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MA-10: Delahunt May Retire

by: James L.

Sat Feb 13, 2010 at 1:18 AM EST


NYT:

Representative William Delahunt, Democrat of Massachusetts, was speaking by phone Friday about the decision of his colleague Patrick Kennedy not to seek re-election in Rhode Island. In doing so, Mr. Delahunt, who has yet to say whether he will seek re-election himself this year, might have signaled a hint about his own future.

"He went through a process that all of us in public life go through," said Mr. Delahunt of Mr. Kennedy. "Honestly, I am going through that process myself."

Mr. Delahunt, who has served in Congress since 1997, said he would announce whether he would seek re-election in March.

Delahunt, as you may know, occupies a district that Obama won by 55-44 in 2008, Kerry by 56-43 in '04, and Gore by 54-39 in 2000. Yet Republicans view his seat as their ripest pick-up opportunity in the state after Scott Brown handily carried the district last month in the state's special Senate election. Republicans actually have a bench to choose from here: ex-state Treasurer Joe Malone has begun polling for the race, and state Rep. Jeffrey Perry is already in.

For the Democrats, there has been some buzz about Joe Kennedy III swapping himself in, but that's yet to be substantiated as anything more than idle chatter at this point.

RaceTracker Wiki: MA-10

James L. :: MA-10: Delahunt May Retire
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One of the few
(may be- the only one) districts in Massachusetts, where real struggle can be expected. Even now, with Perry running and Hedlund and Malone considering, it would be more difficult for Delahunt then usually. And during last cycles he got accustomed to getting token opposition only...

The whole teabagging thing is what makes it vulnerable
despite its Democratic lean, if there is one district in MA where teabaggers could gain traction it is this one. Recall that in Dartmouth, MA, a woman compared Obama to Hitler. That town is in MA-04 but in some ways it resembles MA-10 more as a whole.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Didn't
that happen in Barney Frank's district though?

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
That's what I just said, but
re-read my comment.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I hope Delahunt continues
I think is not good moment for retirements in Massachusetts congressional delegation, when Massachusetts can lose a district in 2012.

I think would be very difficult find a new strong candidate. If someone wish retires, should wait until 2012. I think Delahunt can be the strongest democrat for this district now.

Malone is a strong challenger, but Delahunt can defeat him. A republican poll showing a -3% is not the worst new. A Giannolias and much other dems what will win in November have worse news.


[ Parent ]
MA-01 and MA-02 will probably be combined
I don't think the losing a district thing is a worry for us there.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I worry

When Democratic Party can lose 15-20 seats or maybe more, add more unnecessary seats to the list of seats in risk, is for worry.

The seat in RI has very much high level potential democratic candidates, and not the same level in republican side, but this seat not. Delahunt should fight this year.

J Malone is the alone republican not governor (and lieutenant governor) what win a statewide office in more than 30 years in Massachusetts. Is a dangerous adversary for all new candidates including J Kennedy, the young guy.

I think is the moment for fight and for beat J Malone.


[ Parent ]
I'm not saying we shouldn't worry about this district
I'm just saying we don't have to worry about Malone being combined with a Democratic incumbent should he win this year, because the population loss is in the western part of the state.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
The problem is add this district to more targeted districts.

Today Rasmussen give a poll with - 6% for Pomeroy in ND-AL. I hope Pomeroy retires not and fight.

Later will be more districts with more negative polls from republican pollsters.


[ Parent ]
GOP in MASS
Democrats holding every congressional seat in MASS is not something that is likely to go on forever, it has been 14 years since the Repubs have had a congressman here (Blute in MA-3 and Torkildsen in MA-6 won in 1992 and 1994).  Torkildsen only lost MA-6 in 1996 by 48.18-48.05%.
Niki Tsongas MA-5 only won the 1997 special 51-45% (and having an R after your name was toxic back then).  Silvio Conte-R held MA-1 from 1959 until his death in 1991. John Olver-D his successor beat St. Sen. Jane Swift-R(later Lt.Gov. and Acting Gov) 53%-47% in 1996. So the non-Boston based seats are more competitive then people think.  

[ Parent ]
2007 special, you mean
and John Olver's district has been trending VERY Democratic, it gave Coakley some incredible margins (although to be fair she grew up there).

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
GOP in MASS
Yeah Special in 2007.  MA-1 has trended very blue as well.  The point though is that MA isn't as monolithically DEM as everyone thinks.  In a bad year GOP could pick up a seat like Delahunt's.  

[ Parent ]
Conte was a fairly liberal Republican
You know, the kind that doesn't exist anymore.

[ Parent ]
Indeed
I remember his politics well, and he was quite moderate and collegial. It's really sad that such Republicans are virtually nonexistent in the House and Senate now.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
Who was the guy who told some Democratic and Republican congresspeople to stop playing basketball with each other?
Wasn't it Newt Gingrich?

Well, there's extra reason to hate that bastard now.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


[ Parent ]
GOP liberals
True that there aren't many in congress anymore...but a lot of that has been do to the success of Democratic members beating them i.e. Morella, Leach, Shays...so when moderate members are knocked off it leaves only conservatives in the most red districts.

[ Parent ]
Very true n/t


"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
Scott Brown
opened the door to probably the most contested election cycle Massachusetts Dems have faced since 1994. The GOP is putting up aggressive challenges to Governor Deval Patrick, and Congressman Delahunt's seat.

Hell I could see Martha Coakley facing a tough reelection if the GOP are able to line up some wealthy lawyer against her. Her approval ratings have to be in the gutter ever since that disaster called her senate campaign. She also melts like butter if she actually has to campaign. But that's all speculation at this point.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12


Personally
i wouldn't vote for Patrick under any circumstances. One of the worst Governors i can remember. So i would be either for Baker or Cahill.

[ Parent ]
MA
Nice spewing of right wing talking points.

Patrick has actually been pretty good.

29/D/Male/NY-01


[ Parent ]
actually
as a Mass resident, Patrick has been nothing but blunders and talk.  He hasn't done much of anything.  

Check out http://electioninspection.word... for the latest news, election results, poll analysis, and predictions

[ Parent ]
I'm calling Bulls***.
I'm a life-long MA resident too, and I can tell you that Patrick has been one of the best governors we've had in a generation. Already, the guy has delivered on:

-making our new universal health care system solvent (for the moment)
-successfully protecting Marriage Equality
-ENDING the Turnpike Authority: legendary cesspool for corruption
-Public sector pension reform: no more 23 years and out
-landmark Green Communities bill: first state to regulate our offshore resources
-plugging a $5 billion budget shortfall with mostly spending cuts and only a 1.25 percent sales tax increase
-passed the strongest ethics reform package in the history of Beacon Hill
-entered MA into the Regional Greenhouse Gasses Initiative, a mini Northeast focuses cap and trade effort
-put in place the film tax credit that has created a brand new industry in MA that now employs thousands that never existed before
-passed a $1 billion life sciences initiative that has kept MA the national leader in the life sciences industry.

I could go on, but I think you get the point.

No more bogus claims, please. Back it up with FACTS.

"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."

- MLK Jr, Letter from Birmingham Jail


[ Parent ]
Why is he so damned unpopular? Do you think there's no good reason?
n/t

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
there are reasons, but no good reasons.
Deval's popularity problems stem from (I think) two things:

1) a really, really crappy PR team that allows his opponents to shape public perception of him at every turn, and

2) an unbelievable amount of voter anger at the Democratic party right now in MA, who are being blamed both for the economic collapse and for the endemic corruption that takes place in the State Legislature. (see: House Speaker Sal DiMasi, State Senator Dianne Wilkerson)

"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."

- MLK Jr, Letter from Birmingham Jail


[ Parent ]
A couple more I forgot because they are so recent:
-FINALLY ended the wasteful practice of hiring police officers to direct traffic around construction sites, replacing them with much cheaper civilian flaggers

-Passed the biggest education reform package since the Weld Administration (early '90s), while protecting education funding from the budget axe

Founded a new UMASS Law School, so that the notfabulously-wealthy can pursue a law career, too, without going massively into debt.

I get really tired of people who know nothing about MA State Politics piling on Deval. Every Governor in the country (save that guy in Arkansas) is unpopular now because of the economy. Anyone who honestly things they are going to further a Democratic agenda by electing Tim Cahill (the Independant) or Charlie Baker (The Republican) is deluding themselves.

"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."

- MLK Jr, Letter from Birmingham Jail


[ Parent ]
What
A questionable internal poll comes out showing Delahunt might have a fight, and now he's talking about retiring?

Probably a coincidence, and there's worse places for open seats to pop up, but still...  

Independent Socialist & Chair of SSP Cranky Indianian Hoosier Caucus, IN-09


Joe Kennedy III
Why would he pass up a Senate seat and run for the House?

No it's not him
    His son is the one that might run.  

[ Parent ]
You're thinking of Joe Kennedy II
JK III is his son.

For what it's worth, JK II seems to regret not running for Senate.


[ Parent ]
JK III should just run for Senate in 2012
I have a feeling that there will be a lot of Kennedy nostalgia by then.

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

[ Parent ]
If you are looking for Kennedy nostalgia
Then shouldn't he run in the 10th? It includes Hyannis. Besides are the people of MA really going to want to elect a US senator who's barely above the constitutional age limitation when they can vote for a populist and progressive congressman with a long record (Capuano)?

[ Parent ]
I Agree
Whats the obsession with family name...shouldn't the best person with best record be the best choice?

[ Parent ]
I like political families because they win elections
I wouldn't vote for a Kennedy in all or probably even most circumstances (I supported the Gillibrand appointment over Caroline, for instance, and I despise RFK Jr.), but I would be lying if I said that it didn't go down as a positive factor in my decision, given how much dedication and commitment the Kennedy family has shown toward our country's most vulnerable and making America a better place.

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

[ Parent ]
A couple of points
1) I wasn't really expressing any desire of my own for JK III to run for Senate in 2012. I was just saying that, if I were him, that's what I would do. Forget about the 10th district this year and get the bigger prize in 2012.

2) I personally would vote for Capuano over JK III (although I'm sure that there are many Mass progressives who wouldn't), but I'm not sure by then he'll Capuano will still want to be a senator. In 2012 he'll be 60 years old and probably have stored up some more leadership in the Transportation and Administration committees. Would I take JK III over any prospective candidate in Mass outside of Capuano (those probably being limited to Stephen Lynch and some generic machine Dems)? Definitely.

3) I actually think that his youth is a good thing. We need to get some more young progressives from blue states in the Senate now if we don't want to deal with the ineffective leadership we have now in the future.

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)


[ Parent ]
Could always do both


[ Parent ]
What the fuck?
Why are so many of our Congresscritters being such wimps?  Hitting the exits because of a tough political fight is cowardice and well, totally contradictory to how being involved politics works to me.  Im in it to beat the Republicans and a Congresscritter retiring because of a possible tougher fight is just absurd to me, you should want to give your party the best shot!

And Brown's election should only say one thing, even in our usually favored district, this is not the year to be lazy.  If Coakley had campaigned throughout, it probably would have been a different story.  Brown worked harder for it, period.  And in this climate, that can't happen.

How about instead of retiring Delahunt, you just work for it?  Hitting the exits instead of doing it the old fashioned way (campaigning) is silly.


He turns 69 this year
most people retire by then

26, male, Dem, NJ-12

[ Parent ]
Average stay in the House

is about 10 years.

There's a whole bunch of Massachusetts Democratic establishment that ought to retire within the next 5-10 years.


[ Parent ]
Eh
Couldve pulled a Darlene Hooley and done it when she knew it'd be the best shot to elect a Democrat.  Retiring because you may get a tough re-election is LAME.

[ Parent ]
Question
Is Delahunt's district the wealthiest in the state? I'm assuming so since it's the Cape.

No
Actually, by median income, it is the third poorest; only the 2nd and the 8th have lower median incomes. That could be tilted a bit because a lot of people retire there, though.

[ Parent ]
Yep.
Folks who only vacation there don't vote there.

[ Parent ]
if I had to take a guess
I would say MA-07 is the wealthiest. It contains some really rich towns like Natick and Weston. MA-05 is probably up there too.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
MA-05 has Lawrence which is a virtual cesspool.
Lowell is slummy too. I'm pretty sure those two cities alone bring down the average quite a bit. Lawrence especially.

[ Parent ]
Yeah
but it also has Acton, Wayland, Sudbury, etc. etc. all those richy rich suburbs. and to be fair there are some places in MA-07 which have some bad neighborhoods (Framingham, Malden, etc)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
A little of everything...
...since it is a gerrymander job.  You've got gay and arty Provincetown.  You've got dirt poor city of Brocktown.  You've got ritzy Duxbury which is famous for it's zoning prohibition against splitting properties into areas less than one acre.  You've got white working class Quincy.  You've got Joe Malone's new home of Scituate which far from it's fishing roots is now a wealthy seaside community.  The Cape of course is a vacation hot spot with Nantucket and Martha's Vineyward being an even more exclusive vacation area.

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...

[ Parent ]
Actually:
Brockton is in the 9th, which is Steve Lynch's district. And yes, Brockton is dirt-poor and problem-plagued, much like the Southie of yesteryear.

[ Parent ]
funny you should call it a gerrymander job
since the district was previously held by Gerry Studds, a descendant of the infamous Elbridge Gerry.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
More that...
The REAL gerrymandered district is Barney Franks which was constructed to take out Margaret Heckler.  That's the ugly looking one. That district helps defines the borders of this district where it would actually make more sense to take it into Bristol instead of up all the way to Norfolk.

Except given the old Bristol County centered district was the one held by the last Republican Speaker of the House before Newt Gingrich it wouldn't really have been in the interest of the Democratic Party to do that.

Of course Bristol like most of rest of the state has been trending Democratic.

Cool story about Gerry Studds.  Hadn't heard that before.

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


[ Parent ]
I thought
the district goes up to Quincy because that's where Delahunt lives.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Here's the rank (Based on 2000 median household income)
6 57,826
5 56,217
7 56,110
9 55,407
4 53,169
10 51,928
3 50,223
2 44,386
1 42,570
8 39,300

By comparison, the richest district in America, VA-11, was at $80,397 and the poorest, NY-16, was at $19,311.


[ Parent ]
Only good news if Kennedy runs.
Otherwise not good news to lose an entrenched incumbent this year in this district.  Especially given I never believed that leaked internal Republican poll to begin with.

NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...

More bad news. Delahunt released Amy Bshop back in 1986
She's the professor accused of murdering 3 of her colleagues yesterday in Alabama.

She "accidentally" shot her younger brother and she was released after a telephone conversation with former district attorney William Delahunt


Not quite that bad
At least according to what CNN is reporting:

http://edition.cnn.com/2010/CR...

They say that she was released by the police after they decided the shooting was an accident, not the DA.

However, they also say:

"A request was then filed with the office of District Attorney Bill Delahunt to conduct an inquiry, but Delahunt never did so..."

The Boston Globe has a more favourable account:

http://www.boston.com/news/loc...

"Last night, the district attorney's office released a six-page report from its archives that showed State Police investigators reviewed the case with Braintree police in the weeks after the shooting and also ruled the shooting an accident."

It doesn't sound like Delahunt (who was DA at the time) played any active role in deciding to release or not to charge Bishop. Instead, it looks like the police were responsible for doing so, possibly under a botched investigation.

That said, with Delahunt already looking like a possible retirement or Republican target, none of this is helpful to him. Having to deal with noise on something like this is the kind of thing that might make an incumbent decide that it is time to hang it up.

If he does retire, it may improve the chances of retaining the seat if a stronger Democrat steps in -- Kennedy is an obvious possibility -- to run without the baggage of incumbency and voter fatigue.  


[ Parent ]
I'm not worried about this district yet.
Malone is a has-been, the highlight of whose political career was when his trusted deputies stole tens of millions of dollars from the Massachusetts treasury.

Perry is a smart politician and strong campaigner, but I think he's bitten himself off a little more than he can chew. I doubt a hardline Cape Cod conservative like him will play well in the more moderate, metro-Boston towns in the northern half of the district.

The one candidate who could make this race top-tier is, in my opinion, State Senator Bob Hedlund of Weymouth. He's also a strong campaigner and a proven vote getter in the metro-Boston part of the district, but also has a very moderate/libertarian reputation. Having held a Dem-leaning State Senate seat since 1994, and facing opposition almost every two years since, Hedlund would know how to hold his own.

Hedlund, however, is still deciding whether or not to enter the race. No timeline has been given for his decision making process.

"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere."

- MLK Jr, Letter from Birmingham Jail



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