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Indiana Primary Results Thread

by: James L.

Tue May 04, 2010 at 6:01 PM EDT


Polls have now closed in most of Indiana, so we'll start our evening of liveblogging here (we'll touch bases in North Carolina and Ohio as polls close there in another hour and a half).

RESULTS: Associated Press | IN SoS | Politico

7:41PM: We're moving the party over to our new thread.
7:36PM: Burton leads Messer by 38-30 with 124 of 617 precincts in.
7:32PM: Wow -- teabagger Kristi Risk leads NRCC fave Larry Buschon in IN-08 by less than 50 votes with under a third of precincts reporting.
7:30PM: Polls are now closed in North Carolina and Ohio -- we'll have a new results thread up for all three states shortly. Also, all of the polls closed in western Indiana half an hour ago.
7:25PM: With 86 out of 587 precincts in, Young is back up over Sodrel by 44-40. In IN-02, with about a fifth of the precincts in, Wacky Jackie leads Jack Jordan by 47-37. And Mark Souder now has a 48-35 lead over Bob Thomas with a little under half of the vote in.
7:15PM: Some more House updates: Walorski leads Jordan by 49-36 in IN-02 (with 93 precincts in), Souder is back up over Thomas by 43-37 (55 precincts in), Rokita is crushing in IN-04, Burton leads Messer by 38-27 (39 precincts in), Buschon leads Risk by 30-26 in IN-08, and Sodrel leads Young by just 13 votes in IN-09.
7:00PM: 21 precincts are now in, and Mark Souder has fallen behind Bob Thomas by 32 votes.
6:50PM: With 92 precincts reporting in IN-08, NRCC fave Larry Buschon is posting quite a weak-assed performance. He's at 33%, with 26% for teabagger Kristi Risk -- and the rest split among six different flavors of crazy.
6:46PM: With 111 precincts now in statewide, Dan Coats leads the way with 40%. Hostettler has 26%, and Stutzman is close behind with 25%.
6:43PM: And keep an eye on IN-03! Incumbent Mark Souder leads Bob Thomas by only 39-37 with six precincts reporting.
6:40PM: There's only once precinct in from IN-05 so far, but keep your eye on this race. Luke Messer is currently leading incumbent Republican Dan Burton by 36-31.
6:33PM: 10 precincts are now in, and check this out -- Coats leads Stutzman by only 39-36 (with the Hos' at 17%).
6:28PM: Over in IN-02, Wacky Jackie Walorski leads Jack Jordan by a 57-36 margin -- just one precinct in, though.
6:16PM: With a single precinct reporting (out of 5306), Dan Coats leads John Hostettler by 38%-28%. Marlin Stutzman has 15%. In IN-09, Todd Young has a very early 51-37 lead over Mike Sodrel.
James L. :: Indiana Primary Results Thread
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Indiana Primary Results Thread | 90 comments
Results for Indiana, NC, Ohio
http://www.politico.com/2010/m...

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

Thanks!
Added that one to the big board.
[ Parent ]
nooooo
someone might see the big board!

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.
[ Parent ]
Heh
This made my afternoon.
[ Parent ]
And Young leads Sodrel 51-37

That County
 That reported is DuBois County, a rural county near the Ohio River. It is not good for Hosteletter if Coats is leading there because it is a rural county where Hosteletter and Stutzman should do better. Also, the county borders Hosteletter's former district. It is only one precinct in that county though.

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

[ Parent ]
No ganja in DuBois!

[ Parent ]
If Young wins he'll have this little matter to deal with
He recieved a $2,400.00 donation from Don Blankenship.  Should be worth a weeks worth of bad press at least.

http://www.politico.com/news/s...

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)


[ Parent ]
Wow
I suppose Young's many ads did help him after all. I was dead wrong on that one.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
It's just one precinct!
Let's not write ol' Mike's obituary just yet!
[ Parent ]
Awww...
But I wanted to write his political obituary immediately, he's such a schmuck that he deserves it!

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

[ Parent ]
I don't,
it would be so awesome for voters in a Congressional district to have the same pair of choices for an entire decade of representation, i mean five Hill vs. Sodrel matches? Who doesn't want that?  
[ Parent ]
It's
not that great, trust me.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
This is happening anyway, in Indiana
Carpenter Mark Leyva has been Pete Visclosky's opponent in IN-01 for the past four cycles.  Leyva's now a teabagger favorite and will likely be on the ballot again.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...
[ Parent ]
Mustn't forget Barry Welsh
versus Mike Pence for I think the third time.
[ Parent ]
Hey
Already called for him!
[ Parent ]
Do new politicians just not exist in IN?
n/t

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)
[ Parent ]
only when they can primary
incumbent republicans

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)
[ Parent ]
lol

[ Parent ]
In IN-01 there was no point
No one else wanted to take on Visclosky in a deep blue district.  The corruption stuff didn't hit until after the filing deadline last time, so Leyva squeaked in with no opposition.  This cycle, he has four challengers, but I have no idea how serious they are.

In IN-09 the Republicans had a difficult situation: Sodrel was eccentric and wasn't getting the job done, but with his deep pockets and record as a former Congressman it wasn't possible to get anyone else past the primary.  Todd Young is the result of that problem -- they had to find a guy with even deeper pockets to run against Sodrel.  Don't know whether it's going to work, though.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

[ Parent ]
I'd think that would be enough to turn a lot of people off to politics
But that's just me, what do I know? (That's rhetorical, of course, I know everything about everything, anyone who questions this clearly knows nothing :P)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

[ Parent ]
Honestly
most voters aren't that fond of Sodrel or Hill. They both tend to go really negative.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
At this point, I can't blame Hill
Hell, I'd have to struggle to not put up an ad against Sodrel myself asking, exactly, "Why in the fucking hell would any of you guys want to vote for this bastard for any race anywhere?!"

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

[ Parent ]
It sucks
I don't just mean negative ads, Sodrel tried to spread a rumor that Hill actually punched after a debate when they were supposed to shake hands. Nasty.


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
True
but I thought Young would be dead last. I think my bagger friends have distorted my views. Also if Sodrel loses don't expect him not to run again. Just don't.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
The thing with Sodrel
I can kinda understand it. Thing is he won in 2004 obviously on Bush coattails so he ran in 2008 thinking the same thing would happen. Then he runs this year because of the national GOP-tilt. It makes sense. Though I guess he can rationize it anyway he wants if he is so bitter!
[ Parent ]
Thing is he didn't have money in 2008
McCain still won, but not by as much, and Hill ran a better campaign. Sodrel I think used up all his personal wealth in his 2002, 2004 and 2006 races because he hasn't spent any the last two times.
[ Parent ]
Yeah
He really didn't try that hard in 08. I personally think it really was more of a revenge thing than any think else.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Stutzmentum!
Marlin now 2nd: Coats 46% Stutzman 23% Hostettler 17%
More Updated Results
A precinct from Marshall County and one from Wells County came in. Looking better from Coats.

Total 3/5306 80
9% 41
5% 409
46% 152 Coats
17% 198 Hosteletter
23%     Stutzman

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

IN-02
Walorski up 57-36.
IN, OH
Coats will win.

Fisher will win. Brunner needs to learn to not be a sore loser.

Coats only 3 over Stutzman
39-36!
Thats interesting
But about 80% of his votes came from one county
[ Parent ]
I
was wrong the tea party folks are turning to Stutzman instead of Hoss. It would be something if an unknown state senator beat a former Senator and six term Congressman.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Same as before
Very, very, very early days!
[ Parent ]
I want to know
Where is Stutzman's state senate seat located.
[ Parent ]
The ocean

[ Parent ]
Hey
as someone who is surrounded by fields I should defend him. But I won't.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
It's in
Kosciusko, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben and DeKalb counties.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
To give you an idea,
the great documentary about the Amish, "The Devil's Playground" was filmed in LaGrange County.  It's pretty red turf.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11
[ Parent ]
That makes sense
About half of the results so far are from Steuben county.
[ Parent ]
Do any
of the "Some Dudes" in the race have geographical bases? And if so, does anyone know what they are?

Both Bates  & Behney (the Some Dudes) seem to be pulling in about 5% each, and could be a factor, I suppose, if it gets closer....

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

[ Parent ]
From
Bate's website:

A 6th generation Hoosier, Don Bates Jr. was raised on a farm in Greensburg. Today he resides in Winchester with his wife of fifteen years, Amy, and their two boys, Trae (13) and Blake (11).

I really don't know much about them though.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
It looks Like
Hosteletter is doing well in his home area but he needs to ramp it up in the northern part of the state where the teabagger votes are heading for Stutzman.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

40-32
Coats.
[ Parent ]
Burton trailing Messer in the 5th!

By 56-49,,,votes

[ Parent ]
Don't spoil it!

[ Parent ]
Oh right- SPOILER ALERT
1 precinct reporting
[ Parent ]
41-20
Burton now.
[ Parent ]
And Souder barely over Thomas
39-37.
[ Parent ]
Looks like Hostettler went back into second
40/26/24 (Coates/Hoss/Stutzman)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

14% of his district
is already in

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)
[ Parent ]
it appears
coats will win all counties not in the 3rd (Stutzman), 8th or 9th (Hos)

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)
if indiana had a runoff
would coats win or lose? its an interesting question

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)
Certainly piss poor performance
For a former incumbent. I feel very comfortable with my early tossup rating.
[ Parent ]
I think
lose. Hoss and Stuntzman are splitting the anti Coats vote. It would be really cool to see Coats blow all of his money defending himself in a one on one.


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
yeah, I'd see either one
gaining steam and overcoming Coats in a run off, or at least severely damaging him and financially draining him. Too bad Indiana doesn't have one, it would really help Ellsworth.

Coats mediocre performance in the south part of the state is encouraging though, it means Ellsworth has a chance to run the margins up there, and if he can voters in the north more familiar with him it gives him a very good shot at winning.  

[ Parent ]
Sodrel makes his move!
Less than two points down.
Excellent

[ Parent ]
Even closer now
7 votes in it. But only 4% of the precincts.
[ Parent ]
Sodrel in the lead now!
by 13 votes.
[ Parent ]
Ugly trend...
teabaggers aren't beating down electable candidates (save FL-SEN), they are just popping crazy people out of solid red districts. Insane GOP unity of this year aside, the composition of a Congress changes as much from changes to the orientation within a party as from changes of the balance between them.
Bit early to say that just yet
Both tonight and in total. Bob Dold beat the GOP favorite remember.
[ Parent ]
aye

[ Parent ]
Coats
 Should win. He is winning all the rural areas except around Hosteletter's district.

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

IN-9
More total votes in the uncontested Dem primary than in the tight GOP primary.
that bodes well for
Hill. I look forward to seeing him run for the open senate seat in 2012. With Obama on the ballot it should be an interesting race.  
[ Parent ]
No republican over 50%...
... in any contested district so far.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan
Sodrel leads by 13 votes
And Buschon only up 30-26.
In-5
Was Burton supposed to struggle.
[ Parent ]
Yes

[ Parent ]
Yeah
Of course that's why there are so many people running against him. No one really likes him at all. I thought that with so many candidates running against him that he would win. It will be closer than I thought though.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Interesting
Stutzman is leading in Marion County with Indianapolis.
Only 700 votes are in so it is probably just the early results.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

In 03 and In 09
 Young leads by 5 with 11% in, Souder leads by 12 with 48% in.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  

IN-09: Who do we want?
Sodrel or Young? My best friend moved to IN and now lives in this district (voted for Hill the other day, really likes him).

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26
Probably Sodrel

[ Parent ]
I think Sodrel.
  I think this is the kind of year when we want to face retreads.

24, Male, GA-05
[ Parent ]
Sodrel
People hate him. Young is a fresh face, and that could hurt us.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Kristi Risk ahead in the Bloody Eighth

Hahaha.
   She's a tenther.  But my favorite part of her website is when she delves into Chinese history to compare the Great Wall to The Wall on the Mexican border.  Fun times.

24, Male, GA-05
[ Parent ]
If Ellsworth and Van Haaften
Both win Bayh will be soooooo smug.
[ Parent ]
Still worth it


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Agreed

[ Parent ]
I think
If Bayh got any more smug, I think it would create some type of smugness event horizon and implode the universe.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.
[ Parent ]
Also agree
Bayh for Governor, Hill for Senate, Obama for President looks like a strong ticket for 2012.
[ Parent ]
LOL.
that analogy is awesome, especially since the Manchus ended up beating the Ming and setting up their own government. I think that's Failblog-worthy.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/
[ Parent ]
Defend Kamchatka!
Risk is still up 15 votes over Bucshon with 216/635 precincts in.  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.
[ Parent ]
OH Sen
If Brunner somehow pulls this thing out does that decrease our chances in the general?

19, gay male, IL-7, MN 4 (college), Dem
Indiana Primary Results Thread | 90 comments

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