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SSP Daily Digest: 4/12 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Mon Apr 12, 2010 at 8:00 AM EDT


  • DE-Sen: Mike Castle says he raised $826K in Q1 and has $2.3 mil cash-on-hand. Dem Chris Coons did quite well, too, raising $635K in just six weeks, including contributions from over half the Dems in the Senate.
  • FL-Sen: For almost any other candidate in almost any other race, a $1.1 million quarter would be a sweet haul - but not for Charlie Crist, who got smoked by Marco Rubio's $3.6 million take. Crist's fundraising has dropped every quarter he's been running, from $4.4 to $2.5 to $2.1 and now to this. Crist still has an impressive $7.5 million on hand, though, while Rubio hasn't announced his cash figures.
  • IN-Sen: Brad Ellsworth says he raised $625K in the six weeks he's been running for the Senate and, thanks to money he already had in his House account, now has over a million on hand.
  • AZ-08: Dem Rep. Gabby Giffords says she raised about $500K in Q1 - but so has GOP opponent Jonathan Paton, a former state senator. Giffords has about $2 mil in the bank.
  • HI-01: A poll for the DCCC supposedly shows a tie between Ed Case and Charles Djou at 32, with Colleen Hanabusa at 27. There are no other details to go on (such as who the pollster was & when the survey was in the field), but this alone doesn't seem to support the "she's so toxic, the D-Trip has no choice but to back Case" theory.
  • IN-06: Dem Barry Welsh, a figure known to many in the netroots, says he's going to challenge Mike Pence a third time. Welsh, in a bout of dour realism about this R+10 district, states: "I don't have any delusions of winning."
  • LA-02: Looks like Joe Cao put in an appearance at the Southern Republican Leadership Conference this past weekend. Admittedly, it took place in his home district, but still, attending a wingnut festival where you have the likes of Haley Barbour defending Bob McDonnell's love of the Confederacy doesn't seem like a wise political move. Fortunately, the wingers hate Cao, too - click the link to see more.
  • MD-01: Jack Wilson, "a semi-retired owner of an electrical contracting business, Navy veteran and former union steam fitter" - and teabagger - will run as an independent.
  • MI-01: A few names are surfacing on the Dem side to replace retiring Rep. Bart Stupak: State Reps. Mike Lahti and Gary McDowell, and state Sen. Mike Prusi. On the GOP side, state House Min. Leader Kevin Elsenheimer said he's taking a "serious look" at the race and will make a decision soon.
  • PA-07: After a setback in court, Bryan Lentz has withdrawn his challenge to Pat Meehan's ballot petitions. However, the state Attorney General's office is still investigating what look like serious irregularities in the filings.
  • PA-12: There's a third guy on the ballot in the PA-12 special election: Libertarian Demo Agoris. He's practically the dictionary definition of a perennial candidate, running five times for the same state House seat, with a different political party each time, including once as a member of the Green Party. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like he has "Whig" under his belt - yet.
  • VA-02: Another one (see MD-01 item): Kenny Golden, a former chair of the Virginia Beach GOP, says he's dropping out of the Republican primary to instead run as an independent.
  • Minnesota: The aptly-named MinnesotaMike fills us in on what went down at five different CD-level conventions in his state this weekend. Two Dem and three GOP House nominees were chosen.
  • Census: Another reason to hate on hipsters: The lowest census form return rate in NYC so far is in Williamsburg, Brooklyn - aka hipster central, whose denizens apparently can't take time out from cooing over their fixies to fill out a simple piece of paperwork.
  • Polltopia: The boys over at Public Policy Polling want your suggestions on where to poll next. Tell them!

  • Passings: Former GOP Rep. Bob Franks, who lost the 2000 senate race to Jon Corzine and was touted for a possible return to his old seat in the 7th CD as recently as 2008, passed away last week at the age of 58.
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 4/12 (Morning Edition)
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    Poor Joe Cao
    First you piss off the Republicans that propped you up in the media and donated to you by voting for HCR, then you piss off the Democrats you need to get re-elected by flip-flopping and voting against it. Now nobody likes you.

    Really, the smart bet for him would've been to cultivate a conservative voting record, then run for state office in 2011. Don't even worry about trying to get re-elected to Congress.


    I just read the Cao article
    Talk about a racist tirade!  The wingnut that wouldn't support Cao because of his supposed voting record is beyond ignorant.  What is so said about this article is that it represents a considerable amount of the Southern conservative mentality.  This hurts other Southerners (such as myself) who condemn such racist rhetoric.

    No ifs, ands, or buts, Cao is toast in 2010.  Cao has been used by the Republicans (Boehner once said "The future is Cao", and now he's nothing more than a whipping post).

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04


    [ Parent ]
    Gem from the comments section
    "So the idea is "We bought their seat out from under them and the ingrate didn't stay bought.""

    Lol.

    party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


    [ Parent ]
    That's a prevailing mentality amongst Southern conservatives
    In NC, many of the rural voters will line up and vote for their conservative favorite, only to get pissed off in the following 2 years by their candidate failing to live up to their own litmus tests.  As a result, the voters will then vote for a more moderate candidate who will only piss them off even more.  This may be one reason why the NC legislature (and other Southern legislatures) stays in the hands of the Democrats.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    [ Parent ]
    He's not the only one
    First you piss off the Republicans that propped you up in the media and donated to you by voting for HCR, then you piss off the Democrats you need to get re-elected by flip-flopping and voting against it. Now nobody likes you.

    Arcuri, Lincoln, Stupak, Nelson.  Nobody wants a politician whose wishy washy, because usually that wishy washynss is for douchebag reasons, like how to get re-elected.


    [ Parent ]
    PPP
    Has to be the Hawaii and/or Pennsylvania specials.

    PA-12
    Hmmm...maybe Agoris should try the Federalist label. Seems it would go further in Pennsylvania than in California.

    My blog
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    28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


    MD-01
    I hope Jack Wilson gains some traction so Kratovil can win reelection, and then we can make his district more Democratically friendly.  Splitting the Republican vote might help us in districts such as MD-01.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    R.I.P. Bob Franks
    Franks is the opposite of me politically, but when we had run-ins on the Hill he was polite, respectful, and just an all around decent guy.  He was pretty young too; I'm sorry to see him pass.
    Much love to his family and friends.

    26, D, MO-05, Hispanic

    Taegan has an interesting link from The New Yorker
    "James Surowiecki notes that there is "a strong correlation between voting in Presidential elections and income growth during election years." In fact, income growth in "the second and third quarters of the election year seem to matter most. Since the second quarter started just last week, there's time for moods to brighten substantially by Election Day."

    http://www.newyorker.com/talk/...

    I have to say this fits pretty closely to what I've been saying for months. If it comes to pass then November will be bad but very much "less bad" than folks are currently projecting.


    Perennial candidate
    Someone should write a book about perennial candidates. I bet there would be some classically American characters like Demo in PA-12.

    So true
    You could write a book entirely on the life of John Jay Hooker.  He's a Tennessee legend of his own mind...

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    [ Parent ]
    robert kelleher from montana
    ran as a green, dem, libertarian and finally as rep nominee in 2008 against baucus.  saw him at a debate once in 2006 when he was running for the rep nomination against burns, hilariously cantankerous.  

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

    [ Parent ]
    gotta love those libertarians
    if you don't take them seriosly, they're hilarious

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

    [ Parent ]
    HI-01 - Linear progression of the M-D and DCCC polls
    I get 37% Djou, 30% Case, 28% Hanabusa, with 5% undecided as of May 2, which I believe is the day that mail-in voting begins (20 days prior to 5/22).

    That would be quite a frustrating result.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    wonder if hanubusa would drop out and run in the primary
    for an obama endorsement?  say that she didn't want his agenda hurt by djou winning, but that doesn't mean case should hold the seat for longer than the rest of abercrombie's term.

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

    [ Parent ]
    Hanubasa isn't the only one who has to be appeased
    If any sort of "deal" isn't good enough for the two Dans (Akaka, Inouye), local HI Dems are going to be POed.

    I don't think that kind of deal would be good enough for them, but I don't speak for them.


    [ Parent ]
    an outright obama endorsement of hanabusa
    before the winner take all election and the DCCC rescinding its "support" might be enough to tip the scales and satisfy all parties (except case) but i don't know if he would want to weigh in.  

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

    [ Parent ]
    I seriously doubt Obama would risk endorsing a candidate
    who might finish 3rd in a 3 way race. Obama did endorse Specter but that is the Senate and they were only one vote away from 60. There is no way Obama blows political capital on a Special election for a House seat in Hawaii.

    [ Parent ]
    Pretty funny web video on J.D. from the McCain campaign
    http://politicalwire.com/archi...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    I saw that
    And my thought was that McCain should grow up. Seems I'm in the minority on that though.

    [ Parent ]
    I actually like
    McCain's sense of humor.  It may be the only thing I like about him.  Guess I never grew up either...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    Maybe it reminded me of his 2008 ads
    Which I thought were petty.

    [ Parent ]
    I thought it was hilarious
    and unlike most of the things McCain brought up about Obama it was stuff Hayworth said recently.  

    [ Parent ]
    Personally
    I found the ad to be quite funny.  McCain has a pretty good sense of humor when he's not the butt of the joke.  I don't believe McCain would find it as funny if JD Hayworth exploited some of McCain's blunders (truth be told, JD's gaffes are not nearly as bad as McCain tapping Palin has his VP nominee).

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    [ Parent ]
    Yeah
    also, the whole man-horse thing would have been funnier if McCain himself wasn't anti-gay marriage...

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    There is a difference between being anti-gay marriage
    and being polite about it and saying that if there is gay marriage somebody should be able to marry horse.  

    [ Parent ]
    I dunno man
    the whole "where does it stop?" line seems to be used by so-called mainstream conservatives as well. while that line sounded absurd to me and most people on here I'm sure, I don't know if Republicans in AZ will agree.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    could be
    I live on the East Coast so I'm probably biased but most of the main stream conservatives around me have changed tactics. The whole slippery slope thing used to be a more accepted, but is really much less common at least around me in MD.  

    [ Parent ]
    Yes
    I'm also from the East Coast (but currently in the Midwest for college) and that line appears to be fading away, as support for gay marriage in general goes up. But I have trouble thinking of Arizona as a state without its crazies (although it was the first state to reject an anti-gay marriage constitutional amendment) and certainly that is true within the Republican primary, which is pretty much the only thing McCain has to worry about.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    Man
    You guys are really hanging me out to dry lately! :)

    [ Parent ]
    I agree
    It was hilarious, but McCain is being a little hypocritical, given how much he's turned his back on his previous moderation. Still, credit where credit is due!

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]

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