Election 2009 Results Thread, No. 1

8:37PM: This thread is getting a bit full, so please join us just above in a new thread.

8:31PM: The New York Times has a good New Jersey results page.

8:26PM: Seems that we might have a tally of some early votes in Jersey.

8:19PM: Looks like votes are about to start trickling in in Maine.

8:10PM: So South Carolina had a special election in HD-48 tonight. Results are here, though oddly no totals are displayed on the bottom. Excel says that the Dem is getting destroyed, though, 1,731 to 719.

8:08PM: Stick a fork in Creigh — all the major media outlets are now calling VA-Gov for McDonnell.

8:00PM: Polls have now closed in a whole bunch of states with key races.

7:55PM: Looks like Virginia Dems are on pace to lose at least one seat in the General Assembly tonight — take a look at HD-03, where incumbent Democratic Del. Danny Bowling is getting trashed by a 58-42 margin with 71% of the precincts reporting.

7:52PM: We’re also trailing badly in the VA Lt. Gov. and AG races. The Dem numbers in those races are pretty similar to Deeds’, so I wouldn’t expect much divergence even as better precincts come in.

7:41PM: No results yet in Georgia, where the Atlanta mayor’s race is hotly contested. Apparently, there have been polling problems.

7:38PM: Polls also just closed in North Carolina, where we have a couple of interesting mayoral races tonight.

7:30PM: Results are trickling in in Virginia, and Creigh Deeds is getting spanked with about 5% of the vote in. (Did you expect anything else?) Of greater interest tonight will be Virginia’s Assembly races. Johnny Longtorso has a great, SSP-style ratings chart you can consult.

Here are some sites for returns in some of tonight’s key races:

Virginia: Board of Elections | Virginian-Pilot

New Jersey: NJ.com

New York: State Board of Elections

Maine: Bangor Daily News | WMTW-TV

Georgia: AJC

Charlotte, NC: Mecklenburg BoE

Chapel Hill, NC: WRAL

Virginia closes in about half an hour (and so too does our predictions contest!). But feel free to start using this thread for tailgating and chitchat. Got any reliable links for up-to-the-minute results? Let us know in comments, and we’ll add them to the list.

170 thoughts on “Election 2009 Results Thread, No. 1”

  1. I have a class starting at 9 ET (I’m in the Mountain time zone so 7:00 here) so I’m probably only going to get to see a few of the early returns (and I can’t ditch the class either, damned Philosophy of Religion :P).

    I’ll be shocked if Deeds gets within single digits in Virginia, which is pretty disappointing considering that Virginia is becoming a swing state (I’m really disappointed with Deeds’s lackluster campaign in NoVa).

  3. Take it with several thousand grains of salt but according to a wingnut site here are some early exit polls.

    http://www.freerepublic.com/fo…

    First exit polls from Virginia: McDonnell 54.5, Deeds 45. And from New Jersey: Corzine 47, Christie: 47 with third-party candidate Daggett “barely registering.”

  5. If that exit poll is right and its 47/47, Corzine has this due to the early voting being so heavily in his favor.

    McDonnell “only” winning by 10 at this point might be good for us as as well down ticket.

  6. but early exit polls seem to show Obama’s approval numbers to be closer to that predicted by Research 2000, which would mean Democrats will at least not do as terrible as predicted by PPP and certainly gives the possibility of winning New Jersey.

  7. I noticed the Georgia Secretary of State’s website lists polls closing at 8 in HD-58.  Much of this district’s territory is in Atlanta.  Don’t know if the delay applies to Atlanta, too.

  9. ….the Shenandoah Valley area comes in first and Northern Virginia returns roll in last.  Prepare to see the first half hour’s worth of returns to be a lopsided 62-38 or worse margin in favor of McDonnell.  Even with 90% of returns in, McDonnell’s lead is likely to be about five percentage points higher than it will be with all 100% of the returns in.

  14. ….those Virginia vote counters tend to be pretty fast.  Before the polls close in New York, expect almost all of the Virginia count to be in…if recent history is any indication that is.

  15. HD-141 (the big fight).  One early voting site in, three votes for the crazy recent college grad.  Only three votes so far.

  16. Up 63-37 (so far) in a County Obama narrowly lost!

    This clearly demonstrates that the way for Democrats to win statewide elections in Virginia is to appeal to nominate Blue Dogs to appeal to rural Appalachian voters.

    Of course, he is underperforming across the rest of the State, but that doesn’t matter at all!

  17. King and Queen County (All precincts in):

    59 McDonnell

    41 Deeds

    48 McCain

    52 Obama

    Prince Edward County (10/11 of precincts in):

    55 McDonnell

    45 Deeds

    44 McCain

    54 Obama

  19. cool guy running for Governor in NJ as an independent, with different slogans for every county, look:

    Governor

    Gary Stein Independent Atlantic Rock The Boat

    1729 Darmstadt Avenue Bergen Giv’m Heck Gary

    Mullica Twp., NJ 08215 Burlington Nice N Easy

    Camden Fools Rush In

    Lieutenant Governor Cape May Stormy Weather

    Cynthia Stein Cumberland Just In Time

    1729 Darmstadt Avenue Essex All The Way

    Mullica Twp., NJ 08215 Gloucester Where Are You

    Hudson I Have Dreamed

    Hunterdon They All Laughed

    Mercer These Foolish Things

    Middlesex A Fine Romance

    Monmouth Lear’n The Blues

    Morris Without A Song

    Ocean Something Stupid

    Passaic Street Of Dreams

    Salem All Alone

    Somerset How About You

    Sussex Pennies From Heaven

    Union My Shining Hour

    Warren Love And Marriage

  21. http://www.watertowndailytimes…


    St. Lawrence County Board of Elections officials said this evening that machine breakdowns earlier today may prevent them from having election results tonight in Louisville, Waddington, Rossie and Clare.

    Fulton Co results will be delayed too, as they choose to not make their votes available online.

  24. The tiny sliver of red Putnam County is almost in.   There is one more precinct left, and EIGHT votes have been counted: six to the neophyte Republican wacko college grad and two the indy.  Wish there were Dem votes there, but it’s good that this area isn’t coming in for the seemingly more likely Republican or for the indy (who has a real chance).

  25. A spokesperson for the Fulton County New York Board of Elections just confirmed that voting machines from five election districts in that county that are part of 23 NY have been impounded due to mechanical malfunctions. Results from the other 4 election districts in that county that are part of 23 NY will be reported tonight. Fulton County’s nine election districts are slightly more than 1% of the 614 election districts in the 23rd Congressional District

    http://www.tcotreport.com/elec…

  35. Former Republican State Representative Steve Tumlin has won (if it’s not officially called, I’m calling it now).  He’s leading 70-20-10 with 5 of 7 precincts in.  As a non-partisan race, he undoubtedly won due to name recognition.  The Dem (crazy former gubernatorial also-ran Bill Bolton) is the guy at 10%.

  38. Baldwin County is done.  Everything is done (save for absentees-I think, and canvassing).

    The indy has 44.4%.  The Dem and one of the Republicans are separated by 9 VOTES for second, with the Dem leading.

  41. With 49% in, Gloucester is going to Christie by 2%.  Obama was -2% (net) relative to the state.

    With 38% in, Cape May has Christie up 17%.  Obama was -24%.

    With 23% in, Ocean has Christie up 37%.  Obama was -36%.

    With 14% in, Cumberland has Corzine up 33%.  Obama was +6%.

    Looking very tight, but I’m optimistic.

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