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California State Legislature Race Ratings (2010)
Sat Sep 19, 2009 at 2:33 AM EDT
Here are my SSP-style ratings for the California State Legislature in 2010. In the State Senate table, I listed all the districts, even-numbered, that are up, because there are only 20 of them, and as of now only 3 are somewhat competitive. In the State Assembly table, I listed only the districts that are or could be competitive since all 80 districts there are up. Open seats are in italics .
District details can be found at the 2010 California Race Tracker . Feel free to jump in and add any updates as you find them.
State Senate Solid D Likely D Lean D Toss-Up Lean R Likely R Solid R 2 (Wiggins)10 (Corbett) 22 (Cedillo) 40 (Ducheny) 16 (Florez) 34 (Correa) 12 (Denham) 4 (Aanestad) 18 (Ashburn) 36 (Hollingsworth)
State Assembly Likely D Lean D Toss-Up Lean R Likely R 31 (Arambula) 78 (Block) 15 (Buchanan) 5 (Niello) 10 (Huber) 30 (Gilmore) 26 (Berryhill)33 (Blakeslee) 68 (Tran) 3 (Logue)70 (DeVore)
Below the flip are the Senate and Assembly districts' Cook PVI's, with the Board of Equalization and counties thrown in, just in case anyone is curious.
californianintexas :: California State Legislature Race Ratings (2010)
State Senate District Incumbent PVI SD-01 Cox R+8.0 SD-02 Wiggins D+15.4 SD-03 Leno D+29.1 SD-04 Aanestad R+10.1 SD-05 Wolk D+7.4 SD-06 Steinberg D+9.4 SD-07 DeSaulnier D+13.2 SD-08 Yee D+24.3 SD-09 Hancock D+32.0 SD-10 Corbett D+18.8 SD-11 Simitian D+20.2 SD-12 Denham D+2.3 SD-13 Alquist D+19.2 SD-14 Cogdill R+11.8 SD-15 Maldonado D+5.2 SD-16 Florez D+3.6 SD-17 Runner R+6.0 SD-18 Ashburn R+16.5 SD-19 T. Strickland D+1.5 SD-20 Padilla D+18.4 SD-21 Liu D+15.6 SD-22 Cedillo D+25.6 SD-23 Pavley D+16.9 SD-24 Romero D+16.4 SD-25 Wright D+24.9 SD-26 Price D+33.1 SD-27 A. Lowenthal D+12.2 SD-28 Oropeza D+13.8 SD-29 Huff R+4.9 SD-30 R. Calderon D+14.9 SD-31 Dutton R+4.9 SD-32 Negrete-McLeod D+13.1 SD-33 Walters R+9.4 SD-34 Correa D+1.5 SD-35 Harman R+5.9 SD-36 Hollingsworth R+12.4 SD-37 Benoit R+4.9 SD-38 Wyland R+6.2 SD-39 Kehoe D+10.6 SD-40 Ducheny D+6.9
State Assembly District Incumbent PVI AD-01 Chesbro D+12.2 AD-02 Nielsen R+14.9 AD-03 Logue R+4.9 AD-04 Gaines R+8.6 AD-05 Niello R+4.0 AD-06 Huffman D+23.0 AD-07 Evans D+17.3 AD-08 Yamada D+8.9 AD-09 Jones D+19.1 AD-10 Huber R+3.8 AD-11 Torlakson D+16.4 AD-12 Ma D+28.5 AD-13 Ammiano D+36.0 AD-14 Skinner D+31.6 AD-15 Buchanan D+3.0 AD-16 Swanson D+36.2 AD-17 Galgiani D+4.0 AD-18 Hayashi D+21.2 AD-19 Hill D+20.5 AD-20 Torrico D+17.5 AD-21 Ruskin D+18.7 AD-22 Fong D+19.1 AD-23 Coto D+18.3 AD-24 Beall D+14.5 AD-25 T. Berryhill R+8.6 AD-26 B. Berryhill R+4.5 AD-27 Monning D+18.7 AD-28 Caballero D+13.5 AD-29 Villines R+10.2 AD-30 Gilmore R+4.0 AD-31 Arambula D+6.9 AD-32 Fuller R+18.3 AD-33 Blakeslee R+4.1 AD-34 Conway R+13.7 AD-35 Nava D+12.7 AD-36 Knight R+6.6 AD-37 A. Strickland R+3.1 AD-38 Smyth R+3.0 AD-39 Fuentes D+22.6 AD-40 Blumenfield D+13.0 AD-41 Brownley D+14.5 AD-42 Feuer D+23.2 AD-43 Krekorian D+16.5 AD-44 Portantino D+13.4 AD-45 de León D+29.0 AD-46 J. Pérez D+31.7 AD-47 Bass D+32.4 AD-48 Davis D+37.0 AD-49 Eng D+12.7 AD-50 De La Torre D+23.2 AD-51 Bradford D+27.9 AD-52 Hall D+37.9 AD-53 Lieu D+9.1 AD-54 B. Lowenthal D+8.7 AD-55 Furutani D+15.6 AD-56 Mendoza D+8.0 AD-57 Hernandez D+11.9 AD-58 C. Calderon D+13.0 AD-59 Adams R+7.1 AD-60 Hagman R+8.3 AD-61 Torres D+8.2 AD-62 Carter D+16.0 AD-63 Emmerson R+3.7 AD-64 Nestande R+5.0 AD-65 Cook R+7.4 AD-66 Jeffries R+11.4 AD-67 Silva R+7.2 AD-68 Tran R+7.1 AD-69 Solorio D+8.0 AD-70 DeVore R+4.0 AD-71 Miller R+10.9 AD-72 Vacant R+7.2 AD-73 Harkey R+7.8 AD-74 Garrick R+4.3 AD-75 Fletcher R+3.4 AD-76 Saldaña D+12.3 AD-77 Anderson R+11.4 AD-78 Block D+5.1 AD-79 Salas D+9.9 AD-80 M. Perez D+5.1
Board of Equalization District Incumbent PVI BOE-01 Yee D+19.1 BOE-02 Leonard R+3.8 BOE-03 Steel R+4.1 BOE-04 Shea D+18.0
County 1996-2000 2000-2004 2004-2008 Alameda D+18.8 D+24.0 D+26.3 Alpine R+1.2 D+2.4 D+6.4 Amador R+7.8 R+10.1 R+10.9 Butte R+7.4 R+4.8 R+3.1 Calaveras R+7.9 R+9.3 R+9.7 Colusa R+15.3 R+16.8 R+14.4 Contra Costa D+8.5 D+12.2 D+14.4 Del Norte R+3.7 R+6.5 R+6.4 El Dorado R+10.8 R+10.5 R+9.5 Fresno R+6.0 R+6.0 R+4.8 Glenn R+17.4 R+17.3 R+15.1 Humboldt R+4.5 D+2.7 D+9.3 Imperial D+5.6 D+4.6 D+6.7 Inyo R+11.8 R+10.4 R+7.9 Kern R+13.0 R+14.3 R+14.1 Kings R+8.6 R+12.3 R+12.6 Lake D+1.3 D+3.9 D+5.0 Lassen R+2.8 R+7.0 R+20.1 Los Angeles D+12.6 D+15.0 D+15.6 Madera R+13.0 R+13.1 R+11.6 Marin D+12.4 D+20.4 D+24.9 Mariposa R+10.0 R+10.1 R+9.3 Mendocino R+1.8 D+7.6 D+15.8 Merced R+3.4 R+4.9 R+2.8 Modoc R+18.4 R+23.1 R+21.8 Mono R+5.0 R+1.9 D+1.8 Monterey D+6.6 D+10.6 D+13.7 Napa D+3.8 D+8.6 D+11.7 Nevada R+2.9 R+4.8 R+2.1 Orange R+9.5 R+8.5 R+6.8 Placer R+11.7 R+11.7 R+10.4 Plumas R+11.4 R+12.1 R+10.1 Riverside R+4.2 R+5.3 R+4.9 Sacramento D+0.7 D+1.1 D+3.3 San Benito D+3.7 D+5.1 D+5.8 San Bernardino R+2.8 R+2.7 R+2.7 San Diego R+3.3 R+1.8 R+0.3 San Francisco D+25.1 D+30.9 D+32.9 San Joaquin R+2.0 R+1.8 R+0.6 San Luis Obispo R+5.1 R+3.2 R+1.9 San Mateo D+13.7 D+18.6 D+20.9 Santa Barbara R+1.7 D+2.0 D+6.1 Santa Clara D+10.0 D+14.0 D+16.1 Santa Cruz D+10.2 D+18.9 D+24.6 Shasta R+15.8 R+16.8 R+16.3 Sierra R+13.2 R+14.5 R+13.0 Siskiyou R+10.1 R+11.8 R+4.7 Solano D+7.3 D+8.8 D+9.6 Sonoma D+8.8 D+15.0 D+19.8 Stanislaus R+3.9 R+6.2 R+5.6 Sutter R+17.2 R+17.0 R+14.1 Tehama R+12.7 R+15.7 R+15.3 Trinity R+6.0 R+6.9 R+3.3 Tulare R+12.8 R+13.9 R+13.3 Tuolumne R+7.1 R+8.5 R+9.3 Ventura R+2.7 R+0.4 D+0.8 Yolo D+7.1 D+8.8 D+12.6 Yuba R+12.0 R+14.7 R+13.4
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