AR-Sen: Runoffs Look Possible, But Dems in Poor Shape for General

by: DavidNYC

Mon May 10, 2010 at 10:17 AM EDT

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 44 (52)
Bill Halter (D): 32 (34)
D.C. Morrison (D): 7 (n/a)
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±5%)

John Boozman (R): 48
Jim Holt (R): 17
Gilbert Baker (R): 11
Kim Hendren (R): 5
Conrad Reynolds (R): 2
Curtis Coleman (R): 1
Other: 1
Undecided: 15
(MoE: ±5%)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 35
John Boozman (R): 52
Undecided: 13

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 39 (39)
Gilbert Baker (R): 47 (43)
Undecided: 14 (18)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40 (43)
Jim Holt (R): 45 (37)
Undecided: 15 (20)

Bill Halter (D): 32
John Boozman (R): 56
Undecided: 12

Bill Halter (D): 34
Gilbert Baker (R): 42
Undecided: 24

Bill Halter (D): 36
Jim Holt (R): 42
Undecided: 22
(MoE: ±4%)

Remember, in Arkansas, if one candidate fails to get 50% on May 18, then we'll have a run-off on June 8th. The entry of weirdo Paulist D.C. Morrison suggests that this is a possibility on the Dem side, and the fractured GOP field might also yield a run-off, unless John Boozman can seal the deal soon - which he may be close to doing. In light of this, run-off hopeful Gilbert Baker has released his own numbers (PDF) from The Political Firm showing him in second place with 22% (with Boozman at 44 and Jim Holt! in third with just 8). Research 2000 will have a new survey out this week, and I'm sure they won't be alone.