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SSP Daily Digest: 4/28 (Afternoon Edition)

by: Crisitunity

Wed Apr 28, 2010 at 3:31 PM EDT


AR-Sen: Maybe it was yesterday's performance in front of Carl Levin by all those Goldman Sachs execs, but Blanche Lincoln saw the handwriting on the wall and reversed course on her Goldman contributions, which she'd previously said she was keeping. She's giving all that money to the Arkansas Hunger Relief Alliance.

LA-Sen: Having tried to hammer David Vitter on all sorts of approaches (most of which seem to relate back to formaldehyde somehow -- FEMA trailers, the dry cleaners' lobby, and so on) and not gotten much traction, the Louisiana Democratic Party is going back to the well, to focus on the really easy-to-understand, obvious stuff: his patronizing of prostitutes. They have a new site up called "Forgotten Crimes" that revisits that sordid business.

NC-Sen: Elaine Marshall is about to go on the TV airwaves starting Thursday, her first spot with less than a week to go before the primary. One of her advisors, Thomas Mills, also seems to have had a bit of a Homer Simpson moment of not saying the say-out-loud part and shouting the keep-it-in-your-head part; he said that opponent Cal Cunningham doesn't have a chance in the general "because he's a white male."

PA-Sen: An ill-timed Arlen Specter quote today is raising a few eyebrows; he told Allentown's newspaper that "I might have helped the country more if I'd stayed a Republican." Of course, all the selective quoting misses the meat of his statement, which is that he says he would have voted for HCR regardless, and was musing whether he would have been in a better position to bring aboard Republican moderates from within that camp. Meanwhile, it seems like people are only just now waking up to the fact that Pat Toomey isn't unopposed on the GOP side; he still faces off against underfunded pro-life activist Peg Luksik. Luksik is finally getting in the news today, calling attention to Toomey's pro-choice statements in the past.

WI-Sen: When Tommy Thompson decided not to run for Senate, many eyes wandered over to conservative state Senator Ted Kanavas as a possible Republican candidate against Russ Feingold. Kanavas declined a bid today; the only potential candidate that the GOP seems to be waiting on is wealthy businessman Ron Johnson, who still seems to be making up his mind.

MA-Gov: The RGA is taking a page from its successful race in New Jersey, where they spent a ton of money neutralizing independent candidate Chris Daggett. They're facing an even bigger problem in Massachusetts in the form of Dem-turned-indie state Treasurer Tim Cahill, who's not only spoiling the race for Charlie Baker, but in 2nd place ahead of Baker. With that in mind, the RGA is launching the first big ad buy of the race, and it's an anti-Cahill, rather than anti-Deval Patrick, salvo.

ME-Gov: The winner of the money chase in the Maine governor's race is Republican businessman Les Otten; he says he's raised $106K for his campaign, but also loaned himself $1.2 million. Republican Bruce Poliquin seems to have raised the most from others, among all the candidates; he's raised $600K. The money issue may be less relevant in Maine than most states, though; the more-or-less frontrunners on each side of the aisle, Democratic state Sen. Libby Mitchell and Republican state Sen. Peter Mills, are both relying on public funding through the Maine Clean Election Act.

WI-Gov: In the jostling to be Democrat Tom Barrett's running mate in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race, there was a lot of action yesterday. Milwaukee alderman Tony Zielinski got out of the race and at the same time, state Assembly majority leader Thomas Nelson got in. Nelson is from Kaukauna (near Appleton); there may have been a push by Barrett (the Milwaukee mayor) to get some geographic diversity on the ticket.

IN-05: Republican Dan Burton is one of Big Pharma's least favorite Republicans; no surprise, as he's one of the leading voices in the House for autism/vaccination crackpottery. Money from health and drug executives and PACs has been flowing into the campaigns of his primary opponents (especially state Rep. Mike Murphy and former state GOP chair Luke Messer). Unfortunately for Big Pharma, the badly-fractured opposition means that Burton looks poised to survive the May 4 primary even with a small plurality (as Indiana doesn't have runoffs).

WV-01: Rep. Alan Mollohan, who tends to keep less money in his campaign warchest than most people keep in their checking accounts, has suddenly turned into a fundraising beast in recent weeks (now that he suddenly has some motivation to do so, facing both a tough primary and some credible GOP opposition). He's raised $32K in just the last two days after holding a fundraiser. Meanwhile, there's no clear front-runner as to who his GOP opponent will be, although former state Rep. David McKinley and former state Sen. Sarah Minear are trading punches over their legislative track records.

CA-LG: Abel Maldonado was sworn in as California's new Lt. Governor today, finally filling the long-vacant position. On the downside, the Republican can now run for re-election as an incumbent, but on the plus side, his Democratic-leaning Senate seat (not just in terms of registration, but a 59/39 vote for Obama), SD-15, is up for grabs. Der Governator just set the special election date for the summertime (6/22 primary, 8/17 general), though, rather than to coincide with the November election, which may work to Republicans' advantage in terms of lower turnout.

Illinois: Hoping to avoid a repeat of the short-lived Pat Quinn/Scott Lee Cohen ticket (and various terrible pairings from the past as well), Illinois Democrats are changing the system so that a Governor and Lt. Governor candidate run together as a ticket even in the primary, rather than getting a post-primary shotgun wedding. The state Senate passed the bill 56-0 (as Republicans seem none too enthused about their 27-year-old dilettante running mate either) and heads to Pat Quinn for his signature. (Gee, I wonder how he feels about the issue?)

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 4/28 (Afternoon Edition)
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If accurate
That's probably more single-subject post material than digest level.  

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

[ Parent ]
Holy shit! I had no idea!
No, seriously, we'll report on that when (or if) it actually happens tomorrow. At some point it gets redundant to have "unsourced rumors today say Charlie Crist will launch an independent bid for Senate" every single day in the digest.

[ Parent ]
Too bad Specter didn't stay a Republican
Then Sestak could have conserved his resources, and had a clear shot, against Toomey.

Maybe so
But I read the entire article and think that, in context, Specter's second thoughts about changing parties are inoffensive.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
This Just In
 Crist announces whether he will be an independent or Republican.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Sorry
I just found someone beat me to the announcement.

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


[ Parent ]
NC-SEN
Wow, Marshall's advisor is an idiot. Reminds me of the saying: first they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
Shame, I always thought Marshall had a better shot against Burr than Cunningham.

22, male, VA-10

I don't think it's really fair
To judge the entire campaign's potential for success on the basis of one comment like this by a campaign advisor. Her campaign manager ran Jerry McNerney's campaign in 2006 agaisnt Richard Pombo, a similar situation since the DCCC had opposed McNerney in the primary much like how the DSCC opposes Marshall now. His statement was a bit of a gaffe, but in fact Democratic women have done quite well in North Carolina politics as of late so they have some basis in history. In 2008, female Democratic candidates won 5 of the 10 Council of State positions (Governor, Secretary of State, Superintendent of Public Instruction, Auditor, and Treasurer), and Kay Hagan toppled Liddy Dole by 9 points. The gender advantage can be a very important factor in NC politics, and it would certainly help Marshall in 2010.

[ Parent ]
Forgot to specify
Marshall's (and McNerney's former) campaign manager is not the person that made those remarks.

[ Parent ]
I like Marshall, but she can't raise the money.
Not that Cal Cunningham was on fire in the first quarter either. I think he raised under $400K, but Marshall's haul was around half that. She's not doing Brunner style, but it's just not enough for the DSCC to want to help her if she gets the nomination. If this is a season for political outsiders, I think Cunningham's resume is better than Marshall's.  

[ Parent ]
What
about Ken Lewis? The only person I know who lives in NC is backing him. Not totally sure why though. I assume he stands little chance of getting the nomination.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
I Don't Know About That
A young and ambitious white guy, or a tough grandma - which is more outside the norms of DC politics?

As to Cunningham and Marshall's relative hauls, how much of that is due to all those stories about Cunningham being the favored candidate of DC Democrats? Since money often simply follows around the candidate that contributors think will win, if Marshall (or Lewis) were to be the nominee, and Burr continued to poll so poorly, do you really think she'd still have trouble raising money? Especially if NC's one of only a handful of opportunities for the DSCC to play offense?


[ Parent ]
PA-15
Pretty encouraging poll for John Callahan, showing Dent up 43-31.  Callahan has been a great fundraiser, and the two candidates are dead even in CoH.

http://www.mcall.com/news/brea...

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


Nice


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Did Arizona save the Reids?
Just a theory. NV is 26% latino, AZ just passed the most racist legislation in a long time and Brian Sandoval came out for it. Enraged latinos could tip the balance in NV

Not that this matters but...
Isn't Sandoval Latino?

[ Parent ]
wow,didn't catch that
sort of ironic

[ Parent ]
Even
Rubio opposes it. Although I suppose Rubio doesn't have to worry about winning his primary any more.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
well
Jeb Bush doesn't support it either. Maybe FL Repubs are a little more sane on that particular topic.

[ Parent ]
Jeb Bush
Has tried to engage in outreach to Latino voters for a long time, and he was popular within not just the Cuban community but also among the many Puerto Rican voters in Central Florida. He also speaks fluent Spanish and his wife is a Mexican-American woman. So it doesn't surprise me too much that Bush opposes the law, especially if he is trying to carve a niche in the 2012 presidential race among Hispanic voters. I know Rubio opposes the law, but I would be interested to know what the broader reaction within the Cuban-American community to this law is.

[ Parent ]
Cuban-Americans and immigration
I don't know how Cuban-Americans normally breakdown in terms of immigration as they have different circumstances, but I would think anyone who's not white or black should be both concerned and pissed about this law.  Essentially, you get asked for your papers if you're not white or black.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Though he probably wouldn't be stopped under the law
Which is to say, he looks rather Anglo:


28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
That's always my first question with Hispanic conservatives......
Their color.

"Hispanics" are an ethnic group of people who can be of any race, and their politics are affected by skin color.  Brown and black Hispanics are more Democratic, white Hispanics (and a lot of anti-Castro Florida Cubans are white) are more conservative and Republican (relatively speaking).  So even within the Hispanic "community," there are racial political differences.

I'm Indian-American, and even among South Asian immigrants (not among American-born South Asians) there is color discrimination socially, where being a lighter shade of brown is perceived as "better."  This at least doesn't extend to politics, with most South Asians voting Democratic, usually by a 3-to-1 margin collectively.

This can be true also in some black American quarters, although again it doesn't translate to any difference in voting behavior.

Race and color have a very deep influence in American culture and politics.

43, male, Indian-American, Democrat, VA-10


[ Parent ]
When I learned there was Cape Verdean State Rep (in Massachusetts)
and that he was a Republican from Plymouth, I was initially surprised.  Until I saw a picture of him.  He looks like he's Italian and he goes by "Vinny".

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
I think the chicken lady may have.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Aww...
the Illinois forced marriage system is gone. Now we have to rely on Illinois gubernatorial candidates to embarrass themselves. Granted, so far Illinois Governors have beenn plenty up to the task, but it won't last forever.

Somebody needs to launch a blog with made up scandals to fill the void. Someone other than Drudge.


MA has the same system
Only problem is it's our Speakers that are scandal-prone.  

[ Parent ]
Well...
you keep at it, and pretty soon you can have some major league corruption. Down in TX, we really produce more morons than criminals.
Who do you think would win a corruption-off? IL, LA, or Alaska?
Dont count out Alaska.

[ Parent ]
Lots of states could compete
NJ, NY, CT, RI, MA, perhaps PA and OH too.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I'm waiting to see how long DeLeo lasts
We haven't had an unindited speaker since Keverian left office in the beginning of 1991.

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
The problem is the speaker has too much power
Complete freedom to set the legislative calendar and the ability to appoint and remove committee chairs at will.  This is definitely a case of "Power corrupts, Absolute power corrupts absolutely".  Reduce the power of the speaker and I would bet the conviction rate would drop considerably and democracy would be served regardless.

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
UT-Sen speculative possibilities
Anyone familiar enough with Utah's election laws to know the possibility of Bob Bennett pulling a Lieberman if he goes down at the convention? If I were a Dem in the state I'd probably support him (grudgingly, but it's Utah...)

überliberal Democrat, male, OH-12 (college), NJ-09 ("home"), Mets, Jets

Not possible
the independent filing deadline was the same day as the major party filing deadline (3/19).

[ Parent ]
He
could still become a Democrat or Independent and not run, as a final screw you to his party. He could also endorse the Democratic nominee, or run a write in campaign (presumably as a Republican). Bennett isn't that moderate, I still can't get over the fact he is likely to lose. Wow.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Bennett is extremely conservative
So none of this will happen.

[ Parent ]
He
could go independent and caucus with the Republicans. Although in 2000 Mathew Martinez lost in the Democratic primary and became a Republican, despite being a fairly reliable vote. So while it's VERY unlikely it could happen.    

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M...

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  


[ Parent ]
I Don't Know About the Law
But as a matter of personality I can't imagine it. He's Republican through-and-through. My impression is that he's well-liked in the caucus. He's a three-term veteran. His father was a four-term senator. And he's 76 years old - not really the ideal time to change ones stripes.

[ Parent ]
If Arlen Spector taught us anything
It's that age is no barrier to changing party affiliation.

[ Parent ]
CA-Gov: Rep. Radanovich backs Whitman
Rahm refused Crist's call
http://www.theatlantic.com/pol...

Here first: Charlie Crist, soon to be independent Senate candidate from Florida, tried to reach White House chief of staff Emanuel through intermediates. WH refuses to take the call. Dems plan big talent/money blitz for Kendrick Meek. BTW: Obama's approval rating in FL is in high 40s, per internal Dem polling.


What the hell did he want?
"Hey, yeah, guys, I know I just spent the last six months pretending to be an arch-conservative Republican who planned to oppose everything you propose in the Senate, but that was just a big joke, right? Please get Meek to drop out? Please?"  

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

[ Parent ]
I'm a the only one who missed this?
http://voices.washingtonpost.c...

Billionaire real estate developer and financier Jeff Greene is mulling whether to enter the Democratic Senate primary in Florida, according to a senior Democratic source, the latest twist in a race that has resembled nothing so much as a soap opera in recent weeks.


Has anyone noticed Crist's website?
Duh, stupid question. Has anyone noticed the "Switch Parties" part next to the registration? Looks like a very telling sign.

I'm going to be honest. I have never voted for or supported a Republican in my whole like. That being said, I find Kendrick Meeks to be completely uninspiring and I just can't see how he can win in Nov. If there any other Dem who can announce before Friday? Please?


[ Parent ]
I thought that too...
Then, I saw this.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/K...

Also,

Even while in college Meek had begun building a political network as president of the Florida chapter of the Young Democrats organization, so it was no surprise when he decided to run for the Florida state legislature in 1994. He raised eyebrows when he challenged incumbent State Rep. Elaine Gordon while she was battling a brain tumor and suffering frequent hospitalizations, but Gordon (who eventually recovered) dropped out of the race and Meek was elected. A similar episode occurred four years later when Meek challenged veteran African-American legislator William Turner, who had already announced his intention to step down after one more term and who was troubled by heart problems. But the popularity of the Meek name carried the challenger to victory once again. "Meek shares his mother's driving ambition and, some say, may be a shade more ruthless," noted the Miami New Times.

http://www.answers.com/topic/k...

Can't say I disapprove, personally.

überliberal Democrat, male, OH-12 (college), NJ-09 ("home"), Mets, Jets


[ Parent ]
his last name
is more than a little deceptive..

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]

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