SSP Daily Digest: 12/2

Election results: There was a grab-bag of southern state runoffs and special elections last night; the main event was the Atlanta mayor’s race. It looks like Democratic African-American ex-state Sen. Kasim Reed defeated self-proclaimed-independent white city councilor Mary Norwood, but the margin is only around 620 votes (out of 83,000 cast). Reed has declared victory, but Norwood is talking recount.

There were also four legislative runoffs in Georgia; the only one that wasn’t an intra-party affair was in HD-141 (a previously Dem-held seat) where independent Rusty Kidd easily beat Democrat Russell Black. Kidd is staying mum on which party he’ll caucus with, although he’s the son of a prominent long-time Democratic legislator (Culver Kidd) and a stem-cell-research supporter. In HD-58 in Atlanta, community organizer Simone Bell becomes the first LGBT African-American elected to Georgia’s legislature. And in Tennessee, Republican state Rep. Brian Kelsey was elected easily in the vacant SD-31 in heavily Republican Memphis suburbs; he takes over for GOPer Paul Stanley, who resigned in disgrace after a sex scandal.

IL-Sen: Former Chicago Inspector General David Hoffman is up with the first TV ad in the fast-approaching Senate primary. Hoffman lacks name rec, but uses the ad to highlight his corruption-fighting past (and take some implicit hits at Alexi Giannoulias’s banking background).

NY-Sen-B: You may remember Michael Balboni, who was pried out of his Dem-leaning Long Island state Senate seat by Eliot Spitzer to become the state’s Homeland Security chief and paving the way for Democratic takeover of the state Senate. Now he’s reportedly considering a run against Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate, as the New York GOP starts casting its net wider for somebody.

UT-Sen: A Deseret News poll has bad news for Bob Bennett, in the form of perilous re-elects: only 27% support his re-election, and 58% want someone new. Nevertheless, he has a big edge over the field of nobodies circling around him: he polls at 31%, with Democrat Sam Granato at 14, followed by a gaggle of right-wingers: Cherilyn Eagar at 5, Tim Bridgewater and Fred Lampropoulos at 4, Mike Lee at 3, and James Williams at 1. With the Republican nomination potentially to be decided at the state convention — dominated by hard-right activists — though, these numbers don’t help to project much of anything for next year.

IA-Gov: Chet Culver’s campaign manager Andrew Roos is out, as Culver stares at double-digit deficits against ex-Gov. Terry Branstad. Culver mangled his Shakesperean shrug-off, saying it’s “much to do about nothing.”

TX-Gov: Press releases are already going out saying that Houston mayor Bill White is announcing something big on Friday, and now leaks are confirming what most people have suspected, that he’s going to go ahead and jump into the Democratic field in the governor’s race.

FL-10: Sorta-moderate GOP Rep. Bill Young has another challenger — this time from the right. Eric Forcade says he got interested in politics from participating in tea parties and the 9/12 movement. (In case you’re having trouble remembering where all these random teabagger primary challenges are popping up, Think Progress has a handy scorecard of all of them.)

IL-10: Little-known rich guy Dick Green dipped into his self-provided funds and laid out $100K for a big TV ad buy, introducing himself to Republican voters in the 10th. While Democrat Julie Hamos already has hit the airwaves, Green beats out fellow GOPers Beth Coulson and Bob Dold.

KY-03: Rep. John Yarmuth may not exactly be intimidated by the first Republican to show up to go against him in Kentucky’s lone Dem-leaning district. Jeffrey Reetz has never run for office before, but he does own 25 Pizza Hut franchises.

MD-04: Rep. Donna Edwards, who got into office via primary challenge, is facing a big challenge of her own. Prince George’s County State’s Attorney Glenn Ivey has formed an exploratory committee to go up against Edwards for the Democratic nod. Ivey worked as a senior congressional staffer in the 1980s and 1990s; although he expresses enthusiasm for moving the “progressive agenda forward,” he’s probably running at least a bit to the right of Edwards, one of the leftmost House members.

MN-01: This marks the third entry to the field against Democratic Rep. Tim Walz in about one week’s time. Today, it’s Republican Jim Hagedorn, a former congressional staffer and a one-time blogger under the name “Mr. Conservative.” He joins ex-state Rep. Allen Quist and state Rep. Randy Demmer, although the party seems to still be watching what more moderate state Sen. Julie Rosen does.

PA-11: Hazleton mayor and 2008 loser Lou Barletta is doing his best to stay in the news, announcing that he’ll make another announcement on Dec. 9 as to whether or not he’ll seek a third faceoff against Democratic Rep. Paul Kanjorski.

TN-08, TN-Gov: In case you missed our late update last night, Democratic state Sen. Roy Herron got out of the governor’s race where he was something of a longshot, and into the now-open TN-08 field, where he’s probably the favorite to get the Democratic nod. (Although open seats are theoretically harder to defend, Herron’s long district presence and lack of ties to Washington could conceivably help him to perform better next year than long-time Beltway creature Tanner might have.) Party officials (and outgoing Rep. John Tanner too, although he declined to endorse anyone yet) are moving quickly to keep a contested primary from happening, although state Rep. Philip Pinion has also been publicly letting his interest be known. Also, in discussing his sudden retirement decision, Tanner claims he wasn’t scared off by the fundraising success of out-of-nowhere GOP challenger Stephen Fincher; he’d already been eyeing retirement and the challenge “got his competitive juices flowing” but finally decided to call it a career.

UT-02: Morgan Philpot, a former Republican state Representative, is considering a race against Rep. Jim Matheson next year. Philpot is currently the state party’s vice-chair, so he would bring some insider backing to the race.

NY-Comptroller (pdf): With all the sudden talk of recruiting NYC comptroller William Thompson onto the Cuomo “ticket” to wage a primary fight against current state comptroller Thomas DiNapoli, it’s worth going back and noting that the most recent Siena poll from a few weeks ago actually polled this permutation. They found a 31-31 tie in the Clash of the Comptrollers. They also found that both would beat Republican John Faso in the general.

TX-Comptroller: In fact, talking about comptrollers is so much fun I’m going to keep doing it. Ex-Rep. Nick Lampson, who couldn’t hold down dark-red TX-22 last year, says that’s he’s looking into next year’s comptroller’s race, which would bring top-tier Democratic talent to another statewide race in Texas.

NY-St. Sen.: After a lot of optimistic predictions earlier in the day, the actual vote on gay marriage in the New York Senate today kind of fizzled. Eight Democrats voted against and no Republicans crossed the aisle, leaving it to go down 24-38. Ironically, Marist came out with a poll today showing public support in favor of gay marriage, 51-42.

CA-St. Ass.: However, in the one-step-forward, one-step-back fight for LGBT equality, California looks like it’s poised to have its first-ever gay Assembly Speaker. Los Angeles Assemblyman John Perez apparently has the votes locked up to take over as Speaker from Karen Bass, who’s termed out.

Nassau Co. Exec: Two-term incumbent Tom Suozzi, who was down by 377 votes to Republican challenger Ed Mangano after a recount, decided to concede rather than pursue legal options. Suozzi, who’d be considered a likely AG candidate next year, says he’ll be back in politics but he can’t “imagine it would be anytime soon.”

Mayors: It looks like a premature end of the line for Baltimore mayor Sheila Dixon, who was just convicted of misdemeanor embezzlement for helping herself to $1,500 worth of gift cards that had been donated to give to poor families. Dixon is supposed to be suspended from office, but post-trial motions and a possible appeal may push that until later. City Council President Stephanie Rawlings-Blake is in line to succeed her.

DGA: There’s new leadership at the Democratic Governor’s Association, as fast-rising Delaware governor Jack Markell (who’s been in office only for a year) takes over from Montana’s Brian Schweitzer. One of the DGA’s first orders of business as they prep for 2010: committing $1 million to the GOP Accountability Project, whose first ad target is Florida Republican candidate Bill McCollum.

85 thoughts on “SSP Daily Digest: 12/2”

  1. He’s unequivocally pro-gay marriage and, if I’m not mistaken, holds relatively-moderate views on most other domestic and foreign policy issues.

    On a related note, I’ve seen an awful lot of KT McFarland on FOX News lately. Could she be prepping for another Senate run? (She lost the ’06 Primary to John Spencer)

  2. While he is the son of a former Democratic state legislator, his sister served in Congress as a Republican.

  3. I wish he would have run for Senate last time instead of trying to hold that deep red district, but it is nice to see another prominent Dem running statewide.

  4. He’s young, progressive, and a great fundraiser.  Even though he comes from tiny Delaware he could be a strong national politician one day.  The dude wrote a 100 page policy book when he ran for Governor about how he would specifically improve the state.  That’s more than impressive.

  5. Texas primary is coming up soon, so I need a decision on this one. I need to decide where to be registered to vote (and caucus).

    Current Registration: Galveston County, TX-22. There are several county dems who will be seeking re-election that may have close races where every vote counts. My parents still live here and I come in from time to time.

    Optional New Registration: Denton County, TX-26. There are 0 incumbent democrats, and no one is winning election to Denton county in 2010. But I live here mostly now and spend most of my time here meaning voting will be easier and I will be able to caucus.

    Where should I register to vote?

  6. I still have no idea what happened with Roos. Lots of rumors. My best guess is either he didn’t click with Culver or there were “creative differences” over campaign strategy, but that is a total guess.  

  7. Has Dan Seals said he won’t be running for this seat again?  And even if he did, after losing twice, is he the right candidate for this district?

  8. It’s very disappointing that no Republicans were willing to vote for same sex marriage in New York. Time to defeat as many of them as possible.

    As for Utah, just what do they have against Bennett? Is any of the opposition due to his long membership in the Banking Committee?

  9. Has anyone attempted a gerrymander ofthe NY state senate?  Assuming that is possible since I don’t know how those districts work.  Might be helpful to determine what Dems will do with the 2012 state senate map.

  10. Not only does it have Reed vs. Norwood, but it gives you racial demographics (well, white and black) and Obama vote by council district.  Interesting to see that there are only two Republican-leaning districts and only one that was extraordinarily Republican.  Also, interesting to see how well Obama did in several of the white districts.

    http://www.ajc.com/news/atlant

  11. In the Politico article it says hes a moderate who supports same-sex marriage. But against Obama’s health care plan. Im sure just being against same sex marriage would be enough to draw a Conservative Party challenger…only question is how strong would he/she be and how much support would Balboni get from moderates to counterbalance it…and still win. Still, Balboni seems to have the ideological and geographical profile to win this. And being NY Homland Sec. Chief is no 2nd tier job in this day in age I wouldnt think. Not sure how hed do in a primary and how good hed be at raising money.  

  12. At least here in the Houston area. As we may have a once-in-a-blue-moon snow on Friday. Given that we dont exactly get that much (although we did last winter. but typically its only once every few years or so) then alot of peoples attention (at least in their head) will be on that after a hard day’s work. or focusing on that part of the news rather than the mayor’s announcement.  

  13. Castle continues to lead in Delaware race (warning: PDF)


    A March PPP survey found Castle leading Biden 44-36. Now his advantage is 45-39. Castle is benefiting from a 52-23 advantage with independents as well as the fact that he’s winning 20% of the Democratic vote while holding Biden to just 10% of the Republican vote.

    There had been some speculation about whether Castle’s vote against the health care bill in the House last month would hurt his prospects but 46% of voters say they’re opposed to the plan with only 43% in support, an indication that Castle may have actually been on the right side of public opinion on that particular issue.

    Are you kidding me? Delawareans are opposed to health care reform?!

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