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SSP Daily Digest: 9/11

by: Crisitunity

Fri Sep 11, 2009 at 1:41 PM EDT


CA-Sen: Republican Assemblyman Chuck DeVore wants you to remember that he's still running against Carly Fiorina, regardless of what the NRSC tries to tell you. When John Cornyn sent out some platitudes referring to his strong recruits in Kelly Ayotte and Carly Fiorina, DeVore let the world know in no uncertain terms what he really thinks of the NRSC.
"I welcome Senator Cornyn's endorsement of Carly Fiorina, my probable opponent for the Republican nomination to defeat Barbara Boxer in 2010. Under John Cornyn, the National Republican Senatorial Committee has racked up an impressive string of endorsements in support of non-conservative, unpopular, poorly vetted candidates across the nation. These candidacies have thus far gone on to flounder or implode."

Questions continue to circulate about HP's sales of hundreds of millions of dollars in printers and other equipment to Iran, despite the bans on trade with the nation... and more generally about her ability to close the deal in view of how poorly CEOs have done in statewide races before.

SC-Gov: Mark Sanford's prospects have seemed to be on a roller coaster ride since his Appalachian Trail adventure, and this week he's going through another dip: now the state GOP has called for his resignation. State party chair Karen Floyd made the announcement yesterday evening.

NC-10: Congratulations to Rep. Patrick McHenry; one of the Beltway's most eligible bachelors, he's finally off the market. He announces that he's engaged to Giulia Cangiano, a GAO economist whom he met through mutual friends.

OH-17: He's baaaack! Ex-Rep. Jim Traficant is out of prison, and already talking about running for office. He says there's a 50/50 chance he'd run for his old seat, although it's held by a Democrat, Tim Ryan. That didn't stop him before; he ran against Ryan as an independent in 2002 and got 15% of the vote. Traficant is beaming down to a local teabagging function this weekend to get reacquainted with his constituents.

OH-18: Although Republicans were disappointed when they didn't get state Sen. Jimmy Stewart to run, they've found another state Senator to go up against Rep. Zack Space: Bob Gibbs of Holmes County. Most of Gibbs' district is in the 16th, but Holmes County is in the 18th.

PA-07: Republican Pat Meehan, the former US Attorney for eastern Pennsylvania, who recently bailed out of the gubernatorial primary, is ready to announce his candidacy in the 7th, where Rep. Joe Sestak is leaving behind an open seat. Meehan will make his formal announcement on Monday. Although the seat is D+3, Meehan (the former DA of Delaware County) is strong enough to make this race a very competitive even against highly touted Dem state Rep. Bryan Lentz.

SC-02: Both heckler Joe Wilson and his Democratic opponent, Rob Miller, are now raising money like gangbusters. Miller is up above $750,000 in contributions now since the Obama address. Wilson has also raised $200,000, although not much of that seems to be coming online: at SlateCard, the GOP equivalent of ActBlue, he's raised a total of $620 from 13 supporters. PPP's Tom Jensen, who polled SC-02 last night, is teasing bad results for Wilson.

VA-05: Although this guy seems to be the only GOP candidate in the 5th so far, don't expect him to be the nominee... especially now that he was just convicted on a concealed weapons violation. Bradley Rees was fined $100 in a local court after police found two pistols in his glove compartment. Most attention focused on state Sen. Rob Hurt as the likely GOP challenger to Rep. Tom Perriello.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 9/11
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McHenry married?
Um. . . . .

My thoughts exactly
First Crist, now McHenry. Next it'll be Andre Bauer or David Dreier tying the knot.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
Next it should be Lindsey Graham
After seeing the fates that have befallen Bauer, Sanford, and Wilson, he must feel the ghost of an impending scandal breathing down his neck.

[ Parent ]
So, McHenry is planning on running for higher office?
Seems to be following the Crist plan.

Funny thing is a mentioned McHenry's secret to my room mate last night. Just happened to make news today, coincidental I guess.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
Hagan or Perdue?
I'm thinking the former.

[ Parent ]
That McHenry...
always chasing the poon!

Mark McKinnon
Hypocritical ass.

I really makes me laugh uncontrollably when cynical media consultants complain about incivility. Or maybe he's just hurting for work. (Nothing like pissing away a bunch of Democratic money in a red district).  


Traficant
If he did run for office, on what line would he run?

I have to say, considering that felons lose their right to vote for life in many states, why is it OK for a released felon to run for office? Mind you, I actually support restoring the right to vote and run for office to people who have served their time and completed their probation, but it does look odd, doesn't it?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


Traficant will run as the candidate of the
   Dead Squirrel Hairpiece Party. He used to wear toupees that made Donny Trump's look decent.

52, male, disgruntled Democrat, CA-28

[ Parent ]
New CT-Sen poll from Rasmussen
Dodd trails Simmons 39-49, and runs within the margin of error against a few second-tier candidates.

This has to be the one race where I most expect the poll numbers to shift in our favor over next year.  Typically, a long-term incumbent polling this badly is written off as politically dead, those are even worse than Santorum numbers.  But plenty of election watchers are hesitant to put this in a lean takeover category just yet.  A lot of people are overestimating Simmons' strengths, as a former congressman who was unceremoniously dumped by a repeat challenger in 2006.  I just don't think Simmons can overcome the very Democratic nature of the state's 1st and 3rd congressional districts, which take Connecticut from a lean blue state to a solidly blue state.


I sincerely hope Dodd sees the light
and chooses to retire by the end of the year.

[ Parent ]
Simmons is to be reckoned with...
...but can you really imagine Connecticut being presided over in the Senate by a Republican and Joe Lieberman? I know Republicans and even Indies are gonna flock to Simmons in 2010, but I suspect the Dems will ultimately come home to Dodd and that's about 40% right out of the gate.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
What if?
Wouldn't it be ironic if Simmons won and then Lieberman lost to a Republican?  

[ Parent ]
Lieberman can't lose against a Republican.
His only possible path to victory is becoming the de facto Republican candidate.

[ Parent ]
Yes he can
Her name is Jodi Rell. If a popular Rell runs, against a well-known and likely well funded Ned Lamont, and incumbent Indy Joe Lieberman, its very possible.

[ Parent ]
Not happening
In that situation Lamont will win on the back of 75% of the Dem vote.

[ Parent ]
If there's a 3-way
I can envision Lieberman coming in third. He won't have the Dem support he had in 2006 since he endorsed McCain. If Republican's can field a strong candidate, preferably Jodi Rell, we could win. I'm sure some Dems may still vote for Lieberman, but not too many.  

[ Parent ]
Lieberman garnered...
33% of Democrats, 70% of Republicans and 54% of Independents in '06. And, guess what the last Quinnipiac poll showed his approval among Dems to be? 33%!

I feel like Lieberman's in decent shape if Jodi Rell declines and/or the GOP decides to field no candidate at all. I'm not at all convinced Ned Lamont can trump Lieberman among Indies. Rell most certainly can. Either way, I imagine Lieberman's got a floor somewhere in the low-'40s heading into '12.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


[ Parent ]
Simmons
Is probably quite moderate by national standards but by CT standards i have often heard he is conservative. Despite him representing a district that went more for Kerry/Gore than Shays' and Johnson. Shays is ideologically more moderate but his waffling on Iraq might hurt him alot.

[ Parent ]
Over the years waffling
I meant to say. Seems he changed his position alot.

[ Parent ]
He was pretty conservative by any standard
He may be moderate on social issues (pro-choice, anti-FMA), but in the House he was pro-gun, pro-tort reform, pro-Patriot Act/warrantless wiretapping, pro-Bush tax cuts/estate tax repeal, anti-union and anti-net neutrality.

Conveniently, his Senate campaign website doesn't have an issues page.


[ Parent ]

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