Google Ads


Site Stats

Results Open Thread (NYC Runoff, PA SD-24)

by: Crisitunity

Tue Sep 29, 2009 at 8:09 PM EDT


10:20PM: (Crisitunity) Yeesh. Final result in Pennsylvania was 66-30 in favor of Mensch (R), with the balance to the Libertarian.
9:52PM: As for Pennsylvania, I'm not going to manually add up the various county totals, but suffice it to say, we got crushed there.
9:48PM: These races are totally over. With over 80% of the vote counted, Liu has racked up almost 57% of the vote while de Blasio utterly pounded Mark Green with 63% of the vote.
9:36PM: Half the vote is in and it's looking pretty solid for Liu & de Blasio. When was the last time in NYC that a candidate who led after the first round of voting didn't win the runoff? If we really do have to keep runoffs (this one cost $15 million), at least adopt instant runoff voting (IRV) for primaries.
9:31PM: A quarter of the vote has been counted, and de Blasio is up to 61% while Liu is doing well at 58%. Both men had the endorsement of the Working Families Party, whose GOTV strengths probably played a big role in this low-turnout affair.
9:28PM: 15% in, and Liu and de Blasio are both in the high 50s. If this holds, I'll be a happy camper.
9:24PM: 9% in now - Liu 55, de Blasio 59. Don't know what's wrong with NY1's website, but that's why you've got SSP!
9:21PM: With 4.6% in, both Liu and de Blasio are at about 58% apiece.
9:19PM (David): NY1's website hasn't updated yet, but on TV, they just flashed some very early nums. With 2% of precincts reporting, both de Blasio (54%) and Liu (58%) have leads.

Two elections going on tonight, in New York City and the suburbs of Philadelphia. Polls close at 8 pm eastern in Pennsyvlania, and at 9 pm eastern in NYC.

In New York, there are primary runoffs between the top two Democratic candidates in two of the three citywide offices. In the Public Advocate race, ex-PA Mark Green and city council Bill DeBlasio face off. In the Comptroller race, city councilors John Liu and David Yassky meet. (DeBlasio and Liu came out of the primaries with narrow edges.)

You can follow the NYC results at NY1.

In Pennsylvania, there's an open seat in state Senate district 24, which takes in low-density portions of Montgomery, Bucks, Lehigh, and Northampton Counties in between Philadelphia and Allentown. This district does reach up to take the old industrial town of Easton (where they make Crayola crayons), which -- having added up precinct-level results -- pushes the district a little more to the left than I'd originally thought. Barack Obama won this district in 2008, in fact by a margin that gives this about as close to "even" a PVI as you'll ever see: he beat John McCain 52.9%-45.8%. (More than one-third of the votes are in MontCo, where Obama won 52-47. Easton and environs are in Northampton, where Obama won 59-40. Fewer votes are in Bucks and Lehigh, both of which Obama won 50-49.)

Unfortunately, Democrats don't seem poised to capitalize on the district's lean after higher-profile candidates passed on the race; against a Republican state Representative, Bob Mensch, the Democratic candidate, Anne Scheuring, has only been on the Lansdale city council since 2008. Results can be followed at the SoS website.

Crisitunity :: Results Open Thread (NYC Runoff, PA SD-24)
Tags: , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Just noticed
Lansdale isn't even in the 24th senate district. That probably does not bode well, though hopefully all the national Democratic money that's come in will have helped to diminish what has probably been a huge name recognition gap.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

No, it's in the 24th
It's one of the biggest sources of votes in the MontCo part of the district. Wiki has the list of all the localities in the district.

[ Parent ]
Ah
My bad - momentarily confused Lansdale with Langhorne in Bucks County.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
Should be a winnable district
But if only the supervoters turn out, I wouldn't count on it. . .

My guess is
that's why Scarnati set the special election for now rather than November 3, so turnout could be so low that the only ones who turn out are the crazies still energized from that one time last month when they screamed at their congressperson. I miss Catherine Baker Knoll.

[ Parent ]
PA starting off with a ganja break?
Forty-five minutes, no votes in.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

Mensch starts off strong
Winning 519 - 290 with parts of Lehigh and Northampton in.

[ Parent ]
Looking better now.
40-54.1

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Over
Mensch leads 32.8-63.2  Oddly, each of the four counties are reporting IDENTICAL leads.  Is this possible (beyond the mathematical reality that, of course, it is)?  Something seems weird.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
The percentages are broken
Currently they're actually:

Bucks - 29% Scheuring, 68% Mensch, 3% Steever
Lehigh - 30% Scheuring, 64% Mensch, 6% Steever
Montgomery - 31% Scheuring, 67% Mensch, 2% Steever
Northampton - 42% Scheuring, 53% Mensch, 5% Steever


[ Parent ]
Is there ANY website which has live NYC results?
I have NY1 on here, but I'd really love something on the web, of course.

wtf is wrong with your SoS?
Why doesnt the Sos of NY run them live?  That should be their job.

[ Parent ]
It's the Board of Elections here
And they, well... they aren't very good. Check out their website. Terrible.

[ Parent ]
Honestly, it's probably already over in NYC
The first precicents to report are usually Lower Manhattan precicents and if Green and Yassky aren't doing good there, I can't see how they pull it off in the rest of the city.

Maybe more so for PA instead of Comptroller, where's Liu's lead might be slightly inflated due to the vote in Chinatown.


What's Wrong With Green?
I like Green. He seems like a good candidate with a future. Only stupid for running against Cuomo for AG when it was clear he was going to get crushed. By the way I forgot what political office Cuomo was in before AG?

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

What DIDN'T he run for?
He lost to Al D'Amato in 1986 by a big margin for a Senate race. He got elected to the job he's currently running for in 1993 and used it as a springboard for mayor, which he ran and won the nomination in a very ugly primary in 2001 only to narrowly lose to Bloomberg.

He's an opportunist, a perinneal candidate who just appears to love to run for office and never actually has a plan to do anything.

The only reason I even got out to vote today was to vote for de Blasio because I do not want Mark Green spending the next four to eight years one heartbeat away from the Mayor's job.  


[ Parent ]
Can You Be A Candidate W/A Future....
When you are a 64 year-old who has been running for office for two decades?

:)

"You share your young with the wolves of the nation, there's nothing left til you pray for salvation."

--Black Rebel Motorcycle Club

"American X"


[ Parent ]
Well...
He's a perennial candidate. Offices he's run for:

- Congress, 1980
- Senate, 1986 and 1998
- Public Advocate, 1993, 1997, and 2009 (the only office he's ever actually won)
- Mayor, 2001
- Attorney General, 2006

His racially-charged 2001 campaign for mayor soured a lot of people on him.

Also, he's 64, so he doesn't have much of a future left.


[ Parent ]
Green has no political future
I voted for him for Public Advocate because he had done well in the job previously. I don't expect him to win any higher position, and it so far appears that he can't win even his old job back, so this may be his swan song.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
Hah oh man
"He seems like a good candidate with a future."

I don't even know what to say to this! Green! with a future! Man, that is priceless. Green practically had to exhume his own corpse to run this race! Anyhow, you might want to click here.


[ Parent ]
Okay. lol,
I haven't followed NYC politics very closely. Green was jsut a familiar face with good politics it seemed.

Anyway what's the case on Liu and his opponent?

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
John Liu is one of my favorte people in the world
maybe second only to Barack Obama, but I don't know the President, I know Liu well from my days in the NYC media.

When he first got elected in 2001, I started working for Newsday a few weeks later and was covering city council meetings and I felt he was just getting eaten alive in there. He was too honest, too demure, too introverted. I watched him grow out of that to being a real strong voice.

Liu got a lot of guff from his district when he decided to run citywide. Flushingers tends to isolate themselves. His constituets felt he would make a joke of himself running up against the sharks...but he quickly stood out from the rest of the pack.

I'm actually surprised he ran citywide, I penned him for a Congressional run at some point. He might still go that route in the future though.  


[ Parent ]
The PA-State Senate Race Is Unlikely to Be Competitive....
Last time around, it went 57-43 Republican. The GOP candidate has higher name rec, and spent more money.

That doesn't leave much cause for optimism.

"You share your young with the wolves of the nation, there's nothing left til you pray for salvation."

--Black Rebel Motorcycle Club

"American X"


Ugh
Montgomery County's coming in strong... for Mensch.

Stick a fork in this one.

Male, 23, DC-At Large


What does the NYC Public Advocate actually do?
What are the responsibilities of the office?

It's mostly a bully pulpit
But if you want details, this Wikipedia article lays it out pretty pithily.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
Ombudsman, with little real power
And next-in-line if the mayor can't complete a term, which is the real deal. It's a weird post that mostly seems to exist because the City Council was tired of having to deal with the post of City Council President.

[ Parent ]
Essentially it's the ombudsman
but the Public Advocate ceremonially is like Vice President of the City...s/he is first in line to succeed the Mayor, s/he presides over the city council vote and breaks ties...a job that succeeded the President of the City Council.

Public Advocate's office also is the direct line between the electorate the city government.

Speaking as a New Yorker, Gotbaum did the job much better than Green, who was the first PA. I'm a little lenient though as Green was basically laying the groundwork for the job, so.  


[ Parent ]
You're the first person I've ever heard say that
I never liked Green, but at least he was a thorn in Rudy's side. Gottbaum's been invisible for eight years.

[ Parent ]
in the public, yes
Gotbaum sorta kept herself out of city politics, but her office was always available to help in the little menial things that annoy the citizens and answering questions. Her office was also very transparent to us in the press. My ex co-workers who were around during Green's term hold her in much higher regard in how much and how quickly they respond to press inquires.

But you're right that on the media level, Green was much more out front and in the news. I'm not sure that was really him doing his job more than him positioning himself for a run for Mayor. Gotbaum had no real political ambitions.  


[ Parent ]
I hate to be the anti-IRV spokesman here
But people should realize that it is by one important measure worse than plurality voting: you can switch your vote to the leading candidate and cause him to lose. That's a problem that often gets lost in the promotion.

I don't like IRV very much
And I would definitely oppose it for general elections. But I could see it having a role in primaries, though I'm fine with plurality winners. But I'm not following your logic here.

[ Parent ]
Unfortunately, there's no "best" system
as Mr. Arrow reminds us.

I'm all about closed primaries, but I'm beginning to reevaluate my position on "top two" and jungle primary systems. Contrary to what some proponents claim, I actually think that they help to promote partisan contrasts.  


[ Parent ]
I completely disagree
On jungle primaries... but in any event, I still don't get what you were trying to say about the flaws of IRV.

[ Parent ]
I'm a math incompetent,
but here's how my voting math professor at GW explained it a few years ago (Note, IRV is also called the "Hare method")

Here are two preference profiles:

Before:

6 A B C

5 C A B

4 B C A

2 B A C

After:

6 A B C

5 C A B

4 B C A

2 A B C

What IRV does:

Facing the "before" profile, the Hare method eliminates candidate C, who has only 5 first-place votes, in the first round, and candidate A beats candidate B in the final head-to-head match-up, 11 to 6.  Now the final two candidates move candidate A up on their preference lists to the top position.  The result is the "after" profile, in which candidate B is now eliminated in the first round, and candidate C now defeats candidate A, 9 to 8.  Hence moving candidate A up on some lists has caused candidate A to lose the Hare election.



[ Parent ]
NY1 calls it for de Blasio and Liu


If Pennsylvania's SOS (or...er, SOC) was in the business of calling races
he would have by now. Oh how I hate my gerrymandered senate.

Democrats should have been able to target
and win this if they had any competence in PA. However they don't and so we get this kind of stuff...this was the far more important race tonight.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Yeah, Dems are so incompetent in PA
that we own every statewide office but one.  

[ Parent ]
And the one that they do have
is a Santorum-esque Neanderthal could very well be our next governor. gags

[ Parent ]
I am refering to the state legislature
And of course the fact that had Arlen not been primaried and switched we wouldn't be in much position to beat him.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
You mean like the House that we won back in 2006
on a GOP map?

I guess it's easy to call a political party in a state incompetent if you ignore all of its successes.  


[ Parent ]
Yeah, a House they won back
with two 60% + landslides at the top of the ticket in a hugely Democratic year national, only to barely win and barely hold on this year with a big Democratic carry over.

While now a Democratic leaning to swingish seat comes open and they can't even bother to put up a competent opponent for one of the few seats that they actually have a good shot at under the ridiculous map.

They have failed to make important gains in the Senate and they barely hold strength in the House.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
That's really not much of a response
Legislative chambers and elections have their own dynamics, which I frankly wonder if you know anything about regarding PA.  

[ Parent ]
They are still effected by national races
To a degree. State races to a much greater degree. The fact is they don't have to strong a hold on the State House, and they got it in a very strong year that saw a lot of legislative gains for Democrats and big wins at a state level.

The fact is they have a pathetic position in the State Senate which mucks up a lot of progressive legislation.

Most of all they couldn't even be bother to try for this. They didn't have to win it, but they should be expected in any state to at least try to go after a seat like this. There is simply no excuse for not trying, for a two to one blow out in a district that voted for Barack Obama.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
Listen, I have my share of bold opinions
but you seem to have trouble understanding the difference between "worthy if criticism" and "incompetent."  

[ Parent ]
Perhaps I am being harsh
I can just find no logical or plausible reason not to even attempt to find a stronger candidate and back a more well-funded attempt on such a ripe opportunity in a state where, as you said, due to gerrymandering, there aren't many good Republican opportunities. That fits my own definition of incompetence.

As that is said, there will now be a special election for his house seat right? Do we have a shot at that? (Maybe this is subterfuge after all, trading a chance at the senate seat to secure the State House a little more).  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
Not my district
so I don't know.

[ Parent ]
Wow, I was being abrasive just then
And didn't even realize it. Maybe that's what david was talking about...hmmm. It's what I am best at, I love being abrasive and bluntly calling out on stuff. And you moderate, see, it's a good team :D

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
I no very little about PA politics
Except for the fact that whenever I see Rick Santorum talking, I have dreams of slapping the shit out of him.

I'll now drink a beer in honor of Senator Casey, who defeated Santorum in 2006.

Best quote I've heard about Santorum came from former senator Bob Kerrey.  He said "Santorum:  that's Latin for asshole".

40, male, Democrat, NC-04


[ Parent ]
"I no"
I think I've had one too many beers tonight.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
That was a very satisfying win
We (finally) humiliated him. (Or alternatively, he humiliated himself).

[ Parent ]
In the end
they have to want to win back the State Senate...in New York, for decades, the Democrats didn't even bother trying, because the deal was they'd sacrifice a Senate majority for an Assembly supermajority.  

[ Parent ]
Seems incompetent enough
But who cares about ideals and getting stuff done when you can have a dictatorship over the house and almost everyone have a safe seat.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Democrats just might lose the state House in 2010
If that happens and they also lose the governorship, they could very well get three or four of their current US House seats cut out from under them.  

[ Parent ]
That didn't work out so well for the GOP
last time.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
So in review...
I'm trying to remember the competitive special elections that have gone down this past year at the state legislative level. Here's what I can recall:

PA State Sen Seat - GOP retention
KY State Sen Seat - Dem pick-up
AL State Sen Seat - GOP pick-up
LA State Sen Seat - Dem retention
IA State House Seat - Dem retention

Am I missing any?

So far, it seems like in the aggregate, these races aren't showing any real discernible shift in overall voting patterns, which would be... surprise, surprise... pretty much contrary to the conventional wisdom in the punditocracy.

Male, 23, DC-At Large


DE House seat, right?
And weren't there two seats in KY? Or am I dreaming?

[ Parent ]
Forgot DE
That was a GOP pick-up, correct?

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
You're forgetting about DE
Delaware has had a three legislative vacancies. The Democrats had one vacancy in each legislative house, and both seats were picked up by Republicans. The Republicans also held their vacant seat in the state house.

I would agree with you, though, that there doesn't seem to be an obvious trend.


[ Parent ]
There it is
I knew I had some blocked-out electoral bad news stored in the recesses of my brain.

Can you remind us as to the partisan nature of the two lost DE districts? My recollection is that they were in fairly conservative, rural-ish areas.

Male, 23, DC-At Large


[ Parent ]
One was pretty Republican
The other was a heavily Democratic district that I think even John Kerry won with 60%.  

[ Parent ]
Actually, by the looks of it, both were fairly Republican areas in Sussex County


Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
One seat that flipped in like December
The GOP picked up a seat back in like December or January that Obama won like 62% in. I remember cause UpstateDem on DailyKos was pissing his pants about it for a week.  

[ Parent ]
6th House District
It was lost due to stupidity -- the incumbent Democrat was unopposed in November, and right after she was re-elected, she announced her resignation to take a job in New Mexico. Can't imagine why voters would be turned off by that.

[ Parent ]
More
DE Senate - Rep pickup
DE House - Rep hold
VA House - Dem hold
PA Senate (another) - Rep hold

[ Parent ]
A truly humiliating performance in PA
by Democrats.  And in a district Obama by 53%-46%.  

They weren't really trying
It's not like the Democrats made a big push to win this seat. Tonight was the first time I heard about it.


[ Parent ]
Scheuring
I rode through Easton last weekend.  There were a lot of Scheuring signs but they did not clearly identify her as a Democrat.  I went to college in Easton and came back for a few years later on.  For some reason, political signs in the area don't often identify the party.  I think that's a mistake.  The town has a Democratic mayor.  Nice guy.

My impression is that in Northampton County, Republicans were more organized and Democrats more numerous.  In a special election on an odd date that matters.


[ Parent ]
But Also A District....
That was carried 57-43 in the last go-round by the GOP.

Legislative races don't always follow presidential preferences...in fact, they often don't.

"You share your young with the wolves of the nation, there's nothing left til you pray for salvation."

--Black Rebel Motorcycle Club

"American X"


[ Parent ]
There's a Queens NY State Senate district
where Bill Clinton won 65%, Al Goew won 72%, John Kerry won 68% and Obama qon 70%.

It just went Democratic last year.


[ Parent ]
Agreed
Especially in the south. Although not so much here in Texas anymore. But in places like Alabama and Louisiana, absolutely.

[ Parent ]
Now that I think of it, there were several
Alabama has had SEVEN vacancies this year alone. Three senate and four house vacancies, all Democratic. So far, Democrats held two senate seats and Republicans picked up the other one (Parker Griffith's seat), and Democrats held one house seat and lost another. Two AL House races haven't yet had the general, but one of the seats (which just had a primary tonight, actually) is a majority-minority district which has no filed Republican opponent, so it will obviously be a D hold (special general election will be on November 10). The last outstanding race seems like a fairly Democratic district and is also favored to be a hold (special lection will coincide with regular 2009 general election).

California had a Democratic hold in the Senate and a Democratic hold in the House.

Florida has had a few vacancies, all of which have been holds for the respective parties.

There was another Democratic pickup (Brett Guthrie's seat) in the Kentucky Senate earlier in the year.

I believe that Louisiana had two Senate and two House vacancies, all of which were Democratic holds (and all but one of which were in majority-minority districts).

New Hampshire had at least one Senate vacancy (a Republican hold) and it might've had one more, which if it did was a hold. It also has had four House vacancies...a Democratic hold, a Republican hold, a Republican pickup, and a Democratic vacancy with a special election on November 3.

South Carolina had a GOP pickup in the state house.

I can't remember any more than that.


What was the NH pickup?
I didnt hear about that one.  

[ Parent ]
I did some double-checking
and as far as I can tell, you're right. I documented the two Republican NH Senate holds and the respective Democratic and Republican NH House holds and current Democratic vacancy, but a cursory search has yielded no information on additional New Hampshire House vacancies. It seems that I mistakenly "remembered" that there was a Democratic pickup because an anonymous editor changed the NH House makeup awhile back and I must've mentally accounted for the change in party composition, but it seems that the edit (which I just fixed) was made in error. So New Hampshire, to my knowledge, hasn't had any legislative party switches this year. Thanks for making me double-check that one.

[ Parent ]
NH House
A special election in an NH House district? Talk about turnout mattering. Theres very little voters in even regular NH House elections (given the number of voters per district) so I cant imagine a special election. I bet theres even been special elections decided by less than 5 votes.  

[ Parent ]
Dear JFM110,
You said "competitive" special elections. Somehow, I missed that word in there. Hence, my above list is slightly overkill. However, it was fun to remember some of those races (I try to keep track of the state legislatures' makeup on this Wikipedia page. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P... ). Thanks for the opportunity to do some recall! :P

Sincerely,
Politik


[ Parent ]
No worries - thanks for the info!
There were a couple on that list that totally flew underneath my radar.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
wow
That page is awesome.  

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7

[ Parent ]
Awesome chart
Especially regarding party control of state legislatures.  I didnt know that Democrats didnt really get a firm control of the state legislatures until that 1974 election.  

[ Parent ]
That chart wasn't me, but I also give props to whoever made it.
I just try to keep track of current composition, but it doesn't help when anonymous users make unsourced edits. :P When I first found that page, I immediately thought that it should really be kept current, as it could be a really useful guide for various breakdowns across all 50 states.

[ Parent ]
Pres. results by state legislative districts
I would really love to see it for each state. Just to see very pro-Kerry/Obama districts held by a Republican and very pro-McCain/Bush 04 districts held by a Democrat. I have seen the numbers for a few states (such as CA) but not many. Would love to, though.  

[ Parent ]
I've entered
the presidential data on each California legislative district, but I will put the presidential results for all the Obama-Republican legislative districts here in one place.

SD-12: Jeff Denham (Obama 58-40) - our obvious target next year
SD-15: Abel Maldonado (Obama 59-39)
SD-19: Tony Strickland (Obama 56-43)
SD-31: Bob Dutton (Obama 50-48)
SD-37: John Benoit (Obama 50-48)

AD-05: Roger Niello (Obama 51-47)
AD-26: Bill Berryhill (Obama 51-47)
AD-30: Danny Gilmore (Obama 51-47)
AD-33: Sam Blakeslee (Obama 50-48)
AD-36: Steve Knight (Obama 49-49)
AD-37: Audra Strickland (Obama 51-47)
AD-38: Cameron Smyth (Obama 51-47)
AD-63: Bill Emmerson (Obama 51-47)
AD-64: Brian Nestande (Obama 50-48)
AD-70: Chuck DeVore (Obama 51-47) - soon-to-be loser in the U.S. Senate race!
AD-74: Martin Garrick (Obama 50-48)

I am proud to say that all 3 districts that my hometown Rancho Cucamonga, which voted for Obama, is in, all voted for Obama! SD-31, AD-63, and CA-26 (Obama 51-47)!

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Thanks for putting those numbers there
I remember when you put the numbers for all the CA state leg. districts here. Was very cool to read them. And it is interesting that there are 3 very pro-Obama state Sen. districts held by a Republican...but none in the Assembly.  

[ Parent ]
Georgia has seven coming up on November 3
Only one is at any risk of flipping.  

Republican holds:
SD-01, HD-129, HD-159

Democratic holds:
SD-35, HD-58, HD-75 (although the Democrat there sucks and it might be better to let him lose and then replace the Republican with a Democrat next year)

Democratic vulnerable:
HD-141 (could go Democratic, Republican, or Independent)

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


[ Parent ]
Geez, Georgia has seven, too?
I only had four in the House. They've tied Alabama for vacancies, then. Louisiana's had four, Mississippi and South Carolina have each had one. What's with this mass exodus of state legislators from the Deep South?

[ Parent ]
A function of large legislatures, maybe?
Two senators in Georgia is about 4% of the body (56 members total) while five representatives is about 3% of that body (180 members total).

Anyways, all seven vacancies are from resignations.  Georgia has a part-time legislature, so the members have other jobs; in HD-58, the incumbent ran into a conflict of interest between being a rep. and her real job in the Fulton County prosecutor's office.  In HD-75, the representative had family issues.  The others resigned because they were appointed to state boards (both HD-129 and HD-141 saw their incumbents appointed to the state transportation board) or were seeking other office and can't raise money while the legislature is in session (SD-01: governor, SD-35: Atlanta mayor, HD-159: running for SD-01).

What's even more shocking is that there are three more that seem likely (I'd say one is assured): SD-22, SD-42, and HD-122.  The incumbent in SD-22 has been nominated for a U.S. Attorney position.  It seems assured he'll be confirmed (that's something Republicans haven't stalled much with).  The incumbent in HD-122 is rumored to be seeking SD-22.  Likewise, the incumbent in SD-42 is being considered for a U.S. Attorney position.  However, if/when they happen, it won't be this year.

And that doesn't count any deaths or the possible tax delinquincy scandal that could happen.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


[ Parent ]
I should point out those three potential/expected ones are Democratic held but safe.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Yassky just looked pathetic in his concession
The worst I've seen since Santorum '06. He seemed to be speaking to an empty room.

But the short clip from Channel 2 is all I have seen.


Mark Green's final hurrah
Clearly, this was Green's last-ditch attempt at mounting a springboard toward the Mayorship, and NYC voters have spoken loud and clear in regard to his future. Not that he's a bad guy by any means, but he's nevertheless basically known as New York's token perrenial loser; a sort of antithesis to Jerry Brown's California trajectory. He didn't stand a real chance against Schumer/Ferraro in the '98 Senate primary, and his Attorney General run was a joke. The '01 Mayoral race should have been his moment in the sun, and he blew it.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox