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CO-Sen: Bennet and Norton Tied in New PPP Poll

by: James L.

Fri Mar 12, 2010 at 11:00 AM EST


Public Policy Polling (3/5-8, registered voters, 8/14-16/2009 in parens):

Michael Bennet (D-inc): 43
Jane Norton (R): 43
Undecided: 14

Michael Bennet (D-inc): 45
Tom Wiens (R): 37
Undecided: 18

Michael Bennet (D-inc): 46 (39)
Ken Buck (R): 36 (35)
Undecided: 14 (26)

Andrew Romanoff (D): 44
Jane Norton (R): 39
Undecided: 17

Andrew Romanoff (D): 44
Tom Wiens (R): 36
Undecided: 20

Andrew Romanoff (D): 45
Ken Buck (R): 34
Undecided: 21
(MoE: ±4.1%)

The one saving grace for Bennet here is that, while he holds an unsurprisingly poor 32-46 approval rating, the GOP front-runner, Jane Norton, isn't looking too great herself. Her favorable rating is 25-35, which is not something you usually see for relatively undefined challengers so early in the game.

These numbers also confirm what we've been seeing in other polls suggesting that Andrew Romanoff is in better shape for the general election than Bennet. Jensen has some good words of caution about reading too much into that, though:

I would be cautious about declaring Romanoff to be the more electable candidate based on these early numbers though. Bennet has had all the negatives of incumbency- being associated with an unpopular majority party during a recession- without the positives- defining himself positively to the voters on the airwaves in the context of a statewide campaign. If Romanoff is still doing better than Bennet four or five months from now once the voters have started really paying attention the electability argument might carry more heft.
James L. :: CO-Sen: Bennet and Norton Tied in New PPP Poll
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Encouraging
Particularly as there is a chance it could be Buck. Though I guess with her fumbles Norton may be just as beatable. I hope they polled the primary. Don't recall seeing any previous numbers at all.

Indeed
When was the last time we saw D primary numbers?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Found the only one
The Tarrance Group, September 16-17, 2009

Romanoff 27%
Bennet 41%
Undecided 32%  


[ Parent ]
Yikes!
September? And isn't that from a GOP pollster? Someone needs to get on that.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
PPP will release R primary nums on Monday.


[ Parent ]
Have there been any polls at all
For the Democratic primary?

[ Parent ]
Looking at the crosstabs,
Bennet will do better against Norton if he can improve with hispanics.  

Romanoff is the better candidate
Plain and simple.  He has the political experience Bennet doesn't.

I don't think it's that simple.
Hell, for the experience thing, Bennet has the experience of being a U.S. Senator. which is what the job is.

But for all we know Bennet will be a good campaigner and have the skills necessary to win.


[ Parent ]
Let's hope your right
I don't think having been part of the most dysfunctional Senate ever will help him, but maybe they'll pull a rabbit out of their hats yet.

[ Parent ]
Either way
we're bouncing back. could be a natural tightening based on the place in the cycle, could be a change in the environment

I still think this one slightly leans GOP...
Independent - 35%
Republican - 35%
Democrat - 30%

Bennett - 45/5/95 = 47%
Norton - 55/95/5 = 53%

I think Romanoff might perform slightly better among Indies, but I'd give Norton the edge either way.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


I have to say as someone who frequently defends Rassmussen
It's refreshing to get poll numbers from other pollsters. I wouldn't want this site to stop reporting on Rassmussen, but people should always keep in mind he's just one view of what the electorate could look like in November (and he really does get some insane results at times).  

Agree
Really have to take everything into account.

[ Parent ]

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