent ]
Peterson 49%...
Thug .05%
Criminal .04%
Peterson's Horse 50.1%!


Better one...
People who give a rip about Alabama - 49%
People who don't give a rip about Alabama - 51%

23, Male, PA-05 (summer) PA-12 (winter)

[ Parent ]
Peterson 49%, Jack the Ripper 48%
Criminals 2%, Thugs 1%

Ripper wins the runoff.


[ Parent ]
Copy-paste time
Alabama:

Artur Davis - 54
Ron Sparks - 46

Bradley Byrne - 34
Roy Moore - 27
Tim James - 23
Robert Bentley - 9
Other - 7

Roby/Barber runoff in AL-02, Griffith/Brooks and Raby/Shepard runoffs in AL-05, Sewell/Hilliard runoff in AL-07.

MS-01: Nunnelee narrowly pulls out a majority.

New Mexico:

Susana Martinez - 45
Allen Weh - 35
Pete Domenici Jr. - 11
Other - 9


"Pre-game party"
Anyone for a game of jenga?

http://www.unoriginal.co.uk/je...


LOL
I love Jenga and the reference. Although real jenga is much better than that site. I would not like to play jenga with that "Real American" running for AG Commissioner; if he lose he kills you.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Predictions
My state:

Martinez 50
Weh 28

Alabama:

Byrne 31
Moore 24
james 23

Davis 52
Sparks 48

Griffith 40
Brooks 27

Sewell 34
Hilliard 28
Smoot  25

Mississippi
Nunnalee 53
Others 47




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