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Scared of Their Base

by: DavidNYC

Thu Nov 05, 2009 at 9:14 AM EST


Yesterday, John Cornyn declared that the Republican Party establishment is afraid of its base:

"We will not spend money in a contested primary," Sen. John Cornyn, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, told ABC News in a telephone interview today.

"There's no incentive for us to weigh in," said Cornyn, R-Texas. "We have to look at our resources.... We're not going to throw money into a [primary] race leading up to the election."

But just a year-and-a-half ago, the grownups declared that they were going to take charge. Smarting after special election losses in deep red districts which featured a shabby parade of Republican nominees - Jim Oberweis (IL-14), Woody Jenkins (LA-06), and Greg Davis (MS-01) - John Boehner ordered Tom Cole to jump into the muck:

The NRCC will now wade into competitive GOP primaries when appropriate. This is a significant shift, as Cole's policy has been to stay out of such contests even when the party believes one candidate would clearly be the best general election bet. In Illinois and Louisiana in particular, Republicans suffered because they fielded a poor nominee. The race to replace retiring Rep. Vito Fossella (R) in New York, which could draw several GOP contenders, could be the first high-profile test of the new policy.

I have to laugh for a moment regarding the Fossella succession - that was a shitshow for the ages. But in general, this move actually made some sense. After all, did the Republicans really want to drown their chances with more Randy Grafs?

It turns out the answer now is yes. Sure, Cornyn runs the NRSC, and here we're talking about the NRCC. But no doubt Pete Sessions is running scared, too - after all, it was his NRCC that took serious heat from the teabaggers for backing Scozzafava in NY-23, and obviously that race is what inspired Cornyn's newfound wimpiness. So I'm sure we'll see a reluctance on the part of both campaign committees to meddle in primaries. The Republicans are terrified of their base - and they should be.

DavidNYC :: Scared of Their Base
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Honestly this should be every party's policy
Side with incumbents, should primaries occur, stay neutral in open seat contests. All 8 Committees (Governor, House, Senate, National Committees) should be protecting their current members, as any club should unless they have reason not to (William Jefferson!) but stay out of the voter selection of n00bs.

This does however make KY-Sen, NH-Sen, and FL-Sen much more interesting, though. :-)


I agree
An official party endorsement in a contested primary isn't really fair to the voters, or to the candidates. What if the electorate rejects the party's pick? That's embarrassing for everyone.

That said, I think the Republicans are really screwing themselves over by not nipping this teabagger movement in the bud. Shrinking to their ideological core will not help them re-take Congress; anyone with a brain could tell you that. The NRCC and RNC were right to support Scozzafava after she was nominated by the local GOP, and the fact that she was forced out by a conservative nutjob will have far-reaching repercussions in races all across the country.  


[ Parent ]
These people are beyond flippin' nuts
Progressive Punch has John Cornyn ranked 96/100, and Pete Sessions ranked 427/433.  But because both of them recognize that not every district can elect a teabagging birther or some such lunatic, the base is calling for their heads.  Literally.  An emboldened Redstate is "demanding" that Sessions be removed from his position.

This would be the same as if our side was taking marching orders from Code Pink.  What the right wingers don't realize is that their candidates in New Jersey and Virginia won in part because they postured themselves away from the lunatic fringe, and Hoffman lost because he was part of it.

But, keep the faith my right wing brothers and sisters!!  Don't stop at Dede!!  You've got to finish the job!  Time to "Melt the Snowe" in Maine (and push her into our caucus!).  Get rid of Collins, too!  And squishy moderate RINO's like Senator Bennett in Utah.  He needs to be purged.  All you need is people like Michelle Bachmann be the face of the GOP, and Americans will flock to conservatism.


How can we use their madness to our advantage?
Can Kos endorse selected candidates in R primaries? Would it be worth the trouble, say in FL-Sen?

(e.g. if Kos were to endorse Crist, could Meek beat Rubio, or would we just end up facing an attractive wingnut who could appeal to Hispanics?)

If Tom Campbell shows traction in CA-Gov, could Kos endorse him, say in the name of a "reasonable opposition party"?


You seem obsessed with the idea
that Kos' endorsement actually means anything.  It does not.  The vast majority of teabaggers don't know who the hell Markos Moulitsas is.

From their perspective, that is a pure party of "real conservatives", they are quite rational in opposing Chafee, Specter, Kirk, Castle, Scozzafava, Crist, etc.  These guys deviate from the party line almost as often as Blue Dogs do in the Democratic Party.
Where they get off the deep end is in opposing actual conservatives like Hutchison, Isakson or Bennett because of one or two issues.


[ Parent ]
It worked with Scozzafava
It became a meme with wingnuts such as Malkin, etc. Just googled

dailykos endorsed scozzafava

and got over 180,000 hits.

To answer DavidNYC, I did not see his statement(s)? on Kirk, Simmons, and Crist.

But I suspect the endorsement has to be of a similar vein, specifying issues of agreement - and a statement as bold as:

"It's official, I'm rooting for [person x] to win the Republican nomination for [position y]."

To measure it's effectiveness, it would have to be quoted in a similar vein to http://www.weeklystandard.com/...

She may be the only candidate ever endorsed by both Newt Gingrich and Markos Moulitsas Zuniga of the leftist website Daily Kos. He called her "actually the most liberal candidate in the race" and said, "It's official, I'm rooting for the Republican to win."


[ Parent ]
Here you go
But I'm rather pleased I've been used to attack Scozzafava by the likes of Club for Growth and Glenn Beck. Such mischief is almost Rovian! So in that vein, I'm ready to make some new endorsements. I endorse Mark Kirk in Illinois, Rob Simmons in Connecticut, and Charlie Crist in Florida. In fact, if you are the type of Republican than can actually win against Democratic opposition (in other words, not batshit insane), I "endorse" you. Oh, and I also "endorse" David Vitter, even though he is batshit insane, because he's hilarious.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyo...


[ Parent ]
David, I appreciate the detail, but
To qualify as an "endorse"ment that energizes the wingnuts/teabaggers, I suspect it would have to be in the same vein as http://www.dailykos.com/storyo...

where he dedicated a single diary to the person in question - and said


So it's official, I'm rooting for the Republican to win.

The endorsement you linked was a part of a discussion on what happened with Scozzafava, and as such, seems somewhat gratuitous.

But no matter, I doubt it'll happen again - unless we have a similar situation where the R might be arguably more to the left of the D. I don't see that (yet) in any of the other noted races (or anything similar, say if Tom Campbell by some miracle looks like he's gonna win the R-Gov nomination in CA).


[ Parent ]
Markos already tried this
In some recent post, he declared he was "endorsing" Kirk, Simmons and Crist. I don't think anyone cares, though.

[ Parent ]
As Roger Enrico (PepsiCo CEO) said in his
book a few years ago: (something like) "if they wouldn't make the 'real thing,' we would" (referring to classic Coke).

If I were running the DSCC and DCCC, I would very seriously considering supplementing the Club for Growth and playing in Republican primaries. That is, I would choose the nuttiest Republican and drop a media bomb on his behalf--especially in moderate districts.  


[ Parent ]
That's how Gray Davis won in 2002
He ran ads attacking Richard Riordan for his pro-choice stance and other moderate positions and the GOP ended up nominating an unknown whacko.

[ Parent ]
yeah Riordan was supposed to oust Davis
That was a smart move.

[ Parent ]
They create this base, is their problema
After create the problem, they are affraid? Is their problem...

I have been talking about this occurring to my old poli sci prof
since the end of the 2008 election.  This huge rift in the GOP to me was clearly going to happen.

First, you have a party that has created its base as the segment of America with the lowest amounts of education and as a double edged sword, are proud of their ignorance!  Relying on the anti-intellectualists of the country was mistake number one as they won't listen to reason, they won't look at the poll numbers, they instead follow their own dogma blindly and at the cost of their own benefit.

Mistake two was never being able to give them what they want.  The GOP has been unable to make abortion illegal, creating a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage was never and will never be possible in the 21st century, kicking out 12 million illegal immigrants is completely irrational and impossible, and most importantly, government spending.  I think the American electorate's belief on tax and spending is a dichotomy, no one wants to pay taxes but everyone wants the government to pay for some social services.  If you cut this item of spending, you'll make this group happy but make another pissed.  Cutting government spending down to what the tea baggers would want, in my opinion, is impossible as you'll eventually have pissed so many people with the cuts that a 50%+1 majority will form against the cuts.  Furthermore, cutting gov. spending during a troubled a economic time is completely contradictory to what should occur and even Bush knew this.

The GOP entered a deal with the devil in taking on the anti-intellectual segment of our population and now it is coming back to bite them in the ass.  When we celebrate Sen. Meek, maybe they will have learned their lesson.

Limbaugh-Beck 2012!!!!!  And Palin as SoS of course.


Actually that is a base of our party too
First, you have a party that has created its base as the segment of America with the lowest amounts of education

I doubt that the blacks and Hispanics that make up the base of the Democratic Party has that much more education as a whole than the Southern white working class that make up the GOP base.  Even on the ignorance factor, minority groups are much more likely to reject gay rights.


[ Parent ]
oh definitely
It's pretty much links all of their social conservatism together, lower education levels.

Although I wouldn't 100% call minority demographics part of the "base" of the Democratic party.  Hispanics have a wide range of how much they'll favor the Democrats, as exampled by the huge swing from 04 to 08.  And blacks are always notoriously undecided at a higher rate than whites in polls leading up to an election, while they eventually come around to voting Dem 90/10.  I think that indicates that they dont feel like they are really a part of our base but more so vote which ever candidate they feel will help their demographic community the most.

My own anecdotal experiences and looking at the undecideds in polling I think reflects this pretty well.

Id rate our base as the pro-choice feminists, the justice and peace issue activists, unions, teachers, amongst some others.

Id also throw the GLBT community into the minority groups.  I think we've been pegged at 70/30 Dem but once gay marriage is affirmed and widely accepted, I bet that'll shift a lot closer to 50/50.  Once the Dem party stops giving us the reason, vote for us we're not rabid social conservatives like the GOP, they will have lost the main reason why the GLBT community votes for them.  Luckily, being gay and living an "alternative lifestyle" automatically makes us probably the most liberal demographic in the country, as I am pretty confident we have the highest ratio of atheists of any demographic, which really just paves the way for liberalism.


[ Parent ]
I'm not so sure about this
Luckily, being gay and living an "alternative lifestyle" automatically makes us probably the most liberal demographic in the country, as I am pretty confident we have the highest ratio of atheists of any demographic, which really just paves the way for liberalism.

There are a lot of gays who are conservative on fiscal issues and even on military/nat'l security issues.  Much like blacks and Hispanics, they vote Democratic on civil rights issues, but when gay rights are widely accepted and the GOP (or which ever party succeeds it.) stops gay bashing, I think it will go to 50/50 as you mentioned.


[ Parent ]
Union workers
I don't think they're such a reliable base. They were until Reagan, I think, but not so much since then.

[ Parent ]
This is great. While Cornyn is giving Rubio this courtesy...
The C4G has the complete opposite policy, which means Rubio can close the financial gap with the help of C4DG.  They're already going at it.  

H/t Scorecard:


I sure hope the CfG isn't actually showing
this ad on TV. It doesn't have a BCRA disclosure.  

[ Parent ]
And is trying to backtrack on it
And embarrassing himself further in the process.

[ Parent ]
Should be great for candidate recruitment....
...when the NRSC and NRCC asks candidates to risk their neck and running while promising NOT to support them if they run into any trouble.

Pete Sessions is getting a primary opponent
Pete Sessions will finally have an opponent in the GOP primary.  His name is David Smith, and he's a writer for Dallas County Republican Examiner. (See http://www.examiner.com/x-1700... )

He's written articles supportive of the tea party movement, and has also written articles critical of Sessions' ethical lapses.

Should be an interesting primary season in TX-32, for once!


If someone to Sessions' right wins that primary
A Democrat just might have a chance in an open seat. I wouldn't favor the Democrat, but it's certainly not out of the question.

[ Parent ]
We have a great Democrat running
His name is Grier Raggio, husband of Lorraine Raggio who was elected Judge in Dallas County in 2004--the first Democrat in over 20 years.  Lorraine Raggio and Lupe Valdez (Sheriff) started the tidal wave that turned Dallas County blue in 2006.

Grier's mother is Louise Raggio, who was a lawyer when their just weren't any women lawyers in Texas.

Grier is a laywer, and always gives generous support to Democratic Party candidates.  If you know anyone who's interested in giving, direct them to his Act Blue page:
http://www.actblue.com/entity/...


[ Parent ]
ah, the Texas Tornado


[ Parent ]
Endorsement in the primary
I vaguely remember Donald Trump endorsing Ed Koch in the democratic primary.

It might have been some other democratic primary endorsement (not necessarily by Trump).

But it was only in the primary and not in the main election.

It happened in the 1980s. Does anybody remember?



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