• AR-Sen: Could Arkansas even handle one more Republican in its Senate field, without the entire state collapsing into a singularity? Looks like we'll find out, as former state Sen. Tim Jim Holt says he's considering a rematch. Holt, you'll recall, was Lincoln's 2004 opposition, coming within 56-44 while running a low-budget, socially conservative campaign.
• AZ-Sen, AZ-Gov: The Cronkite-Eight Poll (conducted by Arizona St. Univ.) finds that AG Terry Goddard is in great shape against incumbent Republican Gov. Jan Brewer; Goddard wins the matchup 47-28. They don't test any other potential matchups (including the Joe Arpaio possibility, which is suddenly on people's minds). They also have good news! for John McCain, who beats the unlikely-to-run ex-Gov. Janet Napolitano 50-41. They don't test the potential McCain/J.D. Hayworth primary. And speaking of Hayworth, I may have been more right than I thought about that throwaway "grifting" comment yesterday. Hayworth has been soliciting donations to pay down his campaign debt, but a quick look at the FEC's 2008 termination report for Hayworth's campaign indicates $0 CoH and $0 debt.
• MA-Sen: Rasmussen's newest poll of the Massachusetts Senate primary shows the closest race that anyone has seen -- although AG Martha Coakley is still in pole position. She's at 36%, followed by Rep. Michael Capuano at 21 (about where he was in the recent Globe poll) and Stephen Pagliuca at 14. The big gainer here (and where the chunk of Coakley votes may have gone) is Alan Khazei, who hasn't broken out of single digits before but is now also at 14.
• NY-Sen-B: I see lots of weird rumors in my day-to-day work here, and this one is among the weirdest: it has ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (of Tennessee) considering running against Kirsten Gillibrand in the New York senate primary. Ford has been living in New York for the last few years (and is currently an executive at Merrill Lynch -- not exactly a good political launching pad these days), so his run would at least be legal, but it's not clear whether he has the name rec among anyone but news junkies to overcome his lack of roots there. Glenn Thrush actually sources the whole thing to a comment from Democratic Underground, of all places, from a person claiming to have been polled by Ford. Also, a sort-of famous name was considering running as a Republican in the Senate race, but just decided against it: Theodore Roosevelt IV, a wealthy investment banker and environmentalist who sounds, like his great-grandpappy, like he doesn't have much in common with today's Republicans.
• VA-Gov: T-Mac may yet be back. Terry McAuliffe is in a high-profile effort to lure a factory to southern Virginia, suggesting to some that he's trying to remain in Virginia politics, trying to build up chits in the rural parts of the state with an eye toward a 2013 run.
• KS-03: Roll Call highlights a powwow held by the Kansas GOP for potential candidates in the open seat race in the 3rd, and list a few more names that we haven't heard yet. In addition to likely frontrunner ex-state Sen. Nick Jordan, also present were attorney Greg Musil, former county commission candidate Charlotte O'Hara, state Sen. Karin Brownlee, and state GOP chair Amanda Adkins. State Rep. Kevin Yoder is also running for the GOP, and state Sen. Jeff Colyer and surgeon Steve Reintjes are also listed as GOP possibilities.
• NC-04: We may have a winner for the worst-designed candidate website of all time, from Republican George Hutchins, running against Rep. David Price in the safe 4th. It looks like he ate a lot of pictures of Ronald Reagan and then vomited them all over a flag.
• NJ-03: Former Philadelphia Eagle Jon Runyan confirmed that he'll be running against freshman Dem Rep. John Adler. Strangely, though, he doesn't have any immediate plans to start fundraising or hitting the ground in the district; instead, he's starting a new job. He'll be playing for the San Diego Chargers for the rest of the season. Maybe his plan is to put all the money he earns toward his campaign, but it doesn't seem like the right way to get off on the right foot.
• NY-23: So, maybe ACORN didn't steal the election after all. Doug Hoffman has, by my estimation, now re-re-conceded (after two unconcessions), saying he won't challenge the election results or ask for a recount, and that the final count of absentee ballots "reaffirm the fact that Bill Owens won." Hoffman promises to stay active in politics; let's hope he's as effective in the campaign in 2010 as he was in the election's aftermath this year.
• WV-03: Another long-time Democrat in a newly-Republican-leaning Appalachian district is facing a challenge instead of usual free path to re-election, but this time it's a challenge from a fellow elected Dem. State Rep. Ralph Rodighiero has filed a pre-candidacy to run against Rep. Nick Rahall, who's been in the House since the 1970s. Rodighiero sounds like he's running at the behest of coal industry figures; although Rahall voted against cap and trade, the Natural Resources chair has tried to strike more of a balance on environmental issues than they might prefer (and with almost zero Republican bench in this district, this is their only foot in the door).
• IA-St. House: Dems held their own in a special election last night, retaining a Dem-controlled seat in Cedar Rapids. Democrat Kirsten Running-Marquardt got 75% of the vote against Republican Joshua Thurston in HD-33. |
