AR-Sen: Halter Gains Some Ground

by: James L.

Thu Apr 29, 2010 at 2:18 PM EDT

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 43 (45)
Bill Halter (D): 35 (33)
Other: 7 (6)
Undecided: 15 (16)
(MoE: ±5%)

Halter has made a bit of an ascent over the past couple of weeks, pulling within single digits of Lincoln for the first time after previously stalling at a gap of 12 points. Pay close attention to that "Other" number, which presumably are the votes that tea-flavored Democrat D.C. Morrison is targeting. If no one wins 50% on May 18th, this sucker is going nuclear to a runoff on June 8th. In that event, this could be a race where time may be on Halter's side.

And for the general election match-ups:

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 42 (43)
John Boozman (R): 52 (50)
Undecided: 6 (7)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40 (41)
Gilbert Baker (R): 47 (48)
Undecided: 13 (11)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 40 (42)
Kim Hendren (R): 50 (49)
Undecided: 10 (9)

Blanche Lincoln (D-inc): 42 (43)
Curtis Coleman (R): 46 (46)
Undecided: 12 (11)

Bill Halter (D): 42 (41)
John Boozman (R): 47 (48)
Undecided: 11 (11)

Bill Halter (D): 43 (43)
Gilbert Baker (R): 44 (45)
Undecided: 13 (12)

Bill Halter (D): 43 (43)
Kim Hendren (R): 45 (46)
Undecided: 12 (11)

Bill Halter (D): 43 (44)
Curtis Coleman (R): 41 (43)
Undecided: 16 (13)
(MoE: ±4%)

Rasmussen also has some numbers that, while not looking anything quite like this, at least corroborate the idea that Halter is less of a general election liability than Lincoln.