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SSP Daily Digest: 3/29

by: DavidNYC

Mon Mar 29, 2010 at 8:00 AM EDT


Only one digest a day this week. Too much candy is bad for you!

  • FL-Sen: Kendrick Meek will qualify for the ballot today in an apparently unprecedented manner. Rather than pay the $10,000 filing fee, he plans to submit 130,000 signatures from across the state. (You need 112,500, so he has some wiggle room.) While this obviously was a vastly more expensive undertaking, Meek's earned a bunch of free media as a result, and has also padded out his campaign database. On the GOP side, Marco Rubio and Charlie Crist squared off in their first debate yesterday. The Politico also has a take on the proceedings.
  • MA-Sen: Rachel Maddow took out a full-page ad in the Boston Globe to deny rumors that she had any interest in running against Sen. Scott Brown in 2012. But actually, it's much better than that - click the link and check out her letter for yourself. She lands some good blows on Brown, who had sent out a letter trying to raise money off the oogedy-boogedy threat of a Maddow run. Says Maddow: "It's standard now for conservatives to invent scary fake threats to run against." Like her.
  • UT-Sen: Republican Gov. Gary Herbert says he won't take sides in the primary battle against his fellow GOPer, Sen. Bob Bennett. Given that incumbents usually stick together, this seems worrying for Bennett - a guy who already has a long list of worries.
  • AL-05: Local conservative activist Hugh McInnish is seeking to bar Rep. Parker Griffith from the GOP ballot, calling him an "impostor." A petition he filed with local party leaders was shot down in January, but he's going to try to make his case to the state party next week.
  • CT-05: Former Hill aide Justin Bernier is complaining about how the House Conservatives Fund (a PAC run by Rep. Patrick McHenry) decided to endorse state Sen. Sam Caligiuri rather than himself. The HCF asked Bernier to fill out a survey and return it to one Evan Kozlow. The problem? Kozlow does work for the HCF, and he's also Caligiuri's general consultant.
  • MN-06: Dems in MN's 6th CD have given their endorsement to state Sen. Tarryl Clark. Clark will still have to face off against Maureen Reed (formerly a member of the Independence Party) in an August primary.
  • NY-29: Upstate Dems are staying tight-lipped about their pick for a nominee in the special election to fill ex-Rep. Eric Massa's seat. They are meeting today to interview six candidates, one of whom is Assemblyman David Koon. The other names are still unknown, though Paterson aide Mary Wilmot may be among them.
  • PA-10: A group called Catholics United, which pushed Chris Carney to support the healthcare reform bill, is now running an ad (on FOX News!) to thank him for his "yes" vote. No word on the size of the buy, but obviously it's a cable dealie, so probably not big.
  • WA-03: Nurse and Democrat Maria Rodriguez-Salazar is dropping out of the race to succeed the retiring Rep. Brian Baird. This cuts the Dem field down to Denny Heck, Craig Pridemore, and Cheryl Crist.
  • IL-Lt. Gov: Illinois Democrats went the ultimate outsider route to pick a replacement Lt. Gov. candidate, choosing... the child of a former senator. Uh, I'm sure Sheila Simon, the daughter of the late Sen. Paul Simon, is a great person. But considering the lengths IL Dems went to try to open up this process and look like they weren't just conducting another backroom deal (you could even apply online!), this almost seems like an absurd result. Not to mention the fact that this isn't exactly the kind of year where a gubernatorial candidate wants to remind voters of any ties to DC. Seriously strange move here.
  • DSCC: Joe Biden just did a Dallas fundraiser for the DSCC, which took in $250,000. He also did a DNC fundraiser the same day. No word on how much that netted, though.
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 3/29
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    collecting 130,000 signatures
    That is impressive. The campaigns in Iowa had to hustle to get more than 4,000 signatures, and they had a head start by putting out petitions at our off-year caucuses in January.

    Interesting move by Meek's campaign. I would think that developing the volunteer base needed to collect that many signatures would be as useful as the database of 130,000 names of people who signed for him.


    Sheila Simon
    Her political experience consists of four years on the Carbondale City Council. She ran for Mayor in 2007 but lost to the Republican incumbent. I presume she was chosen for geographical balance, as Carbondale is almost all the way to the southern tip of Illinois.

    She
    is also a very intelligent and articulate law Professor. Yeah Carbondale is in the southern tip of the state, about an hour and a half away from St. Louis. When I first met her I thought she would have a great career ahead of her, and was shocked when she lost her mayoral race a while back. My sister was on the ballot for LG (just for fun) but we were both glad Simon won. I could see her running to replace Durbin whenever he retires. Remember the last law professor from Illinois turned out good.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    IL
    You are missing the point about the optics for this looking horrible.

    29/D/Male/NY-01

    [ Parent ]
    At
    the end of the day I don't think people would vote Brady because they dislike Quinn's LG. I don't see any way Illinois elects an extremist like Brady. If Dillard or Ryan were the nominee I would be much more concerned, but Brady is SOOOO conservative I don't see how he wins. This may look a little bad, but once the voters get to know Simon, I'm sure they would warm up to her.    

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    This may surprise you Tek
    but I find your sense of "horribleness" on this to be vastly overblown.  I don't think the good folks of Illinois are going to visit the sins of the current senate on the daughter of an iconic former senator who left office in 1997 and died in 2003.

    I'm a little surprised by DavidNYC's visceral negative reaction on this too, and it's the first such reaction I've seen on the selection.

    For my part, I hope Quinn campaigns wearing bowties!

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    I agree
    Especially since Quinn's other plausible options were various flavors of State Senator/Representative, and Springfield is even less popular than Washington in Illinois.

    27, Democratic, IL-01

    [ Parent ]
    What are the optics?
    She's held elected office, she's a woman from the right part of the state to balance the ticket, and she's the daughter of a beloved former Senator. Seriously, are Illinois swing voters going to flip out about this? If there had been a female downstate state senator, I'm sure Quinn would have chosen her.

    The Republican candidate for Lt. Gov is a 27-year-old Naval Reservist and former Heritage Foundation employee who has never run for elected office. Does Sheila Simon compare unfavorably?


    [ Parent ]
    And let's not forget,
    she brings her father's squeaky clean reputation to the table.  There's not enough that could be said for that.

    http://www.bluearkansasblog.com

    [ Parent ]
    do you live in Illinois?
    The state legislators were the candidates with the problematic optics.

    It would have been cool to pick my friend Lori Koziana. But, is it practical to pick someone who hasn't been in the public spotlight?

    What if they "forgot" to disclose something? Then what?

    If you disqualify the new public figures and the state legislators, the list of sixteen shrank to:

    Dirk Enger
    Koldenhoven
    Raja Krishnamoorthi
    Sheila Simon

    All would have been acceptable to me. Krishnamoorthi and Simon were the two who had name recognition across the state.


    [ Parent ]
    She's certainly more qualified than her 27 year old GOP opponent


    [ Parent ]
    Other possible NY-29 D candidates
    per http://www.13wham.com/news/loc...

    Brighton Town Supervisor Sandra Frankel
    Canandaigua Mayor Ellen Polimeni
    David Nachbar, Pittsford (ex Bausch and Loeb exec)

    (candidates other than Wilmot and Koon)

    In handicapping this one must remember that Wilmot, being of the Wilmot family that owns many local malls, has access to deep pockets and that could be desirable for the DCCC.  (Same could be said for Nachbar)  


    How much wiggle room is 130K?
    Being from New York 130k for 112k required signatures seems suicidal.  But I'll assume Florida is less litigious and more reasonable in signature challenges.

    NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...

    He can always pay the filing fee
    I had the same reaction- there`s no way any petition drive has an 86.5% validity rate. But in the article they say that they can pay the filing fee anyway if they get challenged, so why would any of their rivals bother wasting the resources to do so? Collecting that many signatures is very difficult, but checking them isn`t easy either.  

    [ Parent ]
    That was my reaction, too.


    [ Parent ]
    My first reaction was "what a screw up"
    You go for the signatures, and then don't get enough.

    Waste of tax dollars too.


    [ Parent ]
    $250,000 doesn't seem like a lot for the sitting VP.
    I wish we knew the DNC number.

    And boo only one digest each day this week!  Though I completely understand as doing two was probably super time consuming!


    NY-Sen: DioGuardi leads GOP field, Gillibrand at 54% against all non-Pataki candidates
    Yes but
    Yes but what percentage know it is JOE DioGuardi and not Kara!

    BTW, Dems should be grateful for that because Kara would smoke Gillibrand!

    Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
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    [ Parent ]
    BTW, Dems should be grateful for that because Kara would smoke Gillibrand!
    Yeah maybe you should step away from the keyboard for a long time if your going to type crsp like that and be serious about it at the same time.

    22, Male, Democrat, PA-18.

    [ Parent ]
    Rasmussen strikes: RI-Gov
    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    I have trouble believing that Robitaille is ahead of Lynch. However, Chafee is certainly more popular among Dems than Reps, and Caprio has to be considered the favorite anyway--for now.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    belated realization
    this wasn't clear--I meant Caprio is the favorite over Lynch, not in the general.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    GA-Gov: Nathan Deal (R) broke ethics rules.
    http://blogs.ajc.com/gold-dome...

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

    i too think choosing Sheila Simon is seriously NOT strange
    the optics that matter are how this candidate looks to Illinoisans.  I'd say the voters there have negative feelings about crooks, pervs and loonies (Blago, George Ryan, Jack Ryan, Cohen).  A woman who is a Law Professor in Southern Illinois and the daughter of a man considered almost saintly and certainly above reproach seems like the perfect mouthwash to the taste those creeps above have left for IL voters.

    As for the process, I can't imagine folks even thought about it or cared much.  People didn't think the democrats would just pick some random person and I don't think they would have had a lot of confidence if they had.

    The dislike of quasi-nepostism felt by a few posters on this site is not shared by the average voter.


    Stan Paris died last week
    What are our chances of picking up a Republican seat in VA?

    ????
    Moran defeated Parris in 1990. I don't think we have to worry about the seat.

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    OOPS

    I moved to the west coast in 1989.  

    [ Parent ]
    that just
    made my day

    18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)

    [ Parent ]
    He was a former Congressman.
    But I'd say the chances if a seat did come open are slim to none.

    [ Parent ]
    It would depend on the seat, I think
    We'd have a shot at VA-04 or VA-10, I think.

    28, Unenrolled, MA-08

    [ Parent ]
    NC-Sen: Wesley Clark backs Cal Cunningham
    why so much love for wes clark?
    Admittedly i liked him back in 2004, when he first entered, but what has he done since then?  He hasn't run for anything, or been a policy adviser anywhere.  has he been raising scads of money for the plethra of candidates he endorses?  If he hasn't raised money, unless a high percentage of those he endorses in tough races win, I don't see the value aside from a little bit of good press.

    Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

    [ Parent ]
    Very few 4-stars are Ds
    Without patriots like General Clark, it would have been much more difficult for Ds to credibly call on bringing troops home from Iraq - as a pro-National Security position.

    Sure, Ds also have Shinseki and Crowe, but Clark has done more than anyone else to provide military credibility to D foreign policy positions.


    [ Parent ]
    Daily Kos seems to be enamored with him as well.
    I like him well enough but I don't quite get the megalove.

    [ Parent ]
    Dems to get 51.6% of vote in November?
    http://www.newsweek.com/id/235...

    Lots of caveats but you gotta love the Jack Welch quote.


    SD-Sen
    No challenger for Thune has filed yet, there are no candidates (as far as I can tell), and the filing deadline is tomorrow. Looks like he'll go unchallenged.

    He can start spending time in Iowa now.


    [ Parent ]
    Bennett
    Isn't the opposition to Bennett a little too splintered to have an impact?  Shouldn't we hope he wins this primary given that he's likely the best we can get unless Granato pulls off a miracle bigger than the Begich victory?  

    Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

    23, Democrat, IA-2


    Meg Whitman
     Is getting more favorable press coverage, unfortunately. Probably because she is beating Jerry Brown in the press with all her ads.

    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




    17, CA-06,  


    Whitman just got utterly ripped in a LA Times cartoon
    She's been spending $350,000 a day on her campaign.

    And it is March.  She is on pace to spend well over $100 million dollars.  Every bit of media coverage on that is negative.


    [ Parent ]
    I think you are right
     Except that alot of media coverage is her ads. I just hope people see that she is trying to buy the election.

    for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




    17, CA-06,  


    [ Parent ]
    RNC's Massive burn rate
    http://kombiz.tumblr.com/post/...

    I think either they're using lots of BMW Direct-like fundraising means or they've hired a lot more bondage clubs then we thought.

    Seriously, besides Michael Steele being bad with money what explains this?  

    21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



    fundraising apparently is not Steele's priority nor his strong suit
    Complaints, almost always expressed off the record, have been bitter. "This is not somebody who is out recruiting candidates," said an aide who worked closely with Steele. "He is not meeting with donors. He's not asking for money. The guy is writing his book or doing his speaking gigs, or whatever the hell else he fills his days with. Those are his priorities."
    http://politicalwire.com/archi...

    [ Parent ]
    Fundraising is
    He's been doing great raising the money, he's just crappy at saving the money. Seriously, this guy is HORRIBLE. I want Barbour back!

    [ Parent ]
    Maybe you could...
    ...Get that whites-only country club guy from South Carolina (who almost beat Steele) to take over?

    http://wonkette.com/413122/fel...

    Although he's almost certainly going to be less consistently hilarious than Steele...

    Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


    [ Parent ]
    I'd prefer Blackwell
    He's a hell of alot smarter than Steele and seems less gaff prone.  

    [ Parent ]
    Cat fud...
    http://www.chron.com/disp/stor...

    I'm going to laugh my ass off if these paranoid bastards end up not only costing Republicans three to four guaranteed (at least for the foreseeable future) Republican electoral votes but also causing shifts of existing districts toward the Democratic cities and suburbs.

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


    TX's projected 4th House seat gained is only SLIGHTLY above the projected cut line.
    http://www.polidata.org/census...
    TX gets projected House seat #434.
    MO gets the final projected House #435.
    And that's it. (MN would get screwed with being #436).

    So if enough Texans decide to avoid the census, there's a real shot that TX could wind up getting only three more House seats!


    [ Parent ]
    But if this isn't limited to Texas...
    ...then Missouri may miss out on that seat to the more Democratic Minnesota.  And the internal effects could shake things up as Republican areas lose clout to Democratic areas.

    Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

    [ Parent ]

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