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GA-10: Marlow (D) Doesn't Quite Concede

by: DavidNYC

Wed Jun 20, 2007 at 11:01 PM EDT


The folks over at Tondee's Tavern are saying that Democrat James Marlow has conceded the race for Georgia's 10th Congressional District. But if you look at the statement they actually link to, Marlow doesn't quite do that. Rather, he says:

We will watch as the final official returns come in, and once all of the votes are in, we will make an assessment about whether further action is appropriate.

That's because state law permits Marlow - who trails Republican Paul Broun by 187 votes in the official count - to seek a recount so long as the margin separating the two is less than 1%. Right now it's 0.4%, but that number is only likely to increase, given that the few outstanding precincts are almost all in counties which favored Broun. And no matter what the final tally, there's no reason to believe a recount could make up the difference.

Ultimately, this is a pretty frustrating outcome, given that two other lesser-known Democrats in the race took 8% between them - more than enough to have put Marlow comfortably in second place. Then again, an overall Dem performance of 28.3% is pretty appalling, given that even John Kerry managed to take 35% in this district. (Of course, in a low-turnout special election, this isn't much of a surprise.) So even if Marlow were to advance to the run-off, it's difficult to envision any way in which he could win. Repeating that Hackett magic is hard.

DavidNYC :: GA-10: Marlow (D) Doesn't Quite Concede
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Only positive from this
is that Whitehead will probably serve less than 10 years in DC (he's already 65). While Whitehead will be lousy, he'll also not have much influence either.

No organization
If Marlow was serious he would have gotten as many votes in Clarke county as Whitehead got in Columbia, since both counties are the same size.

Actually
the organization problems probably involve the massive dive in Democratic percentages in Columbia and Richmond counties (between 2006 and 2007). Even if Whitehead was from there, it's just awful to see the Democratic total dive 10 points.

[ Parent ]
My reaction
I don't see what is to be gained from a recount, Marlow looks like he'll loose in the general anyways.

yeah
Do we even want to run for this seat?  i was very optimistic up until, well, tuesday night.  how many of brouns votes could we hope to get?  how liberal/moderate is he?  would his voters flock more heavily to marlow, Whitey, or be split 50/50?  Marlow would either need increadibly low voter turnout, or almost all of brouns, along with the other democratic votes.  would it be better just to let the repubs fight, and not waste any more time/money on this race?

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

Very dissapointed
This is a district that Democrats held from Reconstruction until 1994 and it is disgusting that Democrats made no effort to win it. 

[ Parent ]
We fared well in 1996
Despite having candidate ads pulled for using the trademarked phrase "Sorry Charlie", and so on.

After then, no more challenges.

Blah.


[ Parent ]
Much different district
The GA-10 that existed between 1996 and 2002 was basically a swing district.  It included all of the Augusta blacks(most are now in GA-12) as well as many black majority counties now in GA-12 as well. 

The new district lopped off most all of the Democratic strongholds(save for Clarke county) and extended north to the Tennessee border to pick up some counties that are now the most Republican in the nation. 


[ Parent ]
Well, Almost
It was 48/46 for Clinton over Dole (while the state narrowly went for Dole). And it was 55/44 for Bush.

But in 1998 and 2000, Norwood won easily.

Then the gerrymandering to get GA-12 moved Athens out of the district for four years.

Actually, the 2003-2007 district was much much redder than this district, due to the lack of Athens thing.

But even in 1998 and 2000, the district was abandoned.


[ Parent ]
In 1998 and 2000
Norwood never topped 60% against sacrificial lambs.

[ Parent ]
Yeah
it probably suggests a lack of effort if sacrifical lambs are running for the party that won a plurality in a district in 1996 (well, in 1998 and 2000)

[ Parent ]

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