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CT-Gov: Dems Continue to Hold Down Lead

by: Crisitunity

Thu Jan 21, 2010 at 4:56 PM EST


Quinnipiac (1/14-19, registered voters, 11/10 in parentheses):

Ned Lamont (D): 41
Michael Fedele (R): 32
Undecided: 23

Ned Lamont (D): 38
Tom Foley (R): 36
Undecided: 21

Dan Malloy (D): 37
Michael Fedele (R): 31
Undecided: 27

Dan Malloy (D): 37
Tom Foley (R): 33
Undecided: 24
(MoE: ±2.5%)

Ned Lamont (D): 27 (23)
Dan Malloy (D): 11 (9)
Jim Amman (D): 5 (3)
Mary Glassman (D): 4 (NA)
Gary LeBeau (D): 2 (2)
Rudy Marconi (D): 1 (NA)
Juan Figueroa (D): 1 (NA)
Susan Bysiewicz (D): NA (26)
Undecided: 44 (33)
(MoE: ±4.4%)

Tom Foley (R): 17
Michael Fedele (R): 8
Mark Boughton (R): 6
Larry DeNardis (R): 4
Oz Griebel (R): 2
Undecided: 59
(MoE: ±4.5%)

A whole lot of things have gotten shaken up since Quinnipiac last polled their home state's governor's race: incumbent GOPer Jodi Rell decided to retire, a herd of iffy Republicans surfaced to take her place, and just recently, presumed Democratic frontrunner SoS Susan Bysiewicz pulled her bid (most likely because Joe Lieberman presents a tastier target in 2012). The only trendlines salvageable from last time around are the Democratic primary, where there's a bit of an uptick for both Ned Lamont (who's basically left as the frontrunner now) and ex-Stamford mayor Dan Malloy, but many of the former Bysiewicz votes seem to be "undecided" for now. (Quinnipiac also looks at the AG race's primary, where Bysiewicz is whomping state Sen. George Jepsen, 62-10.) Of course, the Democratic primary voters look incredibly decisive compared with Republicans, where every candidate is struggling to get out of the single digits.

The general election matchups aren't quite as nice-looking as recent polls by PPP and R2K, where Lamont was putting up double-digit edges against all Republicans. (Quinnipiac points out the irony of how a Lamont/Foley matchup would pit two never-before-elected zillionaires from Greenwich against each other, and there seems to be some voter ambivalence about that matchup.) Still, Democrats have to be pleased that even with Bysiewicz's unexpected exit from the race that they still have the upper hand.

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Crisitunity :: CT-Gov: Dems Continue to Hold Down Lead
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CT-Gov: Dems Continue to Hold Down Lead | 26 comments
Ned Lamont is a good guy, but I question
whether he has the right profile for this race this year. In any case, I very much hope that he's learned his "NO VACATION" lesson.
Lamont
Will probably get the liberal base out very well...but i have a feeling hed have a real race on his hands with moderate swing voters. Against a moderate Republican, anyway. Moderates didnt seem to like him at all in 2006 although they are probably having alot of buyers remorse since then. But Lamont can thank Lieberman for that.
[ Parent ]
Agree
The situation in Massachusetts may repeat itself: a "lazy elitist" Coakley-like Democrat like Lamont can be soundly beaten by "populist" Brown-like Republican..  
[ Parent ]
Does any other D have the money for name recognition?
While I like Ned, these numbers

The "don't know enough" number for other candidates for Governor or Attorney General ranges from 59 percent to 96 percent.

suggest that others can overtake Ned in the D primary if they can get positive name recognition.

[ Parent ]
I was thinking Fedele
Would be doing much better not only in a primary but in the general. He just seems so unknown, though. I wonder if Simmons could switch to this race or even someone like Shays could enter it (if hes not enjoying private life too much).
Why
is Lamont in a dead heat with Tom Foley while he's running better against Mike Fedele? Well one thing's assured, Lieberman is endorsing the Republican in this race.  

19, Male, Independent, CA-12
Chalk it up to anti-government anger
I suspect folks will take the outsider versus the insider Fedele.  Couple things to wonder though - after campaigning in 2006 strictly on national/foreign issues (as he needed to), how well as Ned shown a grasp for local/Connecticut issues?  That may well decide who wins this race given the number of undecideds.  Also, while you may be right about Lieberman I don't think, given his polling numbers, that his endorsement would carry much weight.  Would Rell jump in though and lend her credibility to the eventual GOP nominee?
[ Parent ]
Lamont Was Elected
Contrary to what this blog entry states, Ned Lamont was elected to something.  He served 8 years (2 terms) on the Greenwich Board of Selectmen.  
Thatd be something
A Greenwich vs. Greenwich race.
[ Parent ]
Linda McMahon
Might even live there. WWE's headquarters is in narby Stamford and i know her daughter and son-in-law (both involved in her company and top dogs in it) live in Greenwich. So if she enters the race...thatd be, what, 4 from Greenwich? Including Foley and Fedele, if i read correctly.
[ Parent ]
As a wrestling fan (but hates WWE)
Your right. Linda's daughter Stephanie McMahon is a booker for one of their tv shows. Her son in law is Triple H (wrestler) and is married to Stephanie and is one of their top stars for over 10 years and is currently the Tag Team Champions of the RAW Brand along with Shawn Michaels.
[ Parent ]
Yep
Oddly, even Hulk Hogan, according to an interview he did, seemingly endorsed Linda McMahon. Maybe that doesnt sound so odd to those who dont follow the wrestling biz, given hes 'one of them', but he works for WWE's rival company TNA (well, as rival as they can be. TNA isnt much competition from a ratings and money making sense). Hogan even has often criticized her husband on numerous ocassions, although from a professional standpoint, not a personal one. I just thought his praise for her, and probably endorsement, was so odd. It wont really mean much but its good for trivia.

I just hope Stephanie doesnt campaign for Linda. When she does her high pitch voice it can become very annoying, LOL. Shes a pretty face and can talk, though. But god she can be annoying.

[ Parent ]
Yep
according to Wiki McMahon lives in Greenwich.
damn.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/
[ Parent ]
I'd love to snark on some Republican blogs about CT
I won't, but I still have the following urge.

I would shout out "Oh no!  We can't win an open Senate seat in CT, and we can't retain the governor's mansion!  Oh no!  This is just not right!"

2010 might be a long year for us, but we will win some governor's mansion currently occupied by the Republicans.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

Agreed on 2010
And I think the Senate wont be as bad.  It'll probably be a wash in the gubernatorial, a GOP leaning wash for the Senate, and the House, well, Im not thinking about that one....  I think a lot of this year is going to be more of an anti-incumbent year so lots of flipping with Senate and gubernatorial, but the House, well we control just about every single competitive seat and then some so we'll get hammered though.

But Im not all doom and gloom yet.  If I get a DFL governor and we dont lose the House, then I'll be as happy as ever.

[ Parent ]
Daily Conn polls it seems
What about the rest of the country?  Strange to have so many polls for one state.
Connecticut
Looks like Democrats will have a good year in Connecticut come the midterms. Blumenthal should win in a rout (as long as he actually campaigns...cof cof Coakley) and the Dems have a strong chance of taking the Gov. mansion. This should give Himes and Murphy some coattails in their house races which should be somewhat to defiantly competitive. Having Bysiewicz running for Attorney Gen also helps      

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  
Assuming she CAN run for AG
n/t

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/
[ Parent ]
I
honestly don't think she would have announced her candidacy for AG without knowing whether or not she was qualified. She must have defiantly asked the advice of numerous legal professors and gov. officials about whether she could run. It would seem strange that she wouldn't have done this.    

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  
[ Parent ]
(Just a parenthetical post about spelling)
(I usually don't post about spelling, but since I've seen you use defiantly a lot in place of definitely, I just thought I'd mention it. I hope I'm not coming across as a jerk; sorry if I am. All the best.)

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
thanks
for noticing. Since I type really fast and am not skilled in spelling (never have been) I tend to not catch spelling mistakes. Thanks for catching it :)  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  
[ Parent ]
Hahahahaha
That's pretty much our generation in general.  Growing up with a keyboard and spell check, I really dont learn how to spell quite a few words til I went to college and had to write papers all the time.
[ Parent ]
You know you're getting old when
You remember typing on computers and had to check your work yourself because your old computer's word processing system did not come with spell check!

Maybe that's why I've been a near-ace speller, with a near-perfect spelling record in first grade!

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)

[ Parent ]
Spell check
I still forget about spell check! Im 27, not old, but still ive regularly been on a computer since the early 90s. Now if only i checked out the political message boards on AOL, or whatever they were called, back in 1993 or so. Maybe even the old Compuserve and Prodigy had some. Ah those were the days.
[ Parent ]
I'm almost 27 (next month)
and I've been on computers since the mid-80s! Though I only remember from 1987 onwards, my dad got a picture of me at the old Apple Mac computer at age 2 (1985)!

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
I'll be 39 in 6 weeks
My first computer was a Texas Instruments TI-994A.  I don't know why it was even considered a computer.  It was more of an Atari on steroids.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04
[ Parent ]
CT-Gov: Dems Continue to Hold Down Lead | 26 comments

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