Google Ads


Site Stats

Maryland, my way for redistricting (updated)

by: abgin

Mon Dec 14, 2009 at 5:43 AM EST


First thank to Dave by his very good application for redistricting and thanks to the people what help me for save and up here the maps. This is my first diary here.

Well, im not expert in laws for redistricting but i hope to respect all. I try let all incumbents their own district, let all democrats safe, and make so compact districts respecting the county borders.

abgin :: Maryland, my way for redistricting (updated)
These are the results:

CD1: (Blue) Frank Kratovil (D)
- D+8 Obama 61% McCain 37%
- Include all of Kent, Queen Anne's, Caroline and Talbot counties.
- Include part of Baltimore county and part of Baltimore city.
- White 57% Black 36%
- Deviation of population: -1673

CD2: (Green) Dutch Ruppersberger (D)
- D+8 Obama 61% McCain 37%
- Include all of Carroll county.
- Include part of Baltimore, Howard and Prince George's counties.
- White 50% Black 29% Hisp 14%
- Deviation of population: -3402

CD3: (Purple) John Sarbanes (D)
- D+11 Obama 64% McCain 34%
- Include part of Baltimore, Howard and Anne Arundel counties.
- White 56% Black 30%
- Deviation of population: -2964

CD4: (Red) Donna Edwards (D)
- D+10 Obama 63% McCain 36%
- Include part of Prince George's and Anne Arundel counties.
- White 54% Black 38%
- Deviation of population: -557

CD5: (Yellow) Steny Hoyer (D)
- D+10 Obama 63% McCain 36%
- Include all of Charles, Calvert, St-Mary's, Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset and Worcester counties.
- Include part Prince George's county.
- White 56% Black 36%
- Deviation of population: -3580

CD6: (Greenish blue) Roscoe Bartlett (R)
- D+10 Obama 63% McCain 36%
- Include part of Frederick and Montgomery counties.
- White 58% Black 16% Hisp 13% Asian 11%
- Deviation of population: +8208

CD7: (Gray) Elijah Cummings (D)
- D+8 Obama 61% McCain 37%
- Include all of Cecil and Hartford counties.
- Include part of Baltimore county and part of Baltimore city.
- White 60% Black 34%
- Deviation of population: -3148

CD8: (Lilac) Chris Van Hollen (D)
- D+8 Obama 61% McCain 37%
- Include all of Garrett, Allegany and Washington counties.
- Include part of Frederick and Montgomery counties.
- White 70% Black 10% Hisp 10% Asian 8%
- Deviation of population: +7113

These results are using new population estimations. CD6 and CD8 have few more population because i try to respect county borders.

Im not sure if E Cummings get inside his new 7th district but i think he have a good part of Baltimore in the new district.

In images:

Maryland 8-0

Maryland 8-0 A

Maryland 8-0 B

UPDATE FOR INCLUDE BLACK MAJORITIES IN CD4 AND CD7:

Giving black majorities of 50% to 4th and 7th district these are the results:

CD1: (Blue) Frank Kratovil (D)
- D+6 Obama 59% McCain 39%
- Include all of Kent, Queen Anne's, Caroline and Talbot counties.
- Include part of Baltimore, Anne Arundel and Prince George's counties and part of Baltimore city.
- White 65% Black 26%
- Deviation of population: +6012

CD2: (Green) Dutch Ruppersberger (D)
- D+7 Obama 60% McCain 39%
- Include part of Harford, Baltimore, Carrol, Howard, Montgomery and Prince George's counties.
- White 50% Black 26% Hisp 15%
- Deviation of population: -4800

CD3: (Purple) John Sarbanes (D)
- D+7 Obama 60% McCain 39%
- Include part of Harford, Baltimore, Howard counties and part of Baltimore city.
- White 64% Black 25% Asian 6%
- Deviation of population: -2980

CD4: (Red) Donna Edwards (D)
- D+17 Obama 70% McCain 29%
- Include part of Prince George's and Anne Arundel counties.
- Black 50% White 42%
- Deviation of population: +3968

CD5: (Yellow) Steny Hoyer (D)
- D+6 Obama 59% McCain 40%
- Include all of Charles, Calvert, St-Mary's, Dorchester, Wicomico, Somerset and Worcester counties.
- Include part Prince George's and Anne Arundel counties.
- White 63% Black 30%
- Deviation of population: +3283

CD6: (Greenish blue) Roscoe Bartlett (R)
- D+7 Obama 60% McCain 39%
- Include part of Carroll, Frederick and Montgomery counties.
- White 61% Black 14% Hisp 13% Asian 10%
- Deviation of population: -1859

CD7: (Gray) Elijah Cummings (D)
- D+16 Obama 69% McCain 30%
- Include all of Cecil county.
- Include part of Harford and Baltimore counties and part of Baltimore city.
- Black 50% White 44%
- Deviation of population: +1739

CD8: (Lilac) Chris Van Hollen (D)
- D+7 Obama 60% McCain 38%
- Include all of Garrett, Allegany and Washington counties.
- Include part of Frederick and Montgomery counties.
- White 73% Black 9% Hisp 8% Asian 8%
- Deviation of population: -5366

These results are using new population estimations.

In images:

Maryland 8-0 II

Maryland 8-0 II A

Maryland 8-0 II B

Maryland 8-0 II C

Maryland 8-0 II D

Poll
Where is more necesary a good redistricting for democrats?
Massachusetts
New York
Maryland
Illinois
California
Connecticut
New Jersey
Maine
Michigan
Oregon
Washington
Minnesota
Wisconsin
New Mexico
Pennsylvania
Nevada
Iowa
Colorado

Results

Tags: , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

This wouldn't pass VRA standards
You need to keep Edwards' district majority black

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

Same for Cummings


Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

[ Parent ]
I have updated the diary including the black majorities


[ Parent ]
Very Creative
 I really like your map except for the VRA which basically means that you have to keep the 4th and 7th districts with a population of 50% African American or higher. I am pretty sure the state legislature will not go for a split of the eastern shore. Good start though.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Why wouldn't the legislature split the Eastern Shore?
The Eastern Shore has zero influence in the legislature.

[ Parent ]
Well..
Arguments for keeping the Shore together...

1. Kratovil won every county on the Shore, and did this at the same time they were giving McCain ~55% of their votes and only Kent County went (very narrowly) for Obama. incumbent, one might consider that. (I suppose it may not be a repeatable circumstance, especially if the GOP is smart enough to have a Shore person as its nominee in a future election.) But it's really those two hyper-red areas on the other side of the Bay that make the district so unfavorable for Democrats.  

2. It looks bad to have a district consist of communities unconnected by anything but open water - no bridges, tunnels, or anything. (The Anne Arundel piece of the current MD-1 does not, IIRC, include the Bay Bridge's western landing, but it does come pretty close.) Obviously, ugly only counts for so much (I mean, that current map is ugly) but I think the message Democrats should be sending to that part of the state is not "you have zero influence." (Now the people who keep putting Don Dwyer in office, on the other hand, I'm perfectly fine with neutralizing whatever influence they might have on Maryland or anywhere else.)

3. Do any of the other Congresspeople want to have to open an office on the other side of the bay, campaign there, commute there for events, etc?

One thing you probably can do is remove part or all of Cecil County. Especially the parts north/west of Elk Neck, which are along I-95 and don't have a lot in common with the Shore per se. Plus they're pretty red apart from the Elkton precincts, and even those are no better than 50/50 in the best of times.  

36, M, Democrat, MD-03


[ Parent ]
Thanks, i glad you like. I update the diary for include black majorities


[ Parent ]
Interesting attempt but the VRA says BZZZT


The diary is updated for include black majorities


[ Parent ]
Even if this would somehow pass VRA muster
Kratovil could never win a Democratic primary in your MD-01.

OTOH, maybe that's a good thing.


Kratovil seems like the kind of guy who would move left
I think he's just voting as conservatively as he is currently because his district is so Republican.

[ Parent ]
Nice work!
Eventually I'll figure out how to get my maps up.

My computer apparently doesn't like the Map2JPG program.  Considering I'm living in Baltimore right now, I've been having fun making Maryland maps.

28, Male, MI-09 (home), MD-07 (school)


I glad you like
I wish you fun :)

Have you problems for save your maps? I hope that can help you. The second post make very easy save your maps, and the first is helpful for up here the maps.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Use Photobucket (or some other picture site)
Line up the part of the map you want and hit Ctrl+Print Screen.  Print screen should be on the top row of your keyboard to the right.  Save them as Jpegs in Paint and upload them to a picture sharing website.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

by: TheUnknown285 @ Sun Dec 13, 2009 at 4:38 AM EST
[ Parent | | Reply ]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

posting
I use a Microsoft program called Snipping Tool. You are able to draw the area on the screen that you want to save, then post the saved image, as specified, on Photo.
6.0.6002.18005 file version

Free.

Joe Cooper

by: Joe Cooper @ Sun Dec 13, 2009 at 4:17 PM EST
[ Parent | | Reply ]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Or if you use a Mac, Command-Shift-4

by: andgarden @ Sun Dec 13, 2009 at 4:37 PM EST
[ Parent | | Reply ]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[ Parent ]

Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox