You may be feeling a sense of déjà vu. Didn't Rasmussen poll this race as recently as last week? Why yes, they did, but they happened to whiff that poll's release by forgetting to test the name of former state AG Jim Ryan, who at this point is probably the front-runner for the GOP nomination. So here's a do-over, with some unsurprisingly good results for the GOP.
And then there's North Dakota (12/17, likely voters):
Before now, we had seen exactly two polls of the hypothetical Dorgan v. Hoeven clash of the titans. In February, Research 2000 put out a poll showing Dorgan thumping Hoeven by 57-35 spread, while an NRSC internal poll released from July in the hopes of enticing Hoeven into the race had those numbers flipped at 53-36 in the GOP's favor. I'm inclined to believe that Dorgan would have a difficult time beating Hoeven -- if he ever decided to get off the pot and commit to running -- but I'm not sure if the spread is what Rasmussen thinks it is. I have to suspect that Dorgan is ahead of a sadsack like Duane Sand by a little more than 15 points, for instance.