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KY SD-14 Results Thread (Update: Higdon Wins)

by: Crisitunity

Tue Dec 08, 2009 at 6:07 PM EST


Polls close soon in Kentucky, so get your popcorn ready. Not only are we looking at the 14th Senate district (previewed above), but also the 96th House district in rural northeastern Kentucky, which was vacated by Democrat Robin Webb when she was elected to the state Senate a few months ago (in another Beshear-orchestrated Senate pickup). Democrat Barry Webb faces Republican Jill York. Democrats control the state House by a comfortable 64-35 right now, so the stakes are lower here.

Between all that and the Massachusetts Senate election, if you're still bored, you can also check out a special in one of Arkansas's few Republican-held state Senate seats (Dems are up 27-7), the 4th. Sharon Trusty resigned, leaving Democrat John Burnett and Republican Michael Lamoureux to fight it out in rural NW Arkansas. (H/t jameswv.) And tonight is also the Birmingham mayoral special election, to replace Larry Langford, who resigned after getting caught taking bribes. The 13-person field includes pastor Jody Trautwein (famous for his small role in Bruno) and the now-deceased Ernie Dunn. (This race is expected to go to a runoff.)

If you have any other results links that you'd like to share, please let us know in the comments.

KY results: Kentucky SoS | Lexington Herald-Leader | AR results: Arkansas SoS

8:05 pm: Haydon did win Nelson County, 3,840 to 2,982, but his 858-vote margin wasn't enough to balance the rest. Higdon won Taylor, 2,612 to 1,396. Total result is 11,327 to 8,881 to Hidgon, a 2,446 vote margin and a 56-44 spread.
7:58 pm: Higdon has declared victory, and Haydon is conceding. This is a bit of a bummer, given the financial backing that Haydon enjoyed. As a small silver lining, perhaps Democrats will have a shot at picking up Higdon's soon-to-be-vacant House seat.
7:45 pm: Still waiting on the last two counties in SD-14, but we've already lost HD-96. Republican Jill York beats Democrat Barry Webb 2,545 to 1,663, which is a 60-40 spread.
7:25 pm: Higdon also wins small Washington County by a narrow margin, 1,331 to 1,054.
7:20 pm: Now we have results from Marion County, the most Dem-friendly county but also Higdon's home turf. Higdon wins there too by a wide margin, 2,860 to 1,405. Haydon is going to need to clean up in his own home turf (Nelson County) to pull this out.
7:15 pm: Looks like we've gotten some results from one county, via the Lexington newspaper (I've added the link). Higdon (R) takes small and conservative Mercer County, 1,542 to 1,186 votes.
7 pm: This being central Kentucky, looks like they're taking an extended bourbon break. We'll keep you posted.

Crisitunity :: KY SD-14 Results Thread (Update: Higdon Wins)
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I posted this link to AR-SOS in the previous thread.
How are we doing in the KY house race?
I know it doesn't matter too much, but how is the district? What are the candidates' fundraising statuses?

Dem has substantial
financial advantage.  Almost 2-1 I believe.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
couldn't find fundraising
But I found some articles saying he wasn't as well known as some other dems seeking the seat... He's a repairman and Welder for AK Steel.  So maybe he's playing the everyman card.  It is all about turnout really so hopefully he got 4,000 to the polls. The district only has 29,000 or so registered voters so 4K should be plenty to win. :)

[ Parent ]
Here is a link on fundraising
http://www.courier-journal.com...

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
House
We knew about the senate fundraising numbers just not the house numbers

[ Parent ]
Oops.


34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
For General Information on the race
 It may include election results later but right now, it does not. Still, it has interesting information on the race.

http://www.boston.com/news/pol...

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Great link
They just posted a results map.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
All pre-game for me
I'm still waiting on Houston Mayor, Controller, and City Council (still 4 of 5 at larges to be decided)

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

*3 of 5


26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
The Houston city council looks strange
According to Wikipedia, the five at-large seats are all Democrat-occupied, but Dems only control 4 of 9 district seats.

[ Parent ]
KY SD-14
Does anyone have a map of this district?  My grandmother lived a good part of her life in Bardstown, KY which is mentioned in the newspaper article on the race.  I'd be interested to see how deep my ties are to this district.

I've been googling like mad
and I can't find anywhere else for Kentucky election results. The individual counties either don't have election sites, or have crappy sites that haven't been updated in a long time.

House Fundraising
Dang that was hard...

Webb said he expects his campaign will spend $55,000 to $65,000. He already has contributed about $12,000 to it from his own pocket.

York said her campaign will spend about $20,000. She has contributed about $10,000 to it.


I think Beshear's magic has run out
unless Haydon can win the remaining two counties with a 2,100+ vote margin.

We lost the House seat
Look at the Twitter window beside the text in the newspaper's website.

[ Parent ]
it was a 50/50 district in registration
which means "Republicans will win here"

especially with 14% turnout, in the middle of December


[ Parent ]
WTF happened?
Seriously... WTF?

2.6k to 1.4K in Taylor
That's what happened.  We got our ass kicked.

[ Parent ]
and we only won Nelson
by 850 or so. What a sad showing.  This opens up another house seat though right?

[ Parent ]
OMG teh Dems lost again!
Teh sky is falling!  This proves we are doomed in 2010!  We should replace Obama now and stop the healthcare bill!!!!!  Plz make Ben Nelson our majority leader asap!

[ Parent ]
Not freaking out
This is just a pathetic performance.

[ Parent ]
I know
I just wanted to beat the worry trollers to the punch

[ Parent ]
These races don't give me much concern
These parts of Kentucky are exactly the types of places I expect democrats to be on the decline in.

[ Parent ]
Well that was short and boring
Let's hope MA-Sen is a bit more exciting.

Turnout
with a 24 percent turnout it seems  like the repubs were really determined to vote while the dems not so much.  At least, if this race was supposed to be competative and then it wasn't... that'd be my guess.  Or maybe gamlbing just isn't all that popular in Kentucky.  Who knows, maybe the churches there are really active or something.

Or tired of Beshear's boorishness
KY is on state that has no national implications.  Beshear has poisoned the well.

[ Parent ]
His approvals are normal for incumbent Governors
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien...

According to the recent SUSA poll he's at 39/55 approval which is about the norm for current sitting Governors in this economic climate.  


[ Parent ]
"perhaps Democrats will have a shot at picking up Higdon's soon-to-be-vacant House seat"
nah... if Dems can't win a district with a 65/29 registration edge, they won't win a district with a 49/48 registration edge

Democrats who actually vote for Democrats are unmotivated. And a giant chunk of Kentucky Democrats don't vote for Democrats who aren't running unopposed.

Not to mention that people are probably a bit burnt out on elections. Like in the 96th, which was a 50/50 registration split, held by a Dem, and went 60/40 Rep.

But don't worry, we'll all be saved in 3 years by the Obama GOTV machine. Ha. ;)


Republican hold in Arkansas
n/t

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


Birmingham, AL Mayor
So apparently the winners in Birmingham's mayoral race (the biggest city in Alabama!) are:

"With 159 of 160 precincts tallied, Cooper had 40.1 percent to Bell's 25.1 percent. Smitherman ranked third with 18.8 percent."

source: http://blog.al.com/birmingham-...

That's apparently Patrick Cooper and William Bell. I have no idea whose these people are. As for Carole Smitherman, all I knew about her was stuff from the Wikipedia, but stuff I'd seen and liked BEFORE the race, like:

"She was also the first African American woman hired as a Deputy District Attorney in Jefferson County and first African American female Municipal and Circuit Court Judge in Birmingham."

But I could understand how that might not be the best profile ever for Birmingham's mayor in 2010, but still...respect.

So SSP help me out....let's go deep, which factions lined up behind which candidates?

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


This sucks
Oh well.  Here's some good news to cheer everyone up:

Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R-KS) is getting primaried from the right.  No, it's not some crazy teabagging perennial candidate.  It's a state senator.

Googling his name turned up this unsavory comment from the man.  He compared a gender identity discrimination law to one encouraging bestiality.


Nationalizing local races...
Er..so in a race btw 2 non-incumbent local pols, the GOP nationalized the race by tying the Dem to Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama, folks he's probably never met. The Dem focused on local issues but in the end, the GOP held on. Well, if that works elsewhere across the country in purple-ish  to reddish seats, Dems may have difficulty knocking off GOP incumbents or even taking over some open seats. Tsk...tsk..tsk...not.good!

Indepedent/Lean D. Dude.
All 5s (now TX-5; frmly VA-5 and CA-5)  



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