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SSP Daily Digest: 3/5 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Fri Mar 05, 2010 at 7:58 AM EST


  • AR-Sen: SSP hero and perfect fuckup Bill Sali held yard sales to raise money for his flailing campaign. GOP senate hopeful Kim Hendren is doing him one better: He's selling five of his black angus cows. Moo.
  • KY-Sen: Like rival Jack Conway, Dem Dan Mongiardo is making a small, made-for-media ad buy criticizing Jim Bunning's fight against unemployment benefits, and specifically calls out teabaggers. Mongiardo being Mongiardo, though, his spokesbot can't resist taking a douchey shot at Conway's ad. Seems like sour grapes, since Conway's team thought of the idea first.
  • NY-Gov: Headline for the times, from the Times: "Paterson Still Governor, for Now." Also, Generalissimo Francisco Franco still dead. Only one of these statements is likely to remain true for much longer.
  • TX-Gov: The battle lines have been drawn, and it'll be secessionista Rick Perry vs. former Houston Mayor Bill White. Rasmussen sees Perry leading 49-43, not much changed from the 47-41 he had it in late February. White has 54-34 favorables, while Perry is at 54-46. Though since Ras (contra every other pollster) likes to look at only "very favorable" and "very unfavorable" scores, it's worth noting that Perry is at just 18-23 by that metric, while White is at 25-13. Whoops!
  • AL-05: Minority Leader John Boehner is bringing his orange perma-tan with him to Alabama to do a fundraiser for turncoat Parker Griffith. Griffith's two teabaggy opponents are furious about this turn of events and trying to get some mileage out of casting Griffith as the establishment choice. With DC as toxic as it's ever been, maybe that'll work. Still, I think Griffith is most likely to be defeated if the uber-wingnuts unite around a single candidate (see IL-14).
  • FL-08: Dem Rep. Alan Grayson released a stunty poll of the Republican primary in his race... but included his own name - and he's leading the pack. I've never heard of the pollster, Middleton Market Research, but their CEO is listed on LinkedIn as a "Senior Account Executive at To be determined."
  • FL-17: Another candidate got into the race to replace Kendrick Meek today: North Miami City Commissioner Scott Galvin. Galvin is the first white candidate in this 58% African American district.
  • GA-09: GOP Rep. Nathan Deal now says that he'll delay his resignation from the House until March 31st, so that he can vote against any healthcare legislation. This is probably a stunt to help Deal impress the Republican electorate, since he's trailed badly in all polling for the GA-Gov GOP nomination. Deal doesn't want to stay too much longer, though, since he's just one step ahead of an Ethics Committee investigation.
  • MS-01: Ah, cat fud. FOX Newser Angela McGlowan, a GOP candidate vying to take on Travis Childers, won't commit to backing the establishment favorite, state Sen. Alan Nunnelee if he should win the primary. This is exactly what the Republicans don't want, of course, since a bitterly divided primary in 2008 helped hand this seat to Childers in the first place. It's all the more remarkabe given how much effort the NRCC put into clearing the field for Nunnelee. I almost wonder if state Sen. Merle Flowers, who deferred to Nunnelee but did not endorse him, might be re-considering.
  • NY-29: Is this going to get worse before it gets better? The House Committee just launched an investigation into whatever it is Eric Massa is alleged to have done. Meanwhile, Massa is laying low - he's missed several votes (including one on the jobs bill) since his announcement.
  • PA-12: Former Murtha aide Mark Critz says that he's raised over $100,000 so far for his special election bid to replace his boss. Meanwhile, Critz's opponent for the Democratic nomination, ex-Treasurer Barbara Hafer, is pre-emptively doing all she can to discredit the nomination process, as well as pressing for the release of Critz's testimony to the House Ethics Committee. (J) On the Republican side, businessman Tim Burns has launched a teeny-weeny radio ad buy.
  • Netroots Nation: Thinking about heading to the progressive confab that is Netroots Nation? Well, MT Gov. Brian Schweitzer has already reserved a seat. He'll be the keynote speaker on the convention's opening night.
  • Redistricting: The National Democratic Redistricting Trust, a new group designed to support Dems in the inevitable legal battles over redistricting, has asked the FEC whether member of Congress can raise soft money to support the trust's efforts.
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 3/5 (Morning Edition)
    Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
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    I'm hopeful
    For TX-Gov. Imagine the compromised 2012 redistricting map :)

    I think that may save, what, 3 or 4 seats of Dems maybe? No more Delay-mander :)

    That on top of FL-Init to give an independent panel say in redistricting, I think 2012 could be a nice year for Congressional Dems if things shape up.

    Anyone feel like drawing a compromise map for Texas using Dave's app?

    21, Male, Gay, Dem, Born: AR-04 ;  Current Residence: FL-02


    How does Texas do redistricting?
    Is it a straightforward majority vote of both Houses of the Legislature plus a signing by the Governor, some commission, or something else?

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    IIRC
    they have a 5 person panel including the speaker of the house, governor, and i don't recall the other three.  

    [ Parent ]
    MS-01
    This is some great news, and I bet this won't be an isolated instance for the Republicans.  I know that the Dems are being drug down by an anti-incumbency movement, but the Republicans are also being drug down by purity tests within their caucus.  I imagine we will see more of this all over the nation.  Parker Griffith will most likely be drug down if he wins his primary.  Many within his district will not vote for him whether he has a "D" or an "R" behind his name.

    40, male, Democrat, NC-04

    AL-05
    DavidNYC you forgot that in Alabama primaries use a run-off system, so there is no need for the anti-Griffith forces to unite now, they just need to keep him under 50% for. Both Phillip and Brooks would defeat Griffith 1v1 in a runoff easily (and rightly so for this turncoat). A shame there is no credible Democrat to pick up the pieces in the general but I guess its just a bad year for Dems to try to pick up (or even hold) strongly conservative seats.

    McGlowan's beloved by the tea-party crowd
    Wouldn't surprise me one bit if she gained some traction.

    For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

    MI-GOV
    Kildee has dropped out.

    So it's basically between Dillon and Bernero now.

    Wheeler Smith may affect the black vote on the margins which could throw the nomination either way in a tight contest.


    FL-08
    Yeah, I get that Grayson might have some crossover appeal for his various crusades against the Fed and so on, but... yeah. That 'poll' is just weird.  

    Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09

    Does FL law allow Grayson to run in both the D and R primaries?
    If so, that might be one way to head off competition....

    [ Parent ]
    In many states in the Northeast you can do this, but only as a write-in
    This is how Peter Welch got both the Republican and Democratic nominations in 2008, for example.

    28, Unenrolled, MA-08

    [ Parent ]
    Walt Minnick
    I would like it noted that Walt Minnick voted for the jobs bill, gee I wonder where Bill Sali would have come down on that one.  Of course this will probably end up biting Walt in the end.  

    Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

    23, Democrat, IA-2


    Nobody here ever complains about Minnick
    He picks and chooses his votes better than others, especially considering his Idaho seat.

    [ Parent ]
    It's Idaho
    Unless the legislature drew the new maps whilst supremely high and decided to base one of the districts around the Boise metro area, a loyal Democrat would never clear 45%, even against Sali.

    I've always thought complaining about Minnick is pointless, as if you don't like him, you just need to wait for an election or two and he'll be gone.


    [ Parent ]
    He could run
    for Governor or Senate down the road. He would be very competitive statewide.  

    Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

    [ Parent ]
    I've heard numerous complaints here on a regular basis
    I won't name names, but they know who they are.  

    Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

    23, Democrat, IA-2


    [ Parent ]
    Sen-NV Harry Reid says something really stupid!
    If you live in Nevada expect to see this a lot in GOP attack ads:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

    On the Senate floor this morning Harry Reid said "Today is a big day in America. Only 36,000 people lost their jobs today... which is really, really good."

    Here's the video clip:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

    Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
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    Oh my God
    (I can't listen to audio at work, so I'm trusting you on this.) How did this idiot ever get elected? Is he losing his mind?

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    Are there any Republicans left in Nevada who CAN'T beat Harry Reid?
    Perhaps some mobster client of Oscar Goodman?  Be interested in seeing how Vinny the Loan Shark polls against Harry Reid.

    Ugh.  Doesn't he have staff to catch him before he says stuff like that?

    NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


    [ Parent ]
    It's time for Schumer, Menendez, and Byrd to visit Reid
    ala what Rhodes, Goldwater, and Scott did to Nixon back in '74....

    [ Parent ]
    As I've said before, I think Ashjian (the tea party candidate) makes this a winnable race...
    I played around with some #'s a few days back, and came up with Ashjian netting about 11%. Granted, I still had Reid behind Lowden by 3%, but the Dem electorate in Nevada is large enough (likely about 35% this cycle) for Reid to lose Indies by 10% and still prevail as long as he wins 90% of Dems.  

    For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

    [ Parent ]
    Brady for the GOP in the IL-Gov race
    Which is good news in my understanding--he's the downstate nutcase.  Hard to see him getting much traction in the Chicago burbs, and he's polling further back than Dillard.

    From MO-3, college in CT-3, lived in NH-1, NH-2, PA-2, and MA-8 in the 3 years since.

    agreed
    but it is a shame that Dillard didn't contest it so we could watch the Republicans tear each other apart for a little bit longer. but at least Quinn had a month to get the jump on Brady.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    Good for Gov, bad for Sen race
    Brady probably makes it an eaiser race for Quinn in the Gov (since he might have a hard time getting crossover Indy Chicago suburb voters) but it might help Kirk in the Senate race since Brady could drive turnout by bringing more downstate conservative GOP voters to the polls.



    Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
    http://searchmfr.swagbucks.com...


    [ Parent ]
    MS-01
    Flowers can't jump in at this point, as the filing deadline has already passed. The Republican primary is between McGlowan, Nunnelee, and a former small-town mayor named Henry Ross.


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